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07-31-2003, 09:53 PM | #91 | ||||||
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It is the fantasy of Randi to argue on this nonsense. Quote:
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Weak. Worshipping God Randi is also a worship. If people are not able to do some significance calcs correct, or to argue ad hominem it it senseless to discuss with them seriosly. |
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07-31-2003, 10:49 PM | #92 |
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Randi:
If all of the planets and the sun were in perfect alignment with each other, and thus expected to exert the maximum gravitational effect on your body, do you know what it would take to counteract that effect using the Earth's gravitational effect on you? Volker.Doormann: It is Randi's Assume and fantasy dealing with gravity. Physicists have long believed there are only four fundamental forces in nature--gravity, electromagnetism, the strong force, and the weak force. Any causal influence between two parts of the universe is thought to be conveyed through one or more of these forces, and all the forces we call by other names are ultimately manifestations of these basic forces (for example, the force of friction is due to electromagnetic forces between atoms). The strong and weak force are negligible except at very short range, so if the planets affect the brain in a way that's compatible with known physics, it must be through the gravitational or electromagnetic force. You say it's not gravity, but electromagnetism seems equally unlikely--I'm pretty sure that no matter what part of the electromagnetic spectrum you look at, the amount of radiation we recieve from the planets at that frequency is miniscule compared to the amount we recieve from other sources. I suppose you could postulate a fifth, undiscovered fundamental force just to explain the results of astrology. But if you need to postulate radically new physical principles in order to explain astrology, along with radically new biological principles (like virtually the whole personality being created at the moment of first breath) that makes the theory inherently pretty implausible--some very strong evidence would be needed to get us to totally revamp existing science in such a basic way. |
08-01-2003, 12:49 AM | #93 | ||||||
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Isn't there some correlation between the likelihood of something being bullshit and the need to create new science that completely changes existing science to explain it?
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It's irrelevant that the heavenly bodies that are supposed to affect us aren't where you think they are? Would you like a little argumentum ad ignoratum to go with your coffee? Quote:
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And despite you saying that the fact that virtually no astrologers can seem to agree on their readings is "weak", it does tend to clearly mark astrology as not being scientific. I mean...real science has a certain "universal nature" to it - gravity, for example, works the same in both China and England. Scientists in both places can conduct the same experiment and be expected to come up with the same results. There's no need to come up with an ad hoc explanation of "Oh, that must be a weakness among the scientists." As for the "rebuttal" you offered, I respectfully suggest you look into the "argument from ignorance" fallacy. Quote:
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08-01-2003, 01:23 AM | #94 | |
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Astrology deals with angles, times, cycles of planets, but not with gravity. As Kepler has shown, the gravity or mass of a planet is (nearly) irrrlevant to the cycles of time oscillating with the sun. I have not said, that gravitational effects are excluded in general. I have said that it is Randi's Assume and fantasy dealing with gravity (in those his imaginations). |
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08-01-2003, 01:41 AM | #95 |
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Volker.Doormann
Randi's Assume and fantasy dealing with the gravitational effect from the mass of the planets on the earth gravity potential. Astrology deals with angles, times, cycles of planets, but not with gravity. It's true that astrologers are not ordinarily concerned with the question of how the planets can influence personality, they just assume that they can, and have a system which describes the relationship between planetary positions and personalities; but if astrology is really true, there must be some kind of mechanism or explanation for how this works, no? Volker.Doormann: As Kepler has shown, the gravity or mass of a planet in (nearly) irrrlevant to the cycles of time oscillating with the sun Nearly irrelevant? I have no idea what you mean here--all of the rules Kepler found can be derived as necessary consequences of Newtonian gravity. See this page, for example: http://www.shef.ac.uk/uni/academic/N...erivation.html Volker.Doormann: I have not said, that gravitational effects are excluded in general. I have said that it is Randi's Assume and fantasy dealing with gravity (in those his imaginations). Look, if the planets influence the brain in some way, you basically only have three options as to how they can do this: 1. Through one of the known forces (gravitation, electromagnetism, strong, weak) 2. Through an undiscovered fundamental force (would require a radical revision of known physics) 3. A form of "influence" which is not a force at all (an even more radical revision of known physics) Which of these do you think is most likely? Can't option #1 be ruled out by examining how weak the gravitational/electromagnetic influence of planets on objects on earth is, as Randi was doing? |
08-01-2003, 01:57 AM | #96 | ||
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08-01-2003, 02:02 AM | #97 | |
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08-01-2003, 02:21 AM | #98 | |||
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I have replied to the Randi’s disproving astrology claims, which was shown to be irrelevant to the science of astrology. |
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08-01-2003, 02:36 AM | #99 | |
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Test? How can? Take your scientific tools od go on it. |
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08-01-2003, 05:15 AM | #100 | |
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: My horoscope was dead on!
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How about science? The following 24 interpretations calculated from astronomical symbols out of the time and location were accepted as matching from a person, who was born exact at this time and location. I cite from his post: “DEFINITE HITS:
Each of this matching interpretation’s is not only one bit, because an amount of specific details enhance this to an amount of bits, as a picture of 1 Mb has more details, as a picture of 1kb. It was the amount of bits in these interpretations, which have been voted as significant. Well, as I have argued, and what is ignored here, a significant matching has a value of at least 0.05. For 24 significant matching this counts to 5.9X10^-32 as significance value, because each of the single interpretations must be multiplied, because all this relates to one and the same person. This means simple, to understand by each layman, that the chance, that this 24 interpretations are created randomly is 1 : 5.9X10^-32. One can argue, that some of the single significant matching interpretations must not defined with a significance value of 0.05, it could be taken greater, that does change the grad of this significance value, but not the significance itself. But the fact is, that these interpretations are calculated precisely and repeatable with astronomical algorithms and a data base including a big expert knowledge of astrology interpretations, loading a time and a location only, which has in common with that voting person only, it was born exact to that time and location, which was given as data to the algorithm. This is the plot, Junior James Randi. |
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