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Old 01-06-2006, 05:47 AM   #221
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Originally Posted by rhutchin
OK. You have the option of believing in the “faulty premises� argument. You are now in the position of having to prove that the “faulty premises� argument is absolutely certain. If you cannot do so, then you must deal with the uncertainty that comes with that position and the possibility that you could end up in eternal torment. It is the possibility of making a bad decision (no matter how small the likelihood of this) plus the potential loss (eternal torment) from that decision that would then lead you to seek to escape eternal torment. If the “faulty premises� argument does not provide a means to escape eternal torment, then there is no rationale for adhering to that argument. The rational course of action is to pursue a course that offers the promise of escape from eternal torment. It is true that one could still choose the wrong option but it is always rational to pursue that course that one “thinks� will allow them to escape eternal punishment against that course that one “knows� cannot help them escape eternal torment. Since the “faulty premises� argument does not provide a means for a person to escape eternal torment, it is never rational to adhere to that position and always rational to seek a position that claims to offer escape from eternal torment.

Errr.. I just proved that the premises are faulty. Pascal makes the wager based upon the premises that the god in question is the christian god. Removing that premises and the wager is worthless - which I have already shown.

Given that neither you nor Pascal ever bothered to establish that that premise is true,
I do not have to prove that the premise is faulty. This is called "shifting the burden of proof" and is a logical fallacy. All I have to do is to point out that without this premise the wager is worthless and I have already done that - nothing left to show.

If you want to prove that the premise is correct, that is up to you. I agree that you have an easier job than without the wager. You don't have to prove that the christian god exist, you just have to prove that it is either true that the christian god exist or there is no god. I.e. you have to prove that all the 29999 gods or so that people have believed in and the millions upon millions of gods that no person has yet believed in but which could possibily be believed in is impossible. Good luck in your attempt.

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Old 01-06-2006, 05:56 AM   #222
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Originally Posted by rhutchin
I agree. So what exactly did you do? You started with the argument A,B then C which is correct and then said, Let’s add the additional information that a God Z can exist. If you do not know that God Z exists, then the original argument cannot be voided. If you speculate about God Z, you change premise B from “nonbelief is unable� to “nonbelief is able� to provide an escape. So yes, by adding new information that changes premise B, you negate the original argument. You have done this by changing the entire argument from an unbelief argument to a belief (in God Z) argument. In the end, you have not negated the unbelief argument. It still exists.



The argument goes like this.

1. One cannot prove that God cannot exist so it is possible that a person is subject to eternal torment.
2. Eternal torment is such a severe outcome that, assuming even the smallest likelihood that it could happen, it generates the greatest risk to the individual.
3. Nonbelief does not provide a means to escape eternal torment.
A. If nonbelief is uncertain and possibly wrong, then it is too risky to be a viable option.
B. nonbelief is uncertain (from 1) and possibly wrong.
=> C. nonbelief is too risky (from 2) to be a viable option.

When you introduce God Z, you introduce new information (even if just speculation) such that you change the above to get—

3. Nonbelief does not provide a means to escape eternal torment except in the case where God Z exists.
A. If nonbelief is uncertain and possibly wrong (and God Z does not exist), then it is too risky to be a viable option.
B. nonbelief is uncertain and possibly wrong.
=> C. nonbelief is too risky to be a viable option (except in the case where God Z exists).

But we still have

3. Nonbelief does not provide a means to escape eternal torment.
3a. Belief in God Z provide a means to escape eternal torment.
A. If nonbelief (negation of 3a) is uncertain and possibly wrong, then it is too risky to be a viable option.
B. nonbelief (negation of 3a) is uncertain and possibly wrong.
=> C. nonbelief is too risky to be a viable option.

If one accepts 3a then one has moved from nonbelief to belief. If one has no knowledge of God Z, then there is no effect on the nonbelief argument.
The problem is that belief doesn't really provide any escape from the torment either.

Given that there is a god and that this god send any who does not believe in him to eternal torment then even believing in some god will not allow you to escape that torment unless you happened to believe in the same god that actually exist.

So it is not that you are saved if you do and damned if you don't. It is more a case of damned if you do and damned if you don't situation and that is exactly why Pascal was wrong.

The tiny small case that you happen to stumble upon a belief that allowed you to escape that eternal torment is so small that it can be safely ignored, it is irrelevant. True, of a million people each one believing in a different god one of them might be saved but it doesn't help you much to know that there is one guy out there who got saved when you are yourself roasting next to the atheist.

The next question to ask then is how could a benevolent god be so cruel as to make the rules of the game this way - essentially rig the game so we all end up in a lose/lose situation? The conclusion must be that if God exist he is a cruel sadistic bastard and not worthy of worship anyway and given that he is so cruel he most likely will send those who believe in him in hell along with those who do not believe in him and so even that one believer who did happen to stumble upon the right belief end up roasting together with those who believed in the wrong god and those who did not believe in any god.

Either way the christian god is impossible in any of these scenarios as he is assumed to be benevolent and so would never rig the game in such a cruel manner.

Alf
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Old 01-06-2006, 06:11 AM   #223
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rhutchin
Thus, if one believes that nonbelief can save one from eternal torment, he has converted nonbelief into belief.

enemigo
Acceptance that it would be possible for nonbelief to save one from eternal torment (if God Z exists) is not the same as believing that those circumstances actually exist in reality (ie. believing that God Z actually exists). Calling the former a "belief" implies that it no different than the latter. Stop equivocating.

The difference between those two, is the exact same difference between accepting that leprechauns might exist and believing that they do exist.
The change occurs when one takes that which he accepts as possibly true and makes a decision based on that possibility. For example, I accept the possibility that the leprechaun exists and that he has placed a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. I travel to the end of the rainbow in the hope of finding the pot of gold. By traveling to the end of the rainbow, I have converted my acceptance of the possibility that leprechauns exist into a belief (however weak) that the leprechaun is real enough to justify my believing that he has placed a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Without “belief,� one would never let that which he accepts influence a decision that he makes. You may accept the possibility that leprechauns exist, but you would never travel to the end of a rainbow to see if he hid a pot of gold there because you do not believe that leprechauns exist.

If you accept that God Z exists then you could use that as the basis for nonbelief since you could then believe that such nonbelief can result in escape from eternal torment.

If you do not accept that God Z exists (or are completely ignorant of the possible existence of God Z), then you would not pursue nonbelief because it does not offer an escape from eternal torment. You would rationally pursue a course of action that offers you the potential to escape eternal torment.

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rhutchin
The risk is derived from uncertainty and the possibility of being wrong.

enemigo
But the possibility that God Z exists (belief punished, nonbelief rewarded), means that belief also carries uncertainty and the possibility of being wrong. So if you exclude nonbelief on the basis of uncertainty, then you must exclude belief too.
If one accepts the possibility that god Z exists then one’s decision not to believe as a means to escape eternal torment must incorporate a belief that God Z can exist. If the person does not believe that God Z could exist, there is no basis for nonbelief since there is no reason to think that nonbelief can offer an escape from eternal torment.

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rhutchin
The conclusion one would reach is that nonbelief results in a risk so great that nonbelief is not a valid option. Risk does not precede nonbelief but is calculated from nonbelief.

enemigo
But you're not calculating that risk. You are assuming the risk. You are just asserting that that nonbelief is too risky, and that for that reason, it should be excluded from risk assessment.

If you don't think you are, then please put your argument (why nonbelief is too risky to be considered during risk analysis) in simple syllogistic form and show me how I am mistaken.
I did this in my response to your other msg so I won’t repeat it here.

Quote:
rhutchin
What you have done is propose that nonbelief can provide escape from eternal torment.

enemigo
Yes, the possibility that God Z might exist allows nonbelief to be considered in risk analysis as a potential way of escaping eternal torment.
What you have done is to split nonbelief and create two situations.

1. Pure nonbelief (no God Z option)
2. Modified Unbelief (with the God Z option).

My unbelief argument is based on (1). Your modified unbelief option is actually a belief system since one must not only accept the possibility of a God Z, but one must believe that God Z could exist in order to pursue unbelief as a means to escape eternal torment.

Quote:
rhutchin
I entered the risk analysis assuming that nonbelief could not provide a means to escape eternal torment.

enemigo
Is it any wonder then that your risk analysis didn't lead to the conclusion that nonbelief could provide a means to escape eternal torment?

Nonbelief would provide escape from eternal torment if God Z exists, in the exact same way that belief would provide escape from eternal torment if God Y exists. Accepting that those are possibilities does not equal belief that one of those actually exist in reality.
The standard definition of nonbelief is that it is lack of belief in any god as a means to escape eternal torment. I just assumed that definition to be correct. Your modifier nonbelief incorporates a God Z option and leaves the pure nonbelief system intact. Modified nonbelief necessarily incorporates a belief in god Z and is not really a nonbelief system.

Quote:
rhutchin
Once you decide whether you want to allow nonbelief to provide an escape from eternal torment (effectively making it a belief), then the risk analysis can proceed.

enemigo
It does not make it a belief. The fact that nonbelief would be safe if God Z existed, does not require you to believe that God Z exists.
Yes, it does. It one does not believe that God Z exists, then there is no rational basis to pursue nonbelief as a means to escape eternal torment. The goal is to escape eternal torment and the course of action one takes to do this must necessarily incorporate a belief that the course of action can accomplish its intended purpose. One will take that course of action that he believes will do what he wants and not take a course of action that he does not believe will do so.
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Old 01-06-2006, 06:21 AM   #224
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rhutchin
OK. You have the option of believing in the “faulty premises� argument. You are now in the position of having to prove that the “faulty premises� argument is absolutely certain. If you cannot do so, then you must deal with the uncertainty that comes with that position and the possibility that you could end up in eternal torment. It is the possibility of making a bad decision (no matter how small the likelihood of this) plus the potential loss (eternal torment) from that decision that would then lead you to seek to escape eternal torment. If the “faulty premises� argument does not provide a means to escape eternal torment, then there is no rationale for adhering to that argument. The rational course of action is to pursue a course that offers the promise of escape from eternal torment. It is true that one could still choose the wrong option but it is always rational to pursue that course that one “thinks� will allow them to escape eternal punishment against that course that one “knows� cannot help them escape eternal torment. Since the “faulty premises� argument does not provide a means for a person to escape eternal torment, it is never rational to adhere to that position and always rational to seek a position that claims to offer escape from eternal torment.

Alf
Errr.. I just proved that the premises are faulty. Pascal makes the wager based upon the premises that the god in question is the christian god. Removing that premises and the wager is worthless - which I have already shown.

Given that neither you nor Pascal ever bothered to establish that that premise is true,
I do not have to prove that the premise is faulty. This is called "shifting the burden of proof" and is a logical fallacy. All I have to do is to point out that without this premise the wager is worthless and I have already done that - nothing left to show.

If you want to prove that the premise is correct, that is up to you. I agree that you have an easier job than without the wager. You don't have to prove that the christian god exist, you just have to prove that it is either true that the christian god exist or there is no god. I.e. you have to prove that all the 29999 gods or so that people have believed in and the millions upon millions of gods that no person has yet believed in but which could possibily be believed in is impossible. Good luck in your attempt.
You did not prove that the premises were faulty. All you argued was for the possibility that the premises could be faulty.

When you remove the premise that Pascal’s God (and by extention, any god or belief system claimed to accomplish the same purpose) you have removed the whole basis for the argument – No god; no eternal torment; no decision. This means that you can prove that God does not exist and if God does not exist there is no eternal torment for one to want to avoid. If, however, it turns out that you cannot prove that God does not exist, then you cannot remove the premise (that God might exist) from the Wager and the Wager stands on its merits.
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Old 01-06-2006, 07:58 AM   #225
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rhutchin
But we still have

3. Nonbelief does not provide a means to escape eternal torment.
3a. Belief in God Z provide a means to escape eternal torment.
A. If nonbelief (negation of 3a) is uncertain and possibly wrong, then it is too risky to be a viable option.
B. nonbelief (negation of 3a) is uncertain and possibly wrong.
=> C. nonbelief is too risky to be a viable option.

If one accepts 3a then one has moved from nonbelief to belief. If one has no knowledge of God Z, then there is no effect on the nonbelief argument.
No we haven't.

Your 3 & 3a are incorrect. How many times do I have to tell you that "belief" in God Z does NOT provide a means to escape eternal torment? Nonbelief does.

This is correct:

3a. Nonbelief in God Z provides a means to escape eternal torment.


Further, if God Z exists, then because he punishes belief, that means that belief is uncertain and possibly wrong, and therefore:

A. If belief is uncertain and possibly wrong, then it is too risky to be a viable option.
B. belief is uncertain and possibly wrong.
=> C. belief is too risky to be a viable option.
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Old 01-06-2006, 08:05 AM   #226
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God and the Easter Bunny are only known to exist as ideas in the minds of men. Whether they exist elsewhere is unknown. Can you explain your irrational position of not "choosing to believe" in the Easter Bunny to avoid Easter Bunny hell? If you cannot then you have no grounds to argue that the wager is valid.

Your god and the Easter bunny have the same quality of "realness" to me. That is they are both mental constructs without a corresponding being which exists outside of mens minds. If you cannot convince me that you have the power to "choose to believe" that the Easter bunny exists outside of men's minds then the argument is flawed in that it demands an impossibility. If you can do this, then explain your irrationality of avoiding Easter bunny hell when it costs you nothing to believe it but eternal Easter bunny torment for failure to do so.
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Old 01-06-2006, 08:19 AM   #227
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rhutchin
You did not prove that the premises were faulty. All you argued was for the possibility that the premises could be faulty.

When you remove the premise that Pascal’s God (and by extention, any god or belief system claimed to accomplish the same purpose) you have removed the whole basis for the argument – No god; no eternal torment; no decision. This means that you can prove that God does not exist and if God does not exist there is no eternal torment for one to want to avoid. If, however, it turns out that you cannot prove that God does not exist, then you cannot remove the premise (that God might exist) from the Wager and the Wager stands on its merits.
The texts say that the Devil believes that God exists, so the existance of God is not the main issue here. The main issue is that SUBSEQUENT to a person believing that the God of the Bible exists, what must a person do in order to go to heaven? The New Testament clearly says in a number of places that a person cannot go to heaven unless he loves and obeys God. Actually, a believer must love God with ALL of his heart, soul, and mind. God has made this impossible for skeptics. Consider the following scriptures:

Exodus 4:11 And the Lord said unto him, Who hath made man's mouth? or who maketh the dumb, or deaf, or the seeing, or the blind? have not I the Lord?

Revelation 14: 9 And the third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice, If any man worship the beast and his image, and receive his mark in his forehead, or in his hand,

10 The same shall drink of the wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out without mixture into the cup of his indignation; and he shall be tormented with fire and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels, and in the presence of the Lamb:

11 And the smoke of their torment ascendeth up for ever and ever: and they have no rest day nor night, who worship the beast and his image, and whosoever receiveth the mark of his name.

Revelation 9:1 And the fifth angel sounded, and I saw a star fall from heaven unto the earth: and to him was given the key of the bottomless pit.

2 And he opened the bottomless pit; and there arose a smoke out of the pit, as the smoke of a great furnace; and the sun and the air were darkened by reason of the smoke of the pit.

3 And there came out of the smoke locusts upon the earth: and unto them was given power, as the scorpions of the earth have power.

4 And it was commanded them that they should not hurt the grass of the earth, neither any green thing, neither any tree; but only those men which have not the seal of God in their foreheads.

5 And to them it was given that they should not kill them, but that they should be tormented five months: and their torment was as the torment of a scorpion, when he striketh a man.

6 And in those days shall men seek death, and shall not find it; and shall desire to die, and death shall flee from them.

Rhutchin, how can you possibly love a God like that with all of your heart, soul, and mind? If a human made a person blind or deaf, he would be put in prison, and with your blessing I might add. The only reason that you tolerate such behavior from God is that you believe that he will provide you with a comfortable eternal life, but that is merely an idle and uncorroborated speculation. Such is the case with the followers of all religions. You only have the Bible's writers word for it that God promised believers a comfortable life. You wouldn't have any interest at all in defending the Bible if all of the evidence were the same with the single expection that God is evil instead of good and will send everyone to hell. You are defending eternal comfort, not the Bible.

At best, the God of the Bible is bi-polar or amoral, and he is inconsistent. Proof of his inconsistency is that on some occassions, he demonstrated his supernatural powers for the express purpose of encouraging people to follow him, but most of the time he refused to do that.
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Old 01-06-2006, 08:39 AM   #228
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chili
Universe doesn't exist.
OK

Quote:
Do you want to tell me that God created time too?
Yours or mine? I'm going to say God created everything, including time. But I'm thinking more in terms of actualising possible worlds (not possibilia, mind) than fashioning some rock.

Quote:
How stupid is an argument that claims things are wrong with me because God created time and that is why I am getting older.
I'm going to go with C. Nebraska
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Old 01-06-2006, 08:39 AM   #229
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rhutchin
The argument goes like this.

1. One cannot prove that God cannot exist so it is possible that a person is subject to eternal torment.
As has been explained to you repeatedly, this argument is flawed from the outset because it incorporates an irrational shift of the burden to proving a negative. It also, based on some of your other posts, incorporates the irrational requirement of "absolute certainty".

1. One cannot prove that God exists so there is no rational basis to fear being subjected to eternal torment.

Quote:
2. Eternal torment is such a severe outcome that, assuming even the smallest likelihood that it could happen, it generates the greatest risk to the individual.
Since we have no good reason to believe God exists, there is no basis for assuming even the smallest likelihood that it could happen and, therefore, there is no actual risk.

Quote:
3. Nonbelief does not provide a means to escape eternal torment.
Since there is no good reason to think eternal torment exists as an actual consequence, there is nothing from which one needs to escape.

Your argument is fatally flawed and presents absolutely no challenge to atheism.
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Old 01-06-2006, 09:12 AM   #230
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Originally Posted by Amaleq13
As has been explained to you repeatedly, this argument is flawed from the outset because it incorporates an irrational shift of the burden to proving a negative. It also, based on some of your other posts, incorporates the irrational requirement of "absolute certainty".
Actually, if you're going to argue from this point, you have a burden to show that there is no possible world in which people go to hell. I take into account your claim that one needn't prove a negative, but frankly that line was chucked out years ago.

All your opponent needs to do is infer that

'This atheist affirms that there is no good reason to believe in the existence of hell or some other abode of eternal torment'

Quote:
1. One cannot prove that God exists so there is no rational basis to fear being subjected to eternal torment.
This doesn't follow. A better premise would be

1. One cannot prove God does not exist so it is rational not to fear the prospect of eternal torment, given that the prospect hinges entirely on the existence of God.

Quote:
Since we have no good reason to believe God exists, there is no basis for assuming even the smallest likelihood that it could happen and, therefore, there is no actual risk.
Again, this doesn't follow. The possibility of eternal torment is not overshadowed by the claim that God has not been proven. I think, however, you are confusng two concepts.

1. That we might go to Hell

2. That the Judeo-Christian God probably exists

In the case of the first inference, there's not much we can do except try to do what we believe is right. Even then we could be fucked.

In the case of the second inference, there is a burden on the believer to provide support for the assertion that their God probably or certainly does exist.

Hence, you have the right idea in mind, by attacking the probability of God's existence (which is implicitly assumed in the Wager, albeit without sound justification) but your error is in jumping to the conclusion that it is irrational to fear hell, or deny the possibility of hell.

Quote:
Since there is no good reason to think eternal torment exists as an actual consequence, there is nothing from which one needs to escape.
There is no good reason for me to believe I will be hit by a bus tomorrow, but damned if I sprint blindly across the road.

Quote:
Your argument is fatally flawed and presents absolutely no challenge to atheism.
I'd say it presents little or nothing in support of Judeo-Christian theism, and that your attempted rebuttal is attempting to be stronger than necessary.
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