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Old 01-22-2003, 02:19 PM   #111
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Clutch:

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3) My knowledge of this literature constitutes powerful (though of course defeasible) inductive warrant of the sort universally employed in science, to conclude that you are mistaken about the significance you claim to detect in these events.
The warrant you can glean from that type of broad inferential support could only lead you to DOUBT my claims. Declaring them factually mistaken is ahead of the evidence. I'm not an evidentialist, quite obviously, but I do chaffe when people are so dogmatic about my leaps of faith and do not at all question theirs. You cannot say that my claims are mistaken without direct evidence that my claims are mistaken.

Why is it so hard for you to simply DOUBT my claim? Would that leave the door too far ajar?

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2) There is a large and empirically well-founded scientific literature demonstrating the propensity of people to read significance into chance events, and excessive significance into non-chance but simply explicable events.
I have to believe that whatever "evidence" this literature has in this point would have to be based on logical fallacies. Just how does science "measure" signifigance? How would science objectively declare one event to have more signifigance than another event? What is signifigance measured in? Calories? Joules? How does a scientist look at an event in a person's life and deem it "insignificant" when that person says that the event was signifigant? No signifigant event in our emotional and spiritual lives has effects that can be measured with any accuracy or authority by science. This is again a case to me of science believing itself to be capable of answering questions it simply has no capacity to answer.

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4) While it is conceivable that I am somehow biased against the detection of divine influence in my life, there is no large and empirically well-founded scientific literature demonstrating the propensity of people to read too little significance into events.
That could very likely be because, IMO, the people who are likely to conduct such studies are precisely the people to whom it would apply. A person likely to conduct such a study would likely be a person like you, who is already convinced that too many people put too much signifigance in events that have no signifigance.

Further, this assumes that science has some accurate way of determining signifigance, a notion which gets even more absurd once the SOA argument is brought into the picture. How would science be able to guard against an event which works through a sort of chaos theory, which could have signifigantly good effects on someone totally unknown to the person having the religious experience years down the road? I can remember being really inspired by a message written in graffiti in the hall of an apartment I used to live in. The message must have been written there years before I read it. Now suppose the artist had reported to a scientist that God told Him to write that graffitti. How, exactly, would that scientist determine that this event was "signifigant" or not? Would he leave a sentry there to observe the graffitti from now throughout eternity?

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5) Hence, while I certainly would not rule out the possibility, you have no comparable grounds for believing that I am mistaken in not seeing divine influence in the events of my life.
I have better grounds.

I have had these experiences. I have staked my life on them. While I am not totally accurate in comprehending these messages, they have yet to fail me in any way comparable to how often they have brought me wild, beautiful, morally progressive, unforseeable success. 95% of the time, they know better than I know, and I am a better, smarter, happier, more fullfilled person for heeding God's voice. You don't have any comparable grounds for believing yourself to be mistaken. I, sir, have REMARKABLE grounds for believing you to be mistaken.

Amergin:

I agree with just about everything you said.

Jobar:

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However- you have done not a single thing to demonstrate that your point of view (that God, creator and master of the universe, communicates regularly with you, inside your head) has the slightest bit of 'truth value' for any other person in the world.
I most certainly have, but you have all ignored them. I did claim the following:

1) That what I take to be God's voice has an amazing success rate.

2) That the counter-examples you have provided do not apply to my case because they amount to the simple occurance of fortune. While my examples included a spoken word of warning or advice, the intercession of the voice, which DETERMINED the occurance of fortune.

3) That I did not expect that God would speak to me.

4) That God has asked me to do things which are totally divorced from morality which I did not expect Him to do.

5) That on occasions, God's voice was persistent and insistent, even when I did not want to hear them.

6) That the rewards I have gleaned from obeying God's voice were ones I COULD NOT HAVE FORSEEN.

Now, you have no reason to believe me other than your general trust in my overall character. Similarly, you have no reason to disbelieve me because of your lack of specific data on my case. I openly admit that you have reason to doubt me, and if that's all you were doing I would tip my hat to you and say no more.

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Is that a fair statement? That you are not claiming your personal experience constitutes evidence for EoG, for any person but you?
Yes I believe I opened by saying that. God speaks to people, in my mind, to confirm their decision to believe in Him and to commit themselves to a relationship with Him. If He did more than that, He would be going against what I take to be a guiding principle of His by interfering with our free will.

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All you have done is to tell us that we have not absolutely proven our own point. (Despite all the very strong arguments we have put forward, none of which you have refuted at all.)
With all due respect, none of the arguments here have any strength at all. Basically, your only argument is "I've heard other people say that stuff before, and there was nothing to that and therefore there is nothing to this." So far, you've made broad generalizations about "literature" that clearly demonstrates that such beliefs are false without a single mention (IIRC) of a specific book or the specific methodology by which these books are able to assess "signifigance" or "meaning", without which these studies are useless. Your only evidence that I've seen, Jobar, is your previously confirmed tendency to disbelieve.

Present me a study where religious experiences have been scientifically proved to have no signifigance, and you will have the beginings of a case. Right now all I'm seeing is hearsay.

Quote:
Luvluv... look, speaking personally, this thread has increased my respect for you as a person. Your universalist leanings, your almost flawless grace under pressure, your high literacy and persistence, all indicate to me that you are a person I would be happy to call friend in real life. But now, after reading this thread, I am even more firmly convinced that you are deluded, and your mind is captive to a powerful and harmful meme which blinds you to its own nasty effects.
Then you are in a bit of a dilema, Jobar, because I have become the person that you admire almost exclusively through submitting myself to the voice of God. If I were not "deluded" as you believe me to be, I would not be a very nice person. I was not one, and I've got witnesses. Lots of them.

Do yourself a favor, and think through my claims on the grounds of two hypothesis. First, read through them with the perspective that God does not exist. Secondly, read through them with the perspective that God does exist. Is my claim consistent with what you would expect if God exists? And if so, and if you have no real conclusive proof that God doesn't exist, then why are you so convinced that I must be wrong.

As to these nasty effects, Jobar... <sigh>... if you don't see them in my discourse here with you, then where are they likely to come out. They aren't hidden, my friend. They aren't there.

Whatever you think of me, get this straight and clear:

I WOULD NOT BE THE PERSON YOU TAKE ME TO BE, MORALLY, EMOTIONALLY, AND SPIRITUALLY, WITHOUT THE VOICE OF GOD. I AM NOT A NATURALLY NICE PERSON. FAR FROM IT. GOD HAS MADE ME INTO THE PERSON I HAVE BECOME, AND IF I FOLLOWED YOUR ADVICE ABOUT NOT HEEDING HIS VOICE, I WOULD STILL BE THE PERSON I WAS.

(Apologies for the caps)
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Old 01-22-2003, 02:31 PM   #112
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Originally posted by luvluv
Your parents probably said no to your requests once or twice, too. (I would hope).
And then you grew up, and stopped asking your parents for those things. Or some of us did.

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Lets try tackling the most difficult problems with our philosophies, instead of knocking down strawmen.
I just did.
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Old 01-22-2003, 02:44 PM   #113
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Family Man:

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Simply reversing what I had to say isn't going to work, Luvluv, for two reasons. First, we don't live in a society where we're constantly being bombarded with the notion that God doesn't exist. In fact, those of us who say such things tend to get dumped on rather heavily by believers (see the Strumming for Jesus thread in S&SL for an example). Second, all I'm saying is that I think what you credit to God is in reality just the thoughts everyone has everyday. I make no special claims as you do. There is nothing to build a self-fulfilling prophecy around.
You are making a special claim. You are making the special claim that I am suffering from a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Look, Family Man, do you really expect me to believe that you, a person committed enough to the atheist propostion that he regularly engages in atheist message board, and who started a thread declaring ALL RELIGIOUS EXPERIENCE TO BE THE RESULT OF A SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY, to be totally unbiased in assesing my claim?

It's not like I came to you out of the blue and told you my experience, and you said it was a self-fulfilling prophecy. Lets look at how this conversation evolved:

1) You started a thread premised on the belief that all religious experiences are the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy.

2) I came to you with a religious experience.

3) You said it was the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Now, either my irony-o-meter is off a few points, or you are missing something about your self that is staring you straight in the face. What you are engaging in is the height of a sfp (which I will use for short from now on).

Quote:
And I demonstrated that it must be so given the belief system in our culture.
No, you haven't. Our culture could be exactly as it is, and God could exist. There's nothing about our cultural belief, in and of itself, that would speak against the possibility of God speaking to people. You are essentially saying that in a culture where there is the general belief that God speaks to people, that people will think God speaks to them. However, it is just as consistent to say that in a culture where God actually speaks to people, that culture will develop a belief that God speaks to people. You really haven't demonstrated anything which is inconsistent with my claim.

Quote:
I making the claim that because of the very real possibility that we have a self-fulfilling prophecy here, we must heavily discount those personal experiences.
I agree with that (though you are wrong of course ) but I believe you went so far as to say that my experiences actually were the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy.

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I have done no such thing. I have challenged an obviously cherished belief of yours on the basis that it is logically flawed. I've made no comment on your psychological state that I'm aware of.
My claims are actually not logically flawed. I'd like to see you demonstrate that they are. However, to imply that I am undergoing a self-fulfilling prophecy, and that I am deluded, kinda sorta sounds to me like an assesment of my psychological state.

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Luvluv, I'm not expecting you to agree with me. But I would hope you could understand why I feel the way I do.
Likewise.

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Well, his last reply to me was a bit hard on me personally, but I generally agree with this sentiment.
Well, it was meant to be somewhat harsh to prove a point. I have every bit as much of a reason to doubt the objectivity of your assesment of me as you do of my statements about my experiences. Your tone seemed condescending to me. I was tempted to say: "Hey, I'm standing right here. I can hear you." Particularly when you say stuff like this:

Quote:
I really wish there was another term other than deluded that we could use. I don't believe that Luvluv's beliefs are harmful -- at least in his case. But I do think that the interpretation that he is getting "messages from God" isn't reality either. I've been struggling for a term I'm happy with -- something that isn't as strongly negatively connotated as deluded -- but have come up empty so far.
Hawkingfan:

Well, I could just as easily find you scriptures which clearly indicate that God will refuse prayers on grounds of selfishness (lusts of the flesh), a lack of faith, and wrong priorities. You have to interpret scripture in the light of other scripture, and in light of personal experience and church history (the last part is MHO). I could discuss this with you at length on another thread, but I am already too tired from answering the other questions on here to dig up scripture references for you now. Anyone as industrious as you could probably find them on your own, anyhow.

rdalin:

Quote:
Here's a good explanation: once an expectation is set, even if it isn't accurate or realistic, people tend to act in ways that are consistent with that expectation.
Like the expectation that religious beliefs are the result of self-fulfilled prophecies?
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Old 01-22-2003, 02:45 PM   #114
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Originally posted by luvluv
So I think religious experiences are good for people who already believe and not much help to anybody else.
I agree. That's why I generally ask people to keep their religious experiences to themselves.
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Old 01-22-2003, 06:03 PM   #115
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There is a large and empirically well-founded scientific literature demonstrating the propensity of people to read significance into chance events, and excessive significance into non-chance but simply explicable events.
------------------------

I have to believe that whatever "evidence" this literature has in this point would have to be based on logical fallacies. Just how does science "measure" signifigance? How would science objectively declare one event to have more signifigance than another event? What is signifigance measured in? Calories? Joules? ... This is again a case to me of science believing itself to be capable of answering questions it simply has no capacity to answer.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
4) While it is conceivable that I am somehow biased against the detection of divine influence in my life, there is no large and empirically well-founded scientific literature demonstrating the propensity of people to read too little significance into events.
------------------------------------------------------------------------

That could very likely be because, IMO, the people who are likely to conduct such studies are precisely the people to whom it would apply. A person likely to conduct such a study would likely be a person like you, who is already convinced that too many people put too much signifigance in events that have no signifigance.
Let's see, luvluv. I have knowledge of the extensive literature on the cognitive and motivational determinants of relevance, salience, and confirmation judgements. But this doesn't count as evidence of the error in your personal judgements of events as divinely influenced. Because you, in your self-admitted complete ignorance of this science, have decreed that it is:

-- logically fallacious
-- anti-theistic
-- inaccurate
-- ill-defined
-- over-reaching

I have to say that I have never seen a more desperate display of argumentum ad ignorantium than you display here.

Do you recognize the wonderful irony of what this tactic reveals about your reasoning?
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Old 01-22-2003, 07:35 PM   #116
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You are making a special claim. You are making the special claim that I am suffering from a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Yes, I am. How many times do I have to repeat this? However, I made no special claims about what I think and experience. Your assertion that you can simply reverse my argument doesn't work because I'm not making any special claims about where my thoughts come from.

Quote:
Look, Family Man, do you really expect me to believe that you, a person committed enough to the atheist propostion that he regularly engages in atheist message board, and who started a thread declaring ALL RELIGIOUS EXPERIENCE TO BE THE RESULT OF A SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY, to be totally unbiased in assesing my claim?
First, I did not start a thread that ALL RELIGIOUS EXPERIENCE TO BE THE RESULT OF A SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY. I started a thread that states that claims of personal experience of a God of the type expressed in the quotes I provided can not be taken seriously because of the obvious self-fulfilling prophecy the claims entail. This point has yet to be disputed. And your experiences seem to fall under the category I discussed in the opening point.

And no, I am not claiming to be unbiased. I am claiming, however, to be approaching the problem objectively. I'm not saying your arguments are wrong because of your bias, Luvluv. I'm saying that you haven't refuted the notion that the expectations set up by the Christian religion must lead one to conclusion that they are not trustworthy as evidence for God.

Quote:
It's not like I came to you out of the blue and told you my experience, and you said it was a self-fulfilling prophecy. Lets look at how this conversation evolved:

1) You started a thread premised on the belief that all religious experiences are the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy.

2) I came to you with a religious experience.

3) You said it was the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy.
And the problem here is what? That I haven't put forth a rationale as to why your religious experience is a self-fulfilling prophecy? What were you expecting, that I would be so bowled over by your experience I'd just give up what appears to me to be a sound argument? What do you think you were getting into when you responded?

Quote:
Now, either my irony-o-meter is off a few points, or you are missing something about your self that is staring you straight in the face. What you are engaging in is the height of a sfp (which I will use for short from now on).
The only irony I see here is that you apparently didn't expect me to defend my thesis.

Quote:
No, you haven't. Our culture could be exactly as it is, and God could exist.
You're putting words into my mouth. My argument applies only to personal experience as described by Christians. It is not proof that God doesn't exist, and I haven't held it out as such.

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There's nothing about our cultural belief, in and of itself, that would speak against the possibility of God speaking to people.
Theoretically, this is correct. All I've said is that personal experience is poor evidence.

Quote:
You are essentially saying that in a culture where there is the general belief that God speaks to people, that people will think God speaks to them.
Also correct.

Quote:
However, it is just as consistent to say that in a culture where God actually speaks to people, that culture will develop a belief that God speaks to people.
True, if evidence could be developed that could definitely show that to be true. However, I don't believe such evidence exists -- you even agreed that I am justified in mistrusting your experiences -- and that doesn't make the problem of self-prophecy go away. At this time, we cannot know which option is true. Caution tells us to hold the skeptical position.

Quote:
You really haven't demonstrated anything which is inconsistent with my claim.
Incorrect. You yourself said that I am justified in mistrusting your experiences. My burden is to demonstrate that the conditions exist for a self-fulfilling prophecy here, and that point hasn't been disputed. Your burden is to demonstrate that your experiences must come from God. You haven't done that. All you've done is to claim it.

Quote:
I agree with that (though you are wrong of course ) but I believe you went so far as to say that my experiences actually were the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy.
If you wish to choose to believe that your experiences are not the result of a self-fulfilling prophecy, it is your right. However, I don't think you've demonstrated that to anyone else's satisfaction.

Quote:
FM: Luvluv, I'm not expecting you to agree with me. But I would hope you could understand why I feel the way I do.

Luvluv: Likewise.
I do understand.

Quote:
Well, it was meant to be somewhat harsh to prove a point. I have every bit as much of a reason to doubt the objectivity of your assesment of me as you do of my statements about my experiences.
Sure you do. But I think I've put forth a much better argument for my position.

Quote:
Luvluv: Your tone seemed condescending to me. I was tempted to say: "Hey, I'm standing right here. I can hear you." Particularly when you say stuff like this:
FM: I really wish there was another term other than deluded that we could use. I don't believe that Luvluv's beliefs are harmful -- at least in his case. But I do think that the interpretation that he is getting "messages from God" isn't reality either.
So how I am supposed to get the point across? Luvluv, you're on a atheist site. I think you're upset because a cherished belief of yours has been attacked, and I believe successfully. I haven't been personal in my assessments; I have been straightforward about it. If you want to learn, you're going to have to learn to take a few punches.

In short, I don't think your messages are real. If I thought it was wrong to say that to your face, I wouldn't have said it. I know perfectly well where you are and you were meant to read it. I addressed to another because I don't think you're deluded; that is far too harsh in my opinion. Had I said you were deluded, an apology would be forthcoming.

But you have to admit, Luvluv, where you have been unduly harsh I haven't responded in kind. Keep that in mind in the future. There's a difference between saying something that another person doesn't like and attacking someone personally.
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Old 01-22-2003, 07:41 PM   #117
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Originally posted by Clutch
Family Man, thanks.I've been using "mistaken". Besides being strictly accurate, this expresses the generality of the error in reasoning. Ie, I am similarly mistaken when I am drawn into the myth of the "hot hand", or when I overlook regression effects in assessing the effectiveness of something I've done. But I don't think I'm deluded in these cases -- just wrong. [/B]
I agree. I can think of plenty of situations were I've misjudged things because of my own perceptions. Mistaken is a very good term for Luvluv's position.
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Old 01-23-2003, 04:53 AM   #118
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Originally posted by luvluv
I imagine God does not answer my prayers quite often because they are selfish.
Quite right. I suggest we put these disbelievers to the sword once an for all. Can I ask you to pray unselfishly for me to get a new car. That way we can't fall off. If it works I will pray for one for you. Can I have alloy wheels please. Cheers mate.

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Old 01-23-2003, 05:39 PM   #119
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Good experiment Boro Nut.

The result will come to what Neurologist Amergin posted here, regarding the effectiveness of prayer under scientific settings:
Quote:
Originally posted by Amergin

...
But in studies in Europe and a later one in America (I have to search out the reference), when people were randomly selected and none of them told that half of them were being prayed for, there was no significant difference in the outcome of the prayed for versus the not-prayed for groups (actully a slight edge in survival went to the not-prayed for group, but not felt to be satistically signifcant.) When people were told that they were part of an experiment, but not told if they were in the prayed group or the placebo group the results were not statistically different.

Again, I am biased as a Neurologist...
...
Amergin
I think that luvluv is mistaken into psychological self-fulfilling prophecies.

If not, then praying for something and getting it, can be achieved by luvluv as a paranormal event under scientific observation, say at Randi ( www.randi.org ).
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Old 01-24-2003, 04:41 AM   #120
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Quote:
Originally posted by Boro Nut
Can I ask you to pray unselfishly for me to get a new car.
Hey LuvLuv, what the hell do you think you are playing at? I don't care if it IS new, if you think I am driving that piece of shit you are saddly mistaken. I would not be seen dead in a Lada even if it does have alloy wheels. Get it off my drive NOW!!!

Boro Nut

Oh - and you can forget about any car from me you twat.
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