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Old 04-17-2003, 08:49 AM   #121
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"We don't know 1 millionth of 1% of anything"

Einstein was using a bit of hyperbole, perhaps, but he would have been a fool to claim we knew most or all of anything, IMO.

"God doesn't play dice with the universe."

Certainly you are aware of the context in which Einstein used this quote, what he was referring to, and can thus explain it for us.

(Interestingly, he may have never actually said this exactly as often quoted - Instead he may have just said "God does not play dice."
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Old 04-17-2003, 10:09 AM   #122
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Quote:
Originally posted by yguy
I think that's preposterous, considering how pathetic our focussed efforts to produce AI have been. Why would anyone think happenstance would generate it?
For each year that we have had to try to imbue computers with artificial intelligence, life has had 60 million years to develop intelligence on its own. And while there have been, at best, hundreds of thousands of attempts to create artificial intelligence, life has produced billions of billions of "experiments." Our efforts to date have been completely insignificant compared to nature's.

Moreover, our own attempts to produce artificial intelligence have been pretty successful. Computers are only 50-60 years old (depending on what you consider to be the first computer), and only a few people are actively working to program them but already we have programs which can replicate the behaviour of simple insects; something that took nature billions of years to accomplish. Not only that, but we have made computers that can correct spelling and grammar, interpret voice commands, learn to recognize faces, play chess and get better at it over time, sort a list of documents in terms of their relevance to you (see google.com), and perform many other impressive feats. AI has come a long way in a short time. Compared to the sophistication of a human brain, the most modern computer is positively primitive. Yet we can make it do many of the things that were heretofore considered the exclusive domain of the human brain.

Of course, we have an enormous advantage: we know what we are trying to produce; nature doesn't have a plan at all. It simply churns out countless specimens, each slightly different, and whichever ones happen to work out best in their environment survive to make more of themselves, each with its own small variations.
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Old 04-17-2003, 01:00 PM   #123
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Originally posted by caravelair
i never claimed to have a complete understanding of gravity. doesn't mean i can't know some things about it. and i have NO idea why you think that such a question would be easier to explain than gravity. i think it would be quite the opposite.
The motions of the planets in our solar system were impossible to explain before we took into account the effects of gravity, but once we took that into account, it was easy for a child to grasp the essence of it, if not all the nuances. So what I'm suggesting that our understading of gravity as applied to the problem of how the universe formed is comparable to the understanding of atomic structure as viewed through the lens of Newtonian physics.

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but as i've pointed out, the fundamental laws appear very simple, so it is natural to assume that they are the way they seem.
The earth appears flat, so it is natural to assume that it is. However, it is not necessary to assume it.

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also from that article:

""The light that comes to you from a quasar has been travelling for most of the age of the universe - several billion years - and it carries with it information about what happened to it along the way," Murphy says."

so clearly, i don't think it's making the type of changes that you think. it's not going to change the fact that the universe is billions of years old.
This quote didn't relate to the findings about the change in light speed, and is obviously based on the currently accepted paradigm. There is no mention in the article of how much change may have occurred, or even whether the rate of change is constant - so your assessment is baseless.

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another thing that seems fishy about this theory is the fact that E=mc^2, so if light has been slowing down, that means the total energy of the universe has been decreasing, which violates the 1st law of thermodynamics.
Let us remember that physical laws are only verbal crystallizations of our perceptions of the physical universe.

On a side note, there is another way to look at this. If light appears to be slowing down, perhaps that is an illusion caused by everything else speeding up. That, it appears to me, would mean the total kinetic energy in the universe is increasing.
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Old 04-17-2003, 01:18 PM   #124
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What can be more intelligent than "bacteria?" Considered a lower form of life, it is everywhere, it is a major component of all life on Earth. Is it complex?

Let us thank God for bacteria!
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Old 04-17-2003, 01:39 PM   #125
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Quote:
Originally posted by yguy
The motions of the planets in our solar system were impossible to explain before we took into account the effects of gravity, but once we took that into account, it was easy for a child to grasp the essence of it, if not all the nuances. So what I'm suggesting that our understading of gravity as applied to the problem of how the universe formed is comparable to the understanding of atomic structure as viewed through the lens of Newtonian physics.
correct me if i'm wrong, but i believe we were talking about the question of why the fundamental forces and properties of the universe are the way they are. surely gravity cannot be used to explain gravity.


Quote:
Originally posted by yguy
The earth appears flat, so it is natural to assume that it is. However, it is not necessary to assume it.
actually, the earth does not appear flat, since we see horizons. and either way, a sphere is just as simple a structure as a flat plane.

Quote:
Originally posted by yguy
This quote didn't relate to the findings about the change in light speed, and is obviously based on the currently accepted paradigm. There is no mention in the article of how much change may have occurred, or even whether the rate of change is constant - so your assessment is baseless.
the quote was the author of the article asserting that the light took billions of year to reach us. obviously he would not say that if his findings suggested otherwise.

Quote:
Originally posted by yguy
On a side note, there is another way to look at this. If light appears to be slowing down, perhaps that is an illusion caused by everything else speeding up. That, it appears to me, would mean the total kinetic energy in the universe is increasing.
but really, that's nothing more than conjecture. i really don't think it's possible that everything is speeding up. the speed of different processes are determined by different things.
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Old 04-17-2003, 02:04 PM   #126
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The motions of the planets in our solar system were impossible to explain before we took into account the effects of gravity

Not true. The motions of the planets were described fairly accurately long before Newton. And there were even explanations for the motions, though we now consider them incorrect. It's definitely not impossible to explain the motions of the planets without gravity; I could explain the motion by saying angels are keeping them in their orbits, for example.

so your assessment is baseless.

caravelair seems to have a rather thorough understanding of cosmology, so I don't think you can claim his assessment is baseless.

On a side note, there is another way to look at this. If light appears to be slowing down, perhaps that is an illusion caused by everything else speeding up.

The first postulate of Einstein's Special Relativity is "The speed of light is the same for all observers, no matter what their relative speeds." So speeding up would not give the illusion that lightspeed was slowing down, according to Special Relativity.

BTW, it's now thought that the rate of expansion of the universe may indeed be increasing.
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Old 04-17-2003, 04:00 PM   #127
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Quote:
Originally posted by caravelair
correct me if i'm wrong, but i believe we were talking about the question of why the fundamental forces and properties of the universe are the way they are. surely gravity cannot be used to explain gravity.
You're missing the point. I don't know how to get it across any better, so I'll drop it.

Quote:
the quote was the author of the article asserting that the light took billions of year to reach us. obviously he would not say that if his findings suggested otherwise.
That quote was tangential to the core of the article. He could easily have stated that without contradicting his findings if they shed no light on the amount of change in light speed. Remember, the idea of the universe being billions of years old has been an accepted catechism in the scientific realm for at least thirty years. After a while, those things roll off the tongue without thought.
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Old 04-17-2003, 04:05 PM   #128
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I don't see anything in the article that would indicate that the researchers think, based on their hypothesis, that universe might not be billions of years old. Quite the opposite, actually. Am I missing something?
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Old 04-17-2003, 04:07 PM   #129
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Quote:
Originally posted by Magus55
The universe had to have an architect.
If it had to have an architect, why only one? Why couldn't there be a hundred architects?

This is the Grand Unified Fuckup of Intelligent Design Theory.
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Old 04-17-2003, 04:13 PM   #130
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Quote:
Originally posted by Mageth
The motions of the planets in our solar system were impossible to explain before we took into account the effects of gravity

Not true. The motions of the planets were described fairly accurately long before Newton.
Maybe that's why I said "explain" rather than "describe."

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so your assessment is baseless.

caravelair seems to have a rather thorough understanding of cosmology, so I don't think you can claim his assessment is baseless.
His understanding of cosmology in general doesn't counteract his misinterpretation of the article.

Quote:
On a side note, there is another way to look at this. If light appears to be slowing down, perhaps that is an illusion caused by everything else speeding up.

The first postulate of Einstein's Special Relativity is "The speed of light is the same for all observers, no matter what their relative speeds." So speeding up would not give the illusion that lightspeed was slowing down, according to Special Relativity.
I don't see how you can apply that to this hypothesis, since we're not talking about a particular beam of light being observed in real time from different observation points in space, but about the speed of light being measured from different points in time.

However, the subject is way over my head, so I invite others to weigh in on this.
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