Johnny Skeptic

What are the criteria for distinguishing between the fulfillment of a legitimate prophecy, and the fulfillment of a self-fulfilled prophecy? If the Koran said that a Muslim temple would be rebuilt in Mecca, and the temple was rebuilt, how could we accurately evaluate whether or not the prophecy was divinely inspired?

If Abraham falsely believed that God made a land promise to him and his descendants, the Partition of Palestine would have happened anyway. As far as I know, all that it takes to self-fulfill a prophecy is the belief that it is true, and enough military power to make it come true.