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Old 05-24-2006, 10:10 AM   #291
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bfniii
you are assuming that the criticisms of the prophecy are valid or that they have quality.
No. You are asuming we can't read. When even Ezekiel admits it was a dud it should be pretty clear to anyone that it was a dud, notwithstanding all of the historical evidence proving it was a dud. Even if Ezekiel hadn't admitted it was a dud, it wouldn't alter the bald fact that it was a dud.

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Old 05-25-2006, 01:32 AM   #292
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Lee:
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You are suggesting that a future archaeologist, standing on THE ISLAND OF MANHATTAN, might conclude (purely from a lack of still-standing structures above ground) that THE ISLAND OF MANHATTAN, (which he's still STANDING ON) is "underwater".

No, I'm suggesting that underwater ruins, with no underground ruins that you can find by digging, would indicate that Manhatten sank.
Nope, you're still not making any sense.

Whatever gave you the notion that Tyre has "no underground ruins that you can find by digging"? The Phoenician ruins are underneath the present town. If you were prepared to demolish modern Tyre, you'd presumably find plenty of them: just as you'd presumably find the ruins of old "New Amsterdam" if you demolished modern New York.

So, if our hypothetical archaeologist goes to Manhattan, and can't see the ruins of New Amsterdam because they're underneath the modern city: he would drown if his name is "Merrill"?

Remember what you're claiming here: that YOU, Lee Merrill, have NO IDEA if the island of Manhattan is above water or underwater. You are, apparently, one of only a handful of people in the world who don't KNOW that Manhattan is actually above water: only a handful who can still be persuaded otherwise, by the flimsiest of "evidence".
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Old 05-25-2006, 08:35 PM   #293
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Don: Then you are agreeing that the island of Tyre (which is presently connected to Alexander’s silted up causeway) is currently above sea level and has inhabitants.
Lee: Oops, no, by "the peninsula of Tyre" I mean whatever is left of Tyre after the island sank. I really need three names, "ancient fortress Tyre," "mainland Tyre" and "Tyre today."
Ok. That makes more sense. SO your position is that sometime after 332 BC and before 2006 AD Insular Tyre, the original island connected together by Hiram and which defied Alexander, dropped below sea-level and we do not know where it is. So how did you come to this conclusion? What is this position based upon? What makes this a plausible position to maintain?

Quote:
(Speaking about the Phoenician wall Alexander’s army breached)
Don: This is a travel website. I do not think their budget is in the habit of employing doctors of archaeology.
Lee: What, they can't look this up? Surely they would be very interested in such discoveries, and would make much noise about them if they knew of them, and it would also seem that all you have mentioned wasn't done in a corner.
Alexander personally attacked one corner- he specifically ordered a pincher attack to surround and demoralize the Tyrians…the breached wall found by Dr. Frost in which the host of the documentary, Mr. Woodward, was standing was only a portion of the breached defenses. Alexander was atop a tower alongside the wall…once Admetus was killed, Alexander hopped down into the fray and charged through the breach at this point. It is not certain that the breached 5th Century Phoenician wall that was located by Dr. Frost in 1966 is in fact the same point of entry that Alexander used, but it makes for an interesting documentary. Curtius tells us there were many such places where the walls caved in (QC 4.4.12); Arrian further confirms that this small breach may in fact be where Alexander charged through…
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arrian 2.23.4-6
In the ensuing action Admetus played the soldiers part, and Alexander himself was in the thick of it, fighting like the rest…The section of the defenses where Alexander had chosen to take personal command was, in fact, the first to fall; the attacking force were no longer faced by sheer and precipitous ascent but had, for the first time, firm ground under their feet…Admetus, leading the assault…was killed…Alexander, hot on his heels, seized the breach and, having established control of some of the towers together with the sections of the wall connecting them, passed on through the battlements towards the royal quarters, this way appearing to offer the most practicable descent into the town.
This fits squarely into what Peter Woodward was recounting when he was standing in the very same 5th century breached wall on location at Tyre Lebanon in 2004…
Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter Woodward
“Alexander himself takes his place and after bitter fighting his men break through and gain a small breach in the wall- it is all they need. I am standing on the inner defensive walls of Tyre and it is here, sure enough, that archaeologists have found a small breach in the wall. They believe that it is in this place that the Macedonians poured through the defenses. They cut down the exhausted Tyrians, drove them north…” etc
Obviously if we have evidence of even a portion of the wall of ancient Tyre we have additional proof that the island is not lost forever and “broken off and sunk” as you and Mr. Archer assert. But I find this even less convincing than the evidence for the northern “Sidonian” port that is still in use to this day…there is archaeological and literary evidence from Alexander’s day and obvious our day for this port and this is proof positive that the island is not lost somewhere under the sea but very much inhabited to this day.

Quote:
Don: Another way of reading this is to think “island” whenever you see the noun “Tyre”. E.g. “Nebuchadnezzar, King of Babylon, laid siege to the walled city for thirteen years. But Tyre stood firm since it was surrounded by water and kept getting re-supplied...
Lee: Why on earth did they give in, then? It would seem they could keep this up indefinitely, for Neb had no navy to speak of.
Any king away from his kingdom for such a length of time would start to get paranoid that murmurs of discontentment at home or on his borders need his personal attention. He obviously was making an impact and it wasn’t a stalemate- it was like Nixon’s idea- “Peace with Honor” The Tyre was not sacked and its people were free but some punishment was meated out to the aristocracy. I think Nebuchadnezzar probably just saw the futility in the whole process.
Quote:
Don: Nebuchadnezzar was most likely hoping to blockade Tyre by guarding Ushu where Tyre got its fresh water from...
Lee: That's a good point, and yet I wonder how they got fresh water for 13 years, and then finally could apparently get no more.
This need not happen overnight or anything – all that was necessary was that the two sides came to an agreement- Tyre was obviously weakened trying to fend off such a mighty empire that consisted of many nations and Nebuchadnezzar could get back to actually making sure these many nations did not back out on him and get back to govenoring his empire.

Quote:
Lee: Do you have evidence that the mainland city had no walls or towers?

Don: What kind of physical evidence would I need to demonstrate that something doesn’t exist?
Lee: You did seem to be making this very claim, I do think it more likely that Neb attacked the mainland city, and that they had walls and towers to defend it. If you disagree, then I shall again ask for the reasons!
I pointed out that #1- we have no archaeological evidence for a walled city, #2 we have no literary evidence or inscriptions similar to those that show Tyre as a fortified island city (ANEP 327, 321) #3 Never in all of recorded history did Ushu ever withstand a siege of any kind #4 All of the historians and archaeologists I have cited say that Ushu’s residents would flee to Tyre during times of war.
These are four powerful facts in support of the idea that Ushu was not a walled city (perhaps it had a makeshift wooden palisade or the like to keep animals fenced in or predators or small bandits out but nothing like a solid stone wall with fortified towers that Ezekiel mentions). Given that you are forcing me to prove a negative I think that these facts sufficiently demonstrate that it is more probable that Ushu did NOT have stone walls and fortified towers like Ezekiel mentioned.
Quote:
Don: All I can do is speculate on the fact that Ushu never withstood a siege in recorded history...
Lee: Some sources (see above~Don notes: Lee is referring to Nina Jidejian~) would say the 13-year siege was of Ushu, though, which I think more probable.
Dr. Jidejian never says that Ushu had stone walls, she never explicitly says that the siege last 13 years against Ushu but she does subscribe to the idea that Ezekiel was prophesying against the mainland and the island- she never specifically says which…
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr. Jidejian
Ezekiel, speaking in the name of the God of Israel, predicts the siege of Tyre in which the city withstood Nebuchadnezzar’s armies for thirteen years (585-572 B.C.).
Tyre Through the Ages p54 1969 1st etd
Dr. Jidejian later says that…
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr. Jidejian
The capture of the city was somewhat different from the prophecy and Ezekiel is forced to admit. (cites Ez 29:18-19)
Tyre Through the Ages p55 1969 1st etd
Oddly, Dr. Jidejian does say that, referring to Ezekiel 26:7-14, that
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr. Jidejian
Much of this refers to the mainland city.
Tyre Through the Ages p54 1969 1st etd
Since verses 7-14 mention walls and fortified towers we can only speculate how Dr. Jidejian came to her conclusion and whether or not these “walls and fortified towers” were the part that she says was referring to the mainland city.
What makes you think it is “more probable” that Ushu withstood a 13 year siege given the weight of evidence for each side?




Quote:
Don: Pierre Bikai, Patricia Bikai, H.J. Katzenstein and Maurice Cherab ... state that when the city was attacked they “fled to Tyre for safety”.
Lee: Right, after they saw that the mainland city could hold out no longer. This statement fits with both your view and mine.
So you are saying WHEN Nebuchadnezzar ATTACKED Ushu the inhabitants waited 13 years to flee to the fortified island, the religious and administrative center of Tyre, the citadel renown for being impregnable…you think that they stayed 13 years in a city that never once survived a siege in its recorded history? Why? This makes no sense…
Quote:
Don: Nina published her book in 1969 and was not a part of this excavation and did no updates to her later publications.
Lee: She did, actually, the second edition is copyright 1996.
And in that preface what updates did she say she did?
Quote:
Don: The film where Mr. Woodward is standing in the breached wall is from 2004- and more excavating has been done but very little has been published.
Lee: It seems he made some mistakes in points of fact, though, that the Macedonians did not pour through a small breach, they even used bridges over the walls from their boats, and the breaches were (some do say) substantial.

"The section of the defenses where Alexander had chosen to take personal command was, in fact, the first to fall ... and the northern harbor, which was not protected by booms, presented no difficulty to the Cyprians. They sailed straight in and quickly gained control of that portion of the town" (Arrian, "The Campaigns of Alexander", pp. 141-142).
I pointed out earlier that Alexander passed through the “first” breach in the wall…Peter Woodward never said that this was the ONLY breach made in the wall- for brevity I only cited the part about the actual find of 5th Century Phoenician remains because you asked why there were none. I have demonstrated that we have this wall and pottery handles both dating to this period to show provide additional proof that the island is not broken off under water somewhere.
Quote:
Don: Therefore you are rendering Ezekiel’s prophecy insignificant
Lee: Must I repeat myself again?
"Scripture does not seem to restrict itself to making only unlikely prophecies."
Do you know what the opposite of an “unlikely prophecy” is? It is like me predicting that George W. Bush would invade Iraq in late fall of 2003. Do you realize how many people did this? I wont harp on this because I am not trying to discredit the Bible I just thought that this was supposed to be a significant prophecy. Since you think otherwise I will drop this particular issue.
Quote:
Don: Pile on top of these two points is the fact that Tyre still stands to this day, which renders the prophecy unfulfilled Lee: That is the point at issue though, is it not? You cannot make your conclusion your argument. Well, you can, but I shall not be very much convinced...
I don’t believe I have made my conclusion my argument because I feel as though I have successfully presented enough evidence to convince anyone that the area called Tyre in Alexander’s day still stands to this day. Since you still disagree, what is your evidence that the island broke off in light of the fact that the Sidonian harbor is still in use, the wall Alexander passed through sits above the sea next to modern buildings, pottery fragments from 5th century Tyre were found near modern buildings in section #7, no one that I know of on earth but you and Mr. Archer assert such a theory, the only reason you do seems to be from a presuppositionalist’s view and is therefore entirely theologically based, aerial photography matches the outline of the city with a clear view of the same Sidonian harbor etc…I could go on and on here…so what is YOUR evidence to support YOUR theory?
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Old 05-25-2006, 08:45 PM   #294
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bfniii
you are assuming that the criticisms of the prophecy are valid or that they have quality. we may never have enough information in the form of archeaological evidence or historical evidence to convince every single person one way or the other. it's a matter of degree. the information that exists causes some people to believe it, some not and some to remain undecided.
Are you a third person, after Gleason Archer and Lee Merrill, who thinks that Tyre broke of and sunk into the sea?

The information that "exists" and has been presented has been done so all from one side. All that Lee has argued is whether it is "plausible" and therefore in his mind "defensible" these kinds of semantics do not count as "evidence" in favor for him, they only demonstrate the fundmentals of epistemology. It is simple to take a stance where you sit back and say, "prove it to me" and let others do reasearch and formulate putatively airtight arguments...what is certainly not being addressed is that if someone wants to claim that Ezekiel made a successful prediction, no matter how insignificant, then that person making the claim must carry the burden of proof. All I have seen in this forum is ducking and dodging and appeals to the limits of epistemology.
This thread almost belongs in the philosophy forum because we don't seem to be discussing what is "highly probable" but just what "might be possible" - hell just about ANYTHING is possible...except for Ezekiel being right that is...
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Old 05-25-2006, 11:02 PM   #295
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In 1945 Dr. Maurice Cherab became the director of the Lebanese Antiquities department. In 1947 Dr. Cherab found the Roman promenade with its green marbled columns. North of this was found an ancient arena, south of the promenade they found a Roman gymnasium. By 1960 this area, known as the “City Excavation” because it was located on the site of the ancient insular city of Tyre which you think fell off into the ocean, was expanded and a Roman road, just north of the Egyptian harbor, was found with richly decorated houses. Now, in addition to Dr. Patricia Bikai and Dr. Maurice Cherab, I found an online tourist who was at this very site. She says, “

Quote:
Originally Posted by sachara, tourist who visited Tyre in Oct 2003
On the old Phoenician city island is another archaeological site. It is a large site of collonades, public baths, mosaic streets and an unusual rectangular arena. Most of the buildings in this area date from the Greek and the Roman periods, but there are some Byzantine cisternes and Phoenician remains of walls At the shore you can see the remains of Phoenician jetties. At the other side of the street are the remains of a crusader cathedral, which can not be visited. Open daily from 8 am to 5 pm. Entrance is 2.000 LL.
http://www.virtualtourist.com/travel...Tyre-BR-1.html
So if the Roman promenade, the arena, and the lavish houses along the roman road are all found in what Dr. Bikai and Dr. Cherab call the, “City Excavation” (Bikai, P. in Joukowsky, M. Heritage of Tyre, Chp 3 1992 p31) and this person visited this very site and places it squarely in same area, where the 5th century Phoenician wall IS...why do you think this fell off into the sea and is lost?

Another interesting note, I watched the documentary again and you can see the Roman promenade in the background when Mr. Woodward is standing by the Phoenician wall we have been discussing. IN addition to this I have pictures here in Dr. Joukowsky’s book “Heritage of Tyre” (1992), Dr. Bikai’s description which coincides with the photographs, the documentary, the tourist Sachara mentioned earlier AND least we forget the Sidonian Harbor!!

Plus, where else would you find a 5th century Phoenician wall with evidence of bombardament on it? It is too late for Nebuchadnezzar and too early to be constructed on teh Penisula since it pre dates Alexander...how do you account for this evidence? Are you still just going to wonder why some tourist site didnt mention it? I read several tourists sites tonight- one even said that it was Hiram who created Alexander's causeway! Do you really think they worry about FACTS?

So what is your evidence that insular Tyre, the religious and administrative center of the city of Tyre, broke off and fell into the sea and is lost to this day…?
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Old 05-26-2006, 08:53 AM   #296
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lebanon Tourist Website
Since Phoenician king Hiram first joined two rocky isles by a causeway to the shore, its residents resisted sieges and blockades by rulers from Nebuchadnezzar to Alexander the Great.

Source:
http://almashriq.hiof.no/lebanon/900/lebanese_heritage/
This sentence is not only misleading but incorrect on two points: #1 Hiram did connect some islands together but did not create a causeway to the shore, Alexander did this. And, #2 it seems to imply that Tyre successfully resisted Alexander.

My point is to demonstrate how unscholarly these tourist websites can be and citing them for source info without backing them up with something from either a professional historian or archaeologists adds little to no strength to ones argument.
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Old 05-26-2006, 08:50 PM   #297
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Hi everyone,

Quote:
Johnny Skeptic: You can start with reasonably proving that the prophecy was written before the events, and that the version that we have today is the same as the original version. Then you can tell us what about the prophecy indicates to you that it was divinely inspired.
And let's grant your points! Let's even say the prophecy was written after the event (and no one noticed), and the version we have today is quite different from the original version, and that it was not divinely inspired.

Now that all these questions are addressed, let's discuss Farrell Till's question, as to whether what we have before us really happened.

Quote:
Lee: I'm suggesting that underwater ruins, with no underground ruins that you can find by digging, would indicate that Manhatten sank.

Jack: The Phoenician ruins are underneath the present town. If you were prepared to demolish modern Tyre, you'd presumably find plenty of them...
Alas, we hear of no such ruins, pottery, yes! But no Phoenician ruins that I have heard of, apart from the one claim Don mentioned in the documentary, no claims especially from the tourist sites, though folks have been digging, and even found Roman and Greek layers underground.

Quote:
Don: What is this position based upon? What makes this a plausible position to maintain?
I base the conclusion that the island-part sank mainly on:

1) Lack of discovery of Phoenician ruins under the Roman/Greek layers in the current location of Tyre, underground.
2) Phoenician ruins at the sea bottom, offshore.
3) Herod's port sank, at which time some conclude Tyre-the-island sank also (and a major fault line runs right down the coast), and there is even a map of a sunken island of Hercules, right offshore of Tyre!
4) Tyre doesn't look like a normal peninsula, e.g. its shape does not resemble Florida.

Quote:
Lee: Surely [tourist agencies] would be very interested in such discoveries, and would make much noise about them if they knew of them, and it would also seem that all you have mentioned wasn't done in a corner.

Don: Alexander personally attacked one corner...
Well, what I meant is that these discoveries are not especially obscure, so then why wouldn't the tourist agencies know of them?

Quote:
Don: Obviously if we have evidence of even a portion of the wall of ancient Tyre we have additional proof that the island is not lost forever... Peter Woodward never said that this was the ONLY breach made in the wall...
But he does seem to speak (from what you have quoted) as if the one small breach was the entry to the city, and it most apparently, was not. Surely he would have read Arrian, who describes entry from ships at sea, and so forth, as well as Alex's breaking through, so why speak like this?

But again, if a Phoenician wall has been discovered, why do we not hear about it from the tourist pages? Why does Jidejian not show a picture of this in her book, copyright 1996, or even mention this, as far as I can tell?

Quote:
And in that preface what updates did she say she did?
She doesn't specifically outline the changes made, actually, but I have noticed some quotes are different, and on different pages.

Quote:
Don: ... there is archaeological and literary evidence from Alexander’s day and obvious our day for this [northern Sidonian] port ...
What evidence would that be, may I ask? I will require some details here...

Quote:
Lee: Why on earth did they give in, then? It would seem they could keep this up indefinitely, for Neb had no navy to speak of.

Don: I think Nebuchadnezzar probably just saw the futility in the whole process.
I was asking not why Neb might have given in, but why Tyre did, though.

Quote:
Don: Tyre was obviously weakened trying to fend off such a mighty empire that consisted of many nations and Nebuchadnezzar could get back to actually making sure these many nations did not back out on him and get back to govenoring his empire.
All right, so they just got tired (Tyred?) of the whole business, and agreed to a settlement? Perhaps, but I see no special reason for them to give up, if everything that went in and out of the city had to go by ship anyway, thus the only difference was that the trip was longer, but no extra trips were required.

And it would be nice to have some record of what happened, to inform us here.

Quote:
#1- we have no archaeological evidence for a walled city, #2 we have no literary evidence or inscriptions similar to those that show Tyre as a fortified island city (ANEP 327, 321) #3 Never in all of recorded history did Ushu ever withstand a siege of any kind #4 All of the historians and archaeologists I have cited say that Ushu’s residents would flee to Tyre during times of war.
But point number 3 assumes your conclusion, and point number 4 fits fine with both views, they held out until the city had to be abandoned, in your view sooner, in my view, later.

And Jidejian and others think the siege was of the mainland city, so I think your conclusion may not be conclusive! "Palaetyrus was forced to submit to Nebuchadnezzar. Its walls do not seem to have been restored..." ("Tyre Through the Ages," p. 19).

Quote:
Dr. Jidejian never says that Ushu had stone walls...
She does say "it must have been strongly fortified," though (p. 19).

Quote:
What makes you think it is “more probable” that Ushu withstood a 13 year siege given the weight of evidence for each side?
Jidejian's conclusion, for one, she seems a well-versed authority. It would also seem improbable that Neb would think he was besieging a city, by occupying the beach offshore! Nor would it seem that the island city would be much put to it, by probably having to sail farther, but not more frequently, for provisions and trading.

Quote:
Don, quoting Jidejian: "The capture of the city was somewhat different from the prophecy and Ezekiel is forced to admit. (cites Ez 29:18-19)"

Boro Nut: When even Ezekiel admits it was a dud...
Yet how is the prophecy wrong, if Neb only did not get lots of plunder? That is what Eze. 29:18-19 says, and presumably, when the residents saw they could not hold out, they sent their treasures over to the island.

Quote:
... you think that they stayed 13 years in a city that never once survived a siege in its recorded history? Why?
Because you hate to hand over your houses and lands and rule of an area to an attacker? It's certainly helpful having the nearest coast nearby accessible to you, just like Russia gobbled up some countries for a port to the sea, or at least tried to, kind of the opposite direction, but the same motivation.

Why defend America if you can flee to Alaska or Hawaii?

Quote:
Don: Byzantine cisternes and Phoenician remains of walls At the shore you can see the remains of Phoenician jetties.
Yes, I even mentioned this earlier, and posted a comment, there are other mentions of these jetties by archaeologists (instead of by tourists), and yet they do not mention these walls. So I think perhaps this tourist was mistaken, or might have misunderstood (or been misled?) by an overzealous tourist guide.

Quote:
I read several tourists sites tonight- one even said that it was Hiram who created Alexander's causeway! Do you really think they worry about FACTS?
I would think they would be tempted to elaborate, so then a lack of such claims would tend to indicate no good evidence at all, would it not?

Quote:
So what is your evidence that insular Tyre, the religious and administrative center of the city of Tyre, broke off and fell into the sea and is lost to this day…?
Well, if that map of the island of Hercules is correct, then that shows a piece of Tyre that sank. Why do you all not believe the map? I was being chided for not believing the pictures, maybe this shoe is really on the other foot.

Regards,
Lee
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Old 05-26-2006, 11:44 PM   #298
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lee_merrill
Hi everyone,

And let's grant your [Johnny Skeptic's] points! Let's even say the prophecy was written [I said "might" have been written] after the event (and no one noticed), [Maybe some people did notice and their written objections were destroyed. As Elaine Pagels has said, "The victors rewrote history, 'their way.'"] and the version we have today is quite different from the original version, and that it was not divinely inspired.

Now that all these questions are addressed, let's discuss Farrell Till's question, as to whether what we have before us really happened.
If the prophecy is a fraud, what difference does it make what happened?
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Old 05-27-2006, 10:38 AM   #299
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lee_merrill
...if everything that went in and out of the city had to go by ship anyway, thus the only difference was that the trip was longer, but no extra trips were required.
I just thought I'd point out a hole in your logic here.

Let's say Tyre had a given number of ships for supply runs, and they were used to making short trips (say one day, including loading and unloading) to get those supplies.

Now along comes the siege, and suddenly those ships have to go elsewhere. Now it takes three days to bring in the same number of supplies. With the same number of ships and the same number of trips, you are now bringing in one-third the supplies you were before.

That makes a big difference when you're trying to supply a city.
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Old 05-27-2006, 03:23 PM   #300
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny Skeptic
If the prophecy is a fraud, what difference does it make what happened?
But my purpose here was to keep the discussion focused on Farrell Till's specific question. For these other questions, you may revive your thread asking about when the prophecy was made and so on!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gullwind
With the same number of ships and the same number of trips, you are now bringing in one-third the supplies you were before.
Ooh, so right you are. More ships are needed to keep the supply rates the same. Yet I would think they would have gotten over that hump by the first year or so, but it may have been that some pirates and storms sank half their ships...

Regards,
Lee
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