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Old 04-07-2002, 02:39 PM   #31
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It would be interesting to hear what people make of this arguement. You made need to register to read it though.. doesn't take long.

<a href="http://www.the-scientist.com/yr1995/jan/opin_950109.html" target="_blank">http://www.the-scientist.com/yr1995/jan/opin_950109.html</a>
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Old 04-07-2002, 03:06 PM   #32
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Tercel,
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I'm perfectly happy to accept what I would call "methodological naturalism" for the vast majority of the time, save where the specific circumstances suggest to me that methodological naturalism is not specifically appropriate in the case.
Hence any case you present against what I understand as "methodological supernaturalism" in general is not going to apply to me, nor I believe any other Christians.
Wrong. Your view is methodologically fraught, in the absence of some account of the principles by which you decide when to abandon naturalistic explanation.

Ah, I see; it’s when “specific circumstances suggest to [you] that methodological naturalism is not specifically appropriate”! Excellent! So clear! I can see why you were twitting and insulting the folks who thought there might be a teensy problem of vacuousness here.

Tell me, does someone blow a whistle to tell you when to say “Supernatural” rather than “I don’t know”? Let me guess – these intuitions of supernatural appropriateness... they seem to come when you’re considering the miracle claims of the religion to which you’re antecedently committed? And never when you’re reflecting on, oh, say, the massively attested ascension of Mohammed, or the miracles of David Koresh, or the miracles – supported by thousands of living witnesses – of Sai Baba?

Remarkable. Someone less attuned to the obviousness of your methodology might mistakenly observe the convenient substitution of “Supernatural!” for “I don’t know” in cases that support your religious ideology. Such a person (let’s call him, say, Metaclypse) would point out that supernatural explanation is hence a label for a gap in knowledge, and not a bridge for the gap. But you’ve sure showed why that’s all wrong. It’s because sometimes specific circumstances suggest otherwise to you.
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Old 04-07-2002, 03:22 PM   #33
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E_muse,
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The idea that a belief in a supernatural creator somehow stifles scientific interest or progress seems at least wholly inaccurate and historically indefensible.
At least wholly inaccurate and indefensible? Hey, I'm just glad it's not worse!

You're not quite getting the point, in any case. The claim in this thread, as I understand it, is not that believing in God means you can't give good explanations. It's that your good explanations never include God as a mechanism. Notice that Newton never says that (e.g.) gravitational action at a distance is explained by God's invisibly pulling objects together! He just sought a lawlike description of the phenomenon, and where he couldn't explain it in terms of the Mechanism of his day, he left it unexplained. To the extent that he showed such high methodological scruple, it was by resisting whatever urge he may have had to say "Every case of gravitational attraction is a case of God's working a miracle".

Moreover, notice that Newton saw God's role as an initial creator -- and Newton never offered a physical explanation of the origins of the universe, nor even focussed upon this as a great question calling for an answer. He took the Steady State model for granted. Because that's just how goddidit? There is reason to think that, to the extent that Newton did envision God playing a causal role in the physical universe, it did lead him to ignore scientifically open possibilities.

[ April 07, 2002: Message edited by: Clutch ]</p>
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Old 04-07-2002, 03:22 PM   #34
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Tercel (and other theists),

Clutch does raise an interesting point, even if he does so rather confrontationally. Can you describe for us the methodology you use to determine when "specific circumstances" warrant the conlcusion that methodological naturalism is not appropriate? In other words, how do you determine which events are not in principle explainable under meth. naturalism?
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Old 04-07-2002, 03:48 PM   #35
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I've just come across this thread. Very interesting. I haven't read through all of it yet, but one thing on page 1 did jump out at me:
SanDiegoAtheist, in response to a previous post by Tercel, wrote the following:
Quote:
Tercel -
The problem with that sort of reasoning is that ANYTHING which is unknown can be taken as a 'miraculous supernatural occurence'.

This is, of course, the crux of the problem when dealing with supernatural claims. How does one determine if in fact, a supernatural event has ACTUALLY occurred?

The answer? One CAN'T determine that a supernatural event has occurred - one can only determine that a supernatural event has NOT occurred - and that can only come from examining naturalistic possibilities that we can in fact test in the natural world.

This is the point behind Mal's wonderful synopsis "Supernaturalism cannot, by its nature, be a "missing piece"; it is merely the observation that a piece is missing."

The only thing that an event which has no known explanation can show is that there is no known explanation for it. Any so called "supernatural event" must be a priori ASSUMED to have happened - because without knowledge of how an event happened, the only logical conclusion is that "We don't know" - e.g. a "piece is missing".

This should be OBVIOUS to anyone who has studied the history of science. For an example, only a few centuries ago, a supernova was ALWAYS taken as a divine sign. Why? Because supernovas are rare, and behave very differently from normal stars. No KNOWN agency could cause a star to suddenly flare brightly, then dim beyond the ability to view it. Ergo, goddidit. Yet today, we have sufficient knowledge about stellar life cycles that supernovas are perfectly explainable WITHOUT needing divine intervention.

Without claiming perfect, omniscient, knowledge, YOU cannot make a claim that a supernatural event has happened - because to do so, you would have to be able to show, either the supernatural agency behind the event, or that no natural agency could have caused that event. You can only make the claim that "we don't know how this event happened."

That, of course, is the problem with the God of the Gaps, since the amount of things that we can make the claim that "we don't know how this event happened" shrink daily. While it's certain in my mind that there WILL always be a gap somewhere in human knowledge, it's a poor argument, because you constantly have to move God from one gap into another, smaller gap, as God is displaced from his previous niche by the advancement of human knowledge.

Cheers,

The San Diego Atheist
Tercel replied:
Quote:
Of course. Some amount of common sense and rational thinking is always required in such situations.
As with all things in life, absolute complete and utter surity is clearly impossible. However we can still evaluate the "most likely" explanation of an event. We may feel that it's "quite likely" an event was supernaturally caused or that it's "beyond reasonable doubt" etc.
But surely this is the point SanDiegoAtheist was making. A few centuries ago people applied their "common sense" and concluded that the "most likely" explanation for a supernova was that is was a divine sign.
[BTW A "divine sign" from whom? Odin? Isis? Zeus? The ancient Jewish warrior-deity, Yahweh?]

Tercel addresses supernova example:
Quote:
Which demonstrates a major danger of playing God-of-the-Gaps with anything we don't yet understand.
You mean like the origins of the universe?

Tercel again:
Quote:
If you are trying to imply that this undermines the case for supernatural claims in general, then it would seem to me to only demonstrate a misunderstanding of how a supernatural event could be identified.
And how is a supernatural event identified?...
Quote:
A useful rule is that we should not infer a supernatural event from what we don't know but only from what we do know.
This is a "useful rule"?

More:
Quote:
Only if an event is in contradiction to a well-known and well-understood area of natural law should we even consider pulling in the supernatural explanations.
You mean like people walking on water and decomposing corpses springing back to life? That's OK, nothing like that has ever happened. Unless you have some well-documented evidence, and not second hand testimony from highly gullible and superstitious people who lived and died millennia ago.

[ April 07, 2002: Message edited by: britinusa ]</p>
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Old 04-07-2002, 04:23 PM   #36
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PB,

Confrontational? There's no damned way I'm going take that from a no-good... Oh. I mean, nolo contendre.
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Old 04-08-2002, 10:42 PM   #37
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Quote:
Originally posted by Clutch:
Ah, I see; it’s when “specific circumstances suggest to [you] that methodological naturalism is not specifically appropriate”! Excellent! So clear! I can see why you were twitting and insulting the folks who thought there might be a teensy problem of vacuousness here.
Your sarcasm is not particularly appreciated.
I didn't write about this, becuase I didn't see it as the topic under discussion. The only reason I even included the sentence you quote was because I thought someone might be silly enough to say "well if you say you accept methodological naturalism, how can you ever accept miracles?"

Quote:
Tell me, does someone blow a whistle to tell you when to say “Supernatural” rather than “I don’t know”?
No: I use my brain. Those without one might have difficulty working out when a supernatural explanation is appropriate though and need the whistle.

Quote:
Let me guess – these intuitions of supernatural appropriateness... they seem to come when you’re considering the miracle claims of the religion to which you’re antecedently committed? And never when you’re reflecting on, oh, say, the massively attested ascension of Mohammed, or the miracles of David Koresh, or the miracles – supported by thousands of living witnesses – of Sai Baba?
Very funny... not.
If you're only going to make stupid, unfounded, and completely irrelevant accusations of bias in my judgement then I suggest you don't bother posting further because I won't be bothering to respond.

Quote:
Someone... might mistakenly observe the convenient substitution of “Supernatural!” for “I don’t know” in cases that support your religious ideology. Such a person... would point out that supernatural explanation is hence a label for a gap in knowledge, and not a bridge for the gap.
I have already discussed somewhat the difference between a God of the Gaps explanation and a warrented supernatural explanation. This looks to me like exactly the same thing under another name.

To paraphrase my previous argument:
Calling something "supernatural" as opposed to "I don't know" is clearly only going to be warrented when we do know that it is supernatural. We can know it is supernatural if we know it isn't natural. We can know it isn't natural if we know what is natural and know that this isn't it.

In general, for the vast majority of the time, reality obeys the natural laws. (Otherwise they obviously wouldn't be "laws") Using methodological naturalism we can learn what those laws are and learn what is natural. Once we know what is natural, we can identify what isn't natural when it does occur. Thus identifying particular cases of the interference of the metaphysical supernatural is actually dependent upon the earlier application of methodological naturalism to understand the natural world. -A person who didn't know what naturally happened could never have sufficient reason in calling something "supernatural". (And we call it "God of the Gaps" when someone does this sort of thing)

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Old 04-08-2002, 10:57 PM   #38
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Quote:
Originally posted by Pompous Bastard:
Clutch does raise an interesting point, even if he does so rather confrontationally. Can you describe for us the methodology you use to determine when "specific circumstances" warrant the conlcusion that methodological naturalism is not appropriate?
As I mentioned in my respose to Clutch, the single most important principle is, I believe, 1) that the event contradicts our current knowledge of the natural. Other, useful criteria include 2) the occurance of the event inside a religious context (eg the instantaneously healed person was being prayed for at the time) and 3) unrepeatability.

I suppose that (3) might seem very similar to (1). I add it only to distinguish new scientific discoveries (in the very rare cases that they actually contradict existing knowledge) from supernatural events. (It should be redundant anyway because of (2) since new scientific discoveries aren't usually made in a religious context)
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Old 04-08-2002, 11:45 PM   #39
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Quote:
Originally posted by Tercel:
[QB]I have already discussed somewhat the difference between a God of the Gaps explanation and a warrented supernatural explanation. This looks to me like exactly the same thing under another name.

To paraphrase my previous argument:
Calling something "supernatural" as opposed to "I don't know" is clearly only going to be warrented when we do know that it is supernatural. We can know it is supernatural if we know it isn't natural. We can know it isn't natural if we know what is natural and know that this isn't it.

In general, for the vast majority of the time, reality obeys the natural laws. (Otherwise they obviously wouldn't be "laws") Using methodological naturalism we can learn what those laws are and learn what is natural. Once we know what is natural, we can identify what isn't natural when it does occur.
Tercel,

what exactly is this "it" ? A perception, or an actual event ?

If you restrict yourself to perceptions, I agree with you. But just to say that an actual event occurred requires the assumption of naturalism to link our perceptions with the real event.

There may be perceptions which would force us to abandon our default assumption of naturalism (but I don't think there have been any actual ones). But in this case we would only be able to say that something supernatural had occurred - but not what.

Regards,
HRG.
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Old 04-09-2002, 02:13 AM   #40
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the single most important principle is, I believe, 1) that the event contradicts our current knowledge of the natural. Other, useful criteria include 2) the occurance of the event inside a religious context (eg the instantaneously healed person was being prayed for at the time) and 3) unrepeatability.

This sounds more like a methodology for marketing, not a methodology for gaining reliable knowledge.
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