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03-17-2003, 11:59 AM | #11 | ||
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Quote:
Quote:
If I can get a few folks to see that being judged by our own rules is fair enough, I might be doing some good I think. Rad |
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03-17-2003, 10:36 PM | #12 |
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(Gauntleted hand slams visor down, shield and lance are
hoisted, horse is spurred) Well, no, maybe a bit more friendly than that... Radorth says: That's fine. You won't mind people disagreeing with you, pointing out evidence we think you are ignoring, and pointing out that in some cases you may not have applied the same standards of proof to what you believe or don't. No, I don't mind any of those things. As far as I can tell, my standards of proof (if I start to have a problem with this term, I'll suggest a replacement) are fairly consistent. Please bear in mind that I have entered few debates on this forum, and may not share the positions of others. Do you have any particular areas where you suspect I may be being inconsistent? No, that's hardly fair, is it? How can I ask you to guess my position? I do my best not to hold "beliefs". I have opinions, weak or strong depending upon the evidence supporting them. I have a very strong opinion that the physical world exists, for example. I have a slightly less strong opinion that New York City exists (I have been there). Existence of Canada (people I know and trust have been there) E.o. China (the idea that this place doesn't exist requires a massive conspiracy involving too many people to be plausible). E.o. electrons (ditto, but less strong, since the evidence is filtered through instruments). Etc. However, all of these propositions I hold with such high confidence that it may fairly be called "certainty". I do not even passingly entertain the notion that they are false, nor will I, unless some drastic new evidence meets my attention. Continental drift, oceanic anarobic vent life, planetary motion... never checked it myself, but it makes sense and lots of people have checked it out in excruciating detail. The battle of Waterloo, the geologic age of the earth, the existence of Julius Caesar, biological evolution, quantum mechanics... High confidence. Cannot check it myself, but it makes sense in light of existing evidence. Existence of non-terrestrial intelligence: neutral. Given the size of the playground, I would be surprised if there were no other complex life, but I don't know enough to estimate probabilities (yes, I know the Drake equation). Existence of some being or beings which could be described by humans as deities (as opposed to super-aliens): Low, and the more spectacular they are, the lower the probability. No evidence for this I know of, just lots of speculation. Existence of the Loch Ness monster, bigfoot, ghosts: quite low. There are large problems with any of these being true, but it is possible some of them is true in some respect, somehow. I'd take a lot of convincing. Existence of leprechauns, elves, dragons: very low indeed. I can imagine some real-world basis for legends about these, but think it much more likely they're just made up. E.o. various deities including the Christian God: Darn low. Near zero. Just plain silly or seem self-contradictory. If I have not totally exhausted your reading patience at this point, any comments you have are welcome. In such talks, I tend to make one reply rather than a point-by-point dissection. I promise to be civil, but not to reply quickly, as I cannot always log on every day. |
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