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Old 01-23-2002, 06:07 AM   #61
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Quote:
Originally posted by boneyard bill:
<strong>
Perhaps non-rational would be a better term but most of the citations referred to use the term irrational. The naturalist holds that the world is governed by impersonal physical laws. These laws claim to describe how the world works. There is nothing in these laws that is logically compelling. We know that water flows downhill because it always has. But there is nothing in the term "water" that requires that it flow downhill. In fact, on rare occasions it does flow uphill, as in the Bay of Fundy where tidal action actually causes the water to flow upriver at certain times of the day. There is nothing logical about natural laws. They simply are what they are and it would violate no logical law if they were different.
</strong>
I'm going to quibble with Bill just a little bit here. I consider myself a naturalist but I do not hold that the universe is "governed" by physical laws. As Bill says, perhaps in contradiction, - they are descriptions of how the world works. If they are descriptions of how the world works then all that is being said is that the universe is "governed" by descriptions of itself. This seems strange.

I think it needs to be noted that laws are not entities unto themselves. They are not energy beams or mystical forces that cause the natural world to act the way it does. They are simply our attempt at describing how we see the world in action.
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Old 01-23-2002, 09:22 AM   #62
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boneyard bill:

In spite of the prediction in my first post, this thread has not (up to now) turned into another boring debate about presuppositionalism. We have been discussing the question of whether naturalism is self-defeating. But you seem determined to change all that now.

I have no intention of discussing (on this thread, anyway) what I think is wrong with presuppositionalism. I’ll reply to your comments that go to the question of whether naturalism is a reasonable position, but I don’t intend to pursue the subject further unless you want to argue (like scilvr) that naturalism is unreasonable because it is self-defeating. With that understanding, here goes.

Quote:
But the naturalist has to assume that reason is valid in order to prove that reason is valid.
True and false. A naturalist, like anyone else who reasons, must assume that reason is valid. But no one with any sense tries to prove that reason is valid. How could anyone who does not already accept the validity of reason be persuaded of it by any conceivable argument? Any such attempt is transparently circular.

Quote:
That is, the naturalist must account for reason.
The naturalist as such is no more obliged to “account” for reason than he is obliged to “account” for the existence of Neptune. Naturalists typically try to describe the natural world as accurately as possible. This does not involve a presumption that they can account for all aspects of it, or why it’s the way it is in any ultimate sense. At best they account for certain features in terms of other features. For example, things fall because of gravity. Any attempt to account for all features in this way would obviously be circular.

In any case, it’s not clear that the term “reason” refers to anything that really needs to be “accounted for”. If by “reason” you mean logic, there’s nothing to explain. Logic is valid by definition. For example, if you ask me how I “know” that if all men are mortal and Socrates is a man, Socrates must be mortal, I would reply that I know because I understand what “all” means. What exactly needs to be “accounted for” here?

On the other hand, things like the Principle of Induction are not true by definition. But neither are they really “true” at all; they aren’t even the sort of thing that is capable of being true of false. They are simply “principles of action”. The Principle of Induction just says: if you observe that a pattern (such as A being followed by B) has occurred repeatedly, expect it to occur again. Similarly, Occam’s Razor says: go with the simplest explanation that fits the facts. The Principle of Induction doesn’t claim that the pattern observed will occur in the future, nor does Occam’s Razor claim that the simplest explanation is the correct one. So an “account” of these principles cannot be an account of why they are true; it can only be an account of why it is sensible to follow the advice they offer. I believe that a naturalist is able to give such an account.

Quote:
Reason is not to be found in the naturalist's fundamental description of the world... reason does not exist in the naturalist position.
.

If you mean that the naturalist does not believe that “reason” is an entity that “exists” in the natural world (like atoms, stars, etc.), you’re right. If you mean that the naturalist does not consider such things as logic, the principle of induction, and Occam’s Razor to be valid methods of arriving at accurate descriptions of some aspects of the natural world, you’re wrong. If you mean that the naturalist does not believe that any entities in the natural world are capable of applying such things as logic, the principle of induction, and Occam’s razor to arrive at reasonably accurate descriptions of some aspects of the natural world, you’re again wrong. If you don’t mean any of these things, I honestly have no idea what you do mean.

Quote:
You cannot separate Lewis' claims about the "rule" from his later point about inference.
Yes, you can. His argument about the “Rule” aims to show that naturalism is self-defeating: that it contains within itself rational grounds for rejecting it. His point about the impossibility of justifying the Principle of Induction, etc. shows only that it is impossible to use reason to “prove” the validity of reason. This is a problem common to all philosophical theories.

A clear indication that these are distinct arguments is that I, like most philosophers, consider the first argument to be unsound but the second perfectly sound.

Quote:
Lewis' rule ... asks how reason got into nature.
Reason isn’t “in” nature; beings capable of reasoning are. Evolutionary theory provides an explanation of how such beings might have come to exist. But you’re quite wrong in supposing that the purpose of evolutionary theory is to prove the validity of reason, or that evolutionists use it for this purpose. The most that can be said is that, if reason is valid, evolutionary theory is probably true, and if evolutionary theory is true, we have an explanation for how beings capable of reasoning came to exist. That is, the naturalist’s position is consistent. Contrary to Plantinga’s claims, naturalism does not contain within itself grounds for rejecting it.

Quote:
That does not add up to a coherent position.
Ordinarily a position is called “coherent” if it is logically consistent. But evidently you mean more than this. Apparently you consider a position to be “coherent” only if it can “prove” on its own terms that it is true. But this is exactly backward. Godel’s Incompleteness Theorem tells us that any system that can prove on its own terms that it is true must necessarily be false. So the fact that naturalism cannot prove on its own terms that it’s true is a necessary condition for its being true.
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Old 01-23-2002, 03:02 PM   #63
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bd-from-kg writes:

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But the naturalist has to assume that reason is valid in order to prove that reason is valid.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

True and false. A naturalist, like anyone else who reasons, must assume that reason is valid. But no one with any sense tries to prove that reason is valid. How could anyone who does not already accept the validity of reason be persuaded of it by any conceivable argument? Any such attempt is transparently circular
I agree but then the reliability of reason must be included among the fundamental axioms of the system.

Quote:
That is, the naturalist must account for reason.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The naturalist as such is no more obliged to “account” for reason than he is obliged to “account” for the existence of Neptune
Again, I agree, but in this context, the term reason refers to the reliability of our reason. Perhaps I should have made that clear. When I have used terms like reason and inference, I am referring to the reliability of these processes.

Quote:
Reason is not to be found in the naturalist's fundamental description of the world... reason does not exist in the naturalist position.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.
If you mean that the naturalist does not believe that “reason” is an entity that “exists” in the natural world (like atoms, stars, etc.), you’re right. If you mean that the naturalist does not consider such things as logic, the principle of induction, and Occam’s Razor to be valid methods of arriving at accurate descriptions of some aspects of the natural world, you’re wrong
I mean that the naturalist has not included the reliability of reason among his fundamental axioms.

Quote:
Yes, you can. His argument about the “Rule” aims to show that naturalism is self-defeating: that it contains within itself rational grounds for rejecting it. His point about the impossibility of justifying the Principle of Induction, etc. shows only that it is impossible to use reason to “prove” the validity of reason. This is a problem common to all philosophical theories.
The question is, can creatures capable of reliable reasoning processes arise from non-rational processes? The naturalist says they can.
Lewis' rule says they cannot. How does the naturalist defeat Lewis' rule? He claims evolution by non-rational (but also non-arbitrary mechanisms). But how does the rationalist know that these creatures' reason is reliable? He doesn't. He has assumed that reliability from the outset. This is how the two points relate. The naturalist claims to have defeated Lewis' rule, but he has not actually done so. The question here is not the existence of reason, but its reliability. The naturalist has not included the reliability of reason within her fundamental description of the world whereas the theist has. The naturalist wants to assume the reliability of reason but doesn't want to pay the ontological cost.

Quote:
The most that can be said is that, if reason is valid, evolutionary theory is probably true, and if evolutionary theory is true, we have an explanation for how beings capable of reasoning came to exist.
"If human reason is valid," we now have a postulate rather than an axiom. But that's progress. But now let's include that postulate in our fundamental description. We now have a non-rational mechanistic world in which human reason is valid. Given that starting point we can show how valid human reason evolved from these mechanistic processes.

But you've shown nothing of the sort. You're saying that valid human reason "evolved" from a condition in which it was already present. It's part of the fabric of your theory. You haven't shown that reliable reason isn't integral to nature in the first place. In fact, you've included it. This is the problem naturalism faces. Naturalists want to leave their primary assumption (that human reason is valid) dangling in some limbo so they can only pull it out only when they need it.

If you include the validity of human reason in your fundamental description you have to pay an ontological price. I don't think that price is necessarily a theistic one. I even think there might be a naturalistic solution. But there isn't a materialist solution, and that's how it appears that the term naturalism is being used in this discussion.
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Old 01-23-2002, 03:38 PM   #64
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Turtonm writes:

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Hope this helps. In sum, we do not "presuppose" our cognitive processes produce effective reasoning abilities. We know this is true because we're still alive, despite the millions of interactions we have with the outside world each day. Instead, we use methods we know are effective to investigate why those methods are effective, and come at last to an understanding of why humans can reason so well.
Thanks for the links. The points you make are interesting, but I think you are addressing a different level of discourse. I don't think anyone here is questioning the pragmatic reliability of our cognitive processes. The question is, if we're going to try to explain the ultimate nature of our existence, do we need a concept like God, for example, to do it? And if so, what nature must we attribute to God? Or can impersonal mechanistic processes account for what we know better than the reliance on metaphysical concepts?

As you know from our past discussions I do not favor either the materialist or the theistic positions. I don't think materialism adequately accounts, even in principle, for the world we actually live in. On the other hand, theism accounts for too much. I cannot reconcile an omnipotent, omniscient, and totally benevolent deity with the world as we experience it.
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Old 01-23-2002, 04:45 PM   #65
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Quote:
Originally posted by boneyard bill:
<strong>Turtonm writes:

As you know from our past discussions I do not favor either the materialist or the theistic positions. I don't think materialism adequately accounts, even in principle, for the world we actually live in. On the other hand, theism accounts for too much. I cannot reconcile an omnipotent, omniscient, and totally benevolent deity with the world as we experience it.</strong>
Well, maybe you expect too much . Why should materialism be expected to supply an adequate account of the universe at this stage of the game. The issue is potential. Materialism can potentially supply an adequate account, based on its proven ability to account for much reality. The same cannot be said of theism.

Michael
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Old 01-23-2002, 09:49 PM   #66
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Quote:
I don't think materialism adequately accounts, even in principle, for the world we actually live in
I don't see why a materialist description of "the world we live in" would not be an adequate one. I don't buy into dubious dualistic approaches to such questions. Given time, i believe that their will be a well detailed materialist description of our world. As Michael already stated, a materialistic description of reality has potential.
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Old 01-24-2002, 02:27 AM   #67
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The question is, can creatures capable of reliable reasoning processes arise from non-rational processes? The naturalist says they can. Lewis' rule says they cannot. How does the naturalist defeat Lewis' rule? He claims evolution by non-rational (but also non-arbitrary mechanisms). But how does the rationalist know that these creatures' reason is reliable? He doesn't. He has assumed that reliability from the outset. This is how the two points relate. The naturalist claims to have defeated Lewis' rule, but he has not actually done so. The question here is not the existence of reason, but its reliability. The naturalist has not included the reliability of reason within her fundamental description of the world whereas the theist has. The naturalist wants to assume the reliability of reason but doesn't want to pay the ontological cost.

BB, it is clear you have misunderstood the thrust of my post. Human reasoning powers are reliable precisely because they have been honed through evolution. We have used our "reason" to find this out. There is no "ontological cost." What we have instead is ontological confirmation.
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Old 01-24-2002, 10:31 AM   #68
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boneyard bill:

Your latest post (addressed to me) leaves me pretty much baffled. I’m not at all clear as to what your argument is.

Quote:
The naturalist has not included the reliability of reason within her fundamental description of the world whereas the theist has.
Ordinarily when someone speaks of a “description of the world” they are referring to an ontology. But I gather that you want the reliability of reason to be a metaphysical axiom. Metaphysical axioms, by their very nature, cannot be part of one’s “description of the world”, since they define what constitutes valid evidence, valid modes of inference, etc. So they are necessarily logically prior to any ontology. Am I missing something?

Quote:
The naturalist wants to assume the reliability of reason but doesn't want to pay the ontological cost.
What ontological cost? One almost has the impression that you regard the “reliability of reason” to be a “thing” that exists, like gravity. But this idea is logically incoherent, so again I must be misunderstanding you.

Quote:
...the reliability of reason must be included among the fundamental axioms of the system.
Again it seems that you want the “reliability of reason” to be a metaphysical axiom. I’m not clear about what such an axiom would look like or what its point would be. Metaphysical axioms are ordinarily understood to define (among other things) what are valid modes of reasoning (or inference). Apparently you want either an axiom that says that the other axioms do indeed define valid modes of inference, or an axiom that says that these modes are “guaranteed” to produce “true” results with some degree of reliability. An axiom of the first type would be redundant; one of the second type would be pointless. No predictions can be deduced or inferred using it. And if applying the “approved” modes of inference consistently yields false predictions, an axiom saying that this won’t happen isn’t going to help. Just the same, such an axiom would seem to be harmless; if it makes you feel better, go ahead and include it.

Quote:
The question is, can creatures capable of reliable reasoning processes arise from non-rational processes? The naturalist says they can. Lewis' rule says they cannot. How does the naturalist defeat Lewis' rule? He claims evolution by non-rational ... mechanisms.
Not so. It would seem that you didn’t read my post on this subject carefully. I said that there was no reason to think that Lewis’s “Rule” would apply to processes that stretch out over extremely long periods of time, since we have no experience of such processes.

Quote:
The naturalist claims to have defeated Lewis' rule, but he has not actually done so.
Of course I have. I showed that there is no justification for believing it, at least as it applies to evolution. Read Plantinga’s excruciatingly detailed discussion of “defeaters” in Naturalism Defeated if you have a few hours to kill.

Quote:
"If human reason is valid," ... let's include that postulate in our fundamental description. ... Given that starting point we can show how valid human reason evolved from these mechanistic processes.
Once again you seem to be under the impression that evolutionists try to “show” that human reason is valid by appealing to evolution. As I pointed out before, this is false. All that can be said is that if human reason is valid, evolutionary theory (which was discovered by applying this valid human reason) shows how this situation might have come about. The (apparent) fact that human reason is valid isn’t even predicted by evolutionary theory, any more than the existence of horses is. Both are merely consistent with the theory. Thus, just as the existence of horses is not evidence against evolution and evolution is not evidence against the existence of horses, so the existence of valid human reason is not evidence against evolution and evolution is not evidence against the existence of valid human reason. The naturalist/evolutionist just objects to the attempts of people like Lewis, Taylor, and Plantinga to use the theory of evolution to show that naturalism is self-defeating.

Quote:
You're saying that valid human reason "evolved" from a condition in which it was already present.
How could human reason, valid or otherwise, have been “present” in a state in which there were no humans?

Quote:
You haven't shown that reliable reason isn't integral to nature in the first place. In fact, you've included it.
What does it mean to say that reliable reason is (or isn’t) integral to nature?

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Naturalists want to leave their primary assumption (that human reason is valid) dangling in some limbo.
I don’t know about other naturalists, but I put things like the Principle of Induction and Occam’s Razor right up there near the top of my metaphysical axioms. As I pointed out before, nothing needs to be assumed about logic. And of course I assume that I’m sane – at least sane enough to understand what basic terms of logic mean and apply the definitions correctly, to understand the POI and OR, etc. How does this constitute leaving these assumptions dangling in some limbo?

Also, consider this statement from the Encyclopedia Britannica article on “naturalism”:

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Naturalism presumes that nature is in principle completely knowable. There is in nature a regularity, unity, and wholeness that implies objective laws, without which the pursuit of scientific knowledge would be absurd.
Nature could hardly be knowable at all, much less “completely” so, if human reason were not valid. So contrary to your statement, the assumption that human reason is valid is an integral part of naturalism.

It should also be noted that naturalism is normally understood to exclude theism, and this has certainly been implicit in the discussion here. In fact, in the final analysis the discussion has been about whether it is rational to believe that nature is in principle knowable (by humans) without presupposing the existence of God.

Quote:
But there isn't a materialist solution, and that's how it appears that the term naturalism is being used in this discussion.
I’m still not clear what the problem is to which you think there is no materialist solution, but in any case “naturalism” is not synonymous with “materialism”, nor is it being taken as synonymous in this discussion.

Let’s look at the EB again, this time the article on “materialism”: It defines it as:

Quote:
in philosophy, the view that all facts (including facts about the human mind and will and the course of human history) are causally dependent upon physical processes, or even reducible to them.
Strictly speaking, materialism doesn’t imply naturalism, and naturalism certainly does not imply materialism.
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Old 01-24-2002, 11:25 AM   #69
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Bill Snedden:

You said a while back:

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What does Plantinga mean when he states that P(R|N&E) is low? I understand this to be a claim that the probability of beginning with unicellular, non-cognitive life and ending up with humans possessed of reliable cognitive faculties by way of naturalistic evolutionary mechanisms is relatively low. For argument's sake, let's grant that this is true....

[But] even given the initially low probability of the development of reliable cognitive faculties, do we actually have any reason to believe that we didn't "win the raffle?" It seems to me that the "ticket stub" is right here in front of us. Our faculties certainly give us every appearance of being reliable.
I think that you’re misunderstanding Plantinga here (although his own sloppiness in presenting his argument is largely to blame). What he really seems to mean is that the probability of R is low given N and E and the obvious fact that our cognitive faculties appear to be reliable. Otherwise the argument wouldn’t amount to much. For example, if all we know about a species is that it is a product of evolution, the probability that its cognitive faculties reliably produce true beliefs might (so far as we know) be quite low. Or alternatively, if we are told only that an evolutionary process has been in progress on a given planet for a few billion years, the probability that it has produced a species capable of rational thought is “inscrutable”. But we are not some unknown species, nor is this an unknown planet. We have additional evidence on these questions. The main thrust of Plantinga’s argument is that this additional evidence fails to show what it appears on its face to show.

Thus Plantinga is arguing that we have no grounds for believing R in spite of the fact that, to all appearances, our cognitive faculties are functioning admirably (at least with respect to matters where survival or reproductive success are at stake). That’s why he spends so much time arguing that wildly counterintuitive possibilities such as that behavior is not caused by beliefs, or that beliefs cause behavior, but not by virtue of their content, are really reasonable and plausible (under naturalism). And that’s why I spent so much time refuting these arguments.

To all:

On the other hand, I think that Plantinga totally fails to refute the “maximal warrant” argument. Here is what he has to say on this:

Quote:
... suppose we agree that we do ordinarily believe R in the basic way, and are furthermore perfectly rational in so doing. Let's also agree that R does has warrant and perhaps a great deal of warrant, when it is taken as basic. Still further, we can add that R plays a unique and crucial role in our noetic structures: if we are reflective and come to doubt R, we will be in serious epistemic trouble.

But it doesn't follow that I can't acquire a defeater for R: clearly I can. Suppose I assume in the ordinary way that my cognitive faculties are reliable, but then come to suspect and finally to believe that I am insane. Once I see the connection between this belief, the belief that I am insane, and R, I have a defeater for R. This example will do the job nicely: but if you have a flair for the dramatic, preferring Cartesian demons and brains in vats, we can easily construct examples to suit. If I come to believe that I am a victim of a deceptive Cartesian evil demon, then I have a defeater for R, as I would if I came to believe that I am in the clutches of Alpha Centaurian cognitive scientists who are using me as the subject for a cognitive experiment in which they induce extensive and bizarre false belief in order to see how the noetic structure reacts. The fact that R has warrant in the basic way doesn't shield it from the possibility of defeat.
He then claims that his argument is a “defeater” for R, and thus justifies abandoning belief in it. But this is ridiculous. To see this, consider the “evil demon” example, and let’s suppose, not that I come to believe it, but merely that I have no positive reason to disbelieve it. Would this justify abandoning my belief in R? Of course not. As Plantinga himself points out, abandoning R leads quickly to “epistemic disaster”. It is impossible to function as a rational agent without belief in R. So the mere fact that I have no positive grounds for believing that I am not a victim of an evil demon is hardly grounds for abandoning this belief. In fact, so far as I can see I really don’t have any positive grounds for believing that I am not the victim of an evil demon (or of scientists from Alpha Centauri or whatever). And this means that I do not have positive grounds (or at any rate not sufficient positive grounds) for believing R. So if this were a valid justification for abandoning my belief in R, I should abandon this belief right now regardless of the validity of Plantinga’s argument.

Similarly, regardless of whether I assume that God exists, I have no way of knowing that I’m not insane. I know that this is possible because, if I am sane, I know that there are people who are insane (and many of them believe themselves to be sane), and if I’m not sane, it’s possible by definition. So do I have any grounds for believing that this is not the case? No. By the nature of the case, I can’t have any such grounds. If I’m sane, I can estimate the probability that I’m insane (for example, by estimating what percentage of the population is in this condition), but if I’m insane, any estimate that I make will be meaningless. So in fact I have no idea whether I’m sane and no way to make a meaningful estimate of how likely it is that I am. According to Plantinga this constitutes a justification for abandoning the belief that I’m sane. But if this is correct, on one is justified in believing himself to be sane; it is irrational to believe that one is sane.

But as Fitelson and Sober point out, Plantinga’s argument merely (at best) shows that the probability of R given N&E is inscrutable - i.e., there is no way to figure out what it is. But all that this shows (even if the argument is correct) is that evolution provides no positive grounds for believing R. This is essentially the same conclusion that we reached above regarding the proposition that I’m sane: there’s no way to figure out what the probability is that this is true, so I have no positive grounds for believing it. And as we have seen, this is not a sufficient justification for abandoning belief in my sanity. In fact, for arbitrary A and B it is absurd to suggest that the fact that A provides no support for either B or ~B is a reason to stop believing B if we come to believe A. It is particularly absurd if B is an absolutely basic belief the abandonment of which is tantamount to insanity.

So unless one is prepared to stop believing in one’s own sanity on the grounds that one can give no positive justification for believing it, the only possible conclusion is that some beliefs are so basic that we are justified in believing them even in the face of the realization that we have no good grounds (in the normal sense) for believing them. Clearly both R and the belief that I’m sane are in this category. And therefore Plantinga’s argument that we have no good reason to believe R if we believe in naturalism and evolution fails even if we grant (as I do not) that P(R|N&E) is indeed inscrutable.
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Old 01-24-2002, 01:21 PM   #70
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bd-from-kg writes:

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Your latest post (addressed to me) leaves me pretty much baffled. I’m not at all clear as to what your argument is.
Sorry, I'm not trained in philosophy so perhaps I am using some philosophical terms incorrectly. I will go back to the starting point of our discussion which is that you have mischaracterized Lewis' argument. You are claiming that Lewis is making two separate arguments while I claim he is making a single argument. Let's look at what Lewis says:

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We may in fact state it as a rule that no thought is valid if it can be fully explained as the result of irrational causes.
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Obviously, then, the whole process of human thought, what we call Reason, is equally valueless if it is the result of irrational causes. Hence every theory of the universe which makes the human mind a result of irrational causes is inadmissible, for it would be a proof that there are no such things as proof. Which is nonsense.

But Naturalism, as commonly held, is precisely a theory of this sort. The mind, like every other particular thing or event, is supposed to be simply the product of the Total System... And the Total System is not supposed to be rational. All thoughts whatever are therefore the results of irrational causes, and nothing more than that. The finest piece of scientific reasoning is caused in just the same irrational way as the thoughts a man has because a bit of bone is pressing on his brain. If we continue to apply our Rule, both are equally valueless.
But Lewis anticipates a refutation of this rule. This, I think, is the key to why this must be seen as a single argument. He doesn't claim that his rule is irrefutable. He accepts that it is. But he claims that the refutation also leads to an unacceptable conclusion.

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But it won’t do. In the first place, the argument works only if there are such things as heredity, the struggle for existence, and elimination. But we know about these things – certainly about their existence in the past – only by inference. Unless, therefore, you start by assuming inference to be valid, you cannot know about them. You have to assume that inference is valid before you can even begin your arguments for its validity. And a proof which sets out by assuming the thing you have to prove, is rubbish. But waive that point. Let heredity and the rest be granted. Even then you cannot show that our processes of thought yield truth unless you are allowed to argue “Because a thought is useful, therefore it must be (at least partly) true.” But this is itself an inference. If you trust it, you are once more assuming that very validity which you set out to prove.
You respond to this by challenging Lewis' rule and claiming that there is no reason to believe it.

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The crux if this argument is the “Rule” that “no thought is valid if it can be fully explained as the result of irrational causes”. It can’t be denied that (at least until the idea of evolution came along) everyone did believe this, and in fact considered it to be self-evident. But it seems reasonable to ask why everyone believed it. It would seem that there are two possible answers: (1) it is an innate belief; a fundamental intuition, or (2) it is based on experience.

Let’s take the second possibility first. If it is based on experience, the experiences in question cannot possibly have included a process that takes place over billions of years, and in fact shows few if any apparent results over the course of a human life. Indeed, the process of evolution is so slow that only subtle or minor results are apparent even over the entire course of recorded history. So if the “Rule” is based on experience, it can hardly be applicable to an “irrational cause” consisting of an extremely slow, cumulative process whose results are readily apparent only over time periods on the order of hundreds of thousands of years. We cannot have had any experience of such processes.
I will concede the point about intuition. The question is, have you successfully defeated Lewis' rule. Yes you have, but you have defeated in just the way that he has already responded to. You have simply added an extended time period to the argument. Your refutation of Lewis argument leads to the same unacceptable conclusion that Lewis has already anticipated.

Later, in a post in response to me, you claim that the theist and the naturalist are in the same boat on this question, and posted the following quotation:

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As Fitelson and Sober point out in the conclusion of the article cited by Bill Snedden above:


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Plantinga suggests that evolutionary naturalism is self-defeating, but that traditional theism is not. However, what is true is that neither position has an answer to hyperbolic doubt. Evolutionists have no way to justify the theory they believe other than by critically assessing the evidence that has been amassed and employing rules of inference that seem on reflection to be sound. If someone challenges all the observations and rules of inference that are used in science and in everyday life, demanding that they be justified from the ground up, the challenge cannot be met. A similar problem arises for theists who think that their confidence in the reliability of their own reasoning powers is shored up by the fact that the human mind was designed by a God who is no deceiver. The theist, like the evolutionary naturalist, is unable to construct a non-question-begging argument that refutes global skepticism.
Essentially, you are claiming that one must presuppose reliable reason in order to carry on any sort of rational discussion whatsoever. Of course, this is true in a certain sense. But the theist and the naturalist are not in the same boat. The difference is that the theist claims that reliable reason is in nature from the beginning. This is what I meant by a fundamental axiom. Perhaps that is not the right word. In any case, reliable reason is not a pre-supposition for the theist. The original theistic description of the world includes it.

Such is not the case for the naturalist. The naturalistic description of the world makes no room for reliable reason. There is no basis for the naturalist claim other than the bald necessity to accept it or give up reasoning altogether.

But this claim, this presuppostion, implies something about the nature of the universe being described. After all, it is quite impossible for creatures capable of reliable reason to arise in a universe that couldn't be reliably reasoned about. So the universe must have rational characteristics to begin with. But the naturalist has omitted such characteristics from her initial description. This is why she is vulnerable to the accusation that she has assumed what she set out to prove while the theist is not.

By separating Lewis' argument into two separate arguments, you obscure the fact that Lewis accepted the validity of your refutation but pointed out that it still led to an unacceptable conclusion. Thus you can say that you disagree with Lewis' first argument but agree with his second. But Lewis says the same thing! He starts with the rule but admits that there is a valid response. But that response, though valid, still leads to an unacceptable conclusion. And you agreed with that. As you stated in another response to me:

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A clear indication that these are distinct arguments is that I, like most philosophers, consider the first argument to be unsound but the second perfectly sound.
So does Lewis. It is the consequences of the refutation of the first argument that are the key to his argument.

Perhaps by avoiding philosophical terms which I may sometimes misuse, I have been able to make my point more clear.
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