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Old 07-13-2003, 08:46 PM   #31
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Originally posted by Jesse
yguy:
That is the problem. I see no difference between saying an event is inherently probablistic and saying it is determined by or based on probability.

If an event is inherently deterministic, would you say it is determined by determinism? Determined by causality?
No, I'd say it is determined by a cause or causes.

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Still seems like awkward phrasing. Perhaps it would be better to say that if an event is "inherently probabilistic", that means the outcome of any particular trial is not determined by anything (ie the outcome is uncaused), but over a large number of trials the ratios of different outcomes will tend to approach the ones in the probability distribution.
That, at least, would be more honest in my view.

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Jesse:
Returning to the epistemology vs. ontology issue, perhaps the problem here is that you are unable to conceive of statements about "probability" as being anything other than epistemological claims about our ability to predict something or determine its causes.


yguy:
Yes.

But you are able to conceive of statements about "causality" being more than merely epistemological claims? "Causality" has an epistemological side too--when we say event A causes event B, we're partly just saying whenever we see event A happening, we always predict B will happen. But I suspect you also think it's also meaningful to make the ontological claim that "A was really the cause of B". So what's the relevant difference?
While both are epistemological claims, there is no implicit ignorance in those based on a claim of causality, without regard to whether such claims are veridical.

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Why can't probability have an ontological side too?
I suppose it does in the sense that probability theory can help describe reality to some useful degree. Like the theory of gravitation, however, it is a construct of the human mind rather than a law which the universe is constrained to obey.

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Jesse:
But I don't see how there is any problem using "probability" in ontological statements about what the world is really like--if there is one, you certainly haven't been able to point it out.


yguy:
There isn't, as long as the ignorance (I'm not using the term pejoratively here) implicit in the idea is recognized.

Huh? Ignorance vs. knowledge are completely irrelevant to ontological claims, that's the domain of epistemology.
There are no claims whatsoever which are outside the domain of epistemology.

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Do you think the idea that "this event had no cause" is just "absurd" and therefore wrong or impossible,
Yes.

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yguy:
You lost me. How am I depending on any of those theories for anything?

Because without weird ideas like the ones described in those interpretations, there is no way to salvage the idea of "hidden variables", ie the idea that a particle is "exactly somewhere" at all times. You aren't giving up the idea that the particle must be "exactly somewhere", are you? If not, you must depend on these interpretations.
I haven't the knowledge base to be able to argue that intelligently, but I must point out that weirdness is hardly antithetical to QM.

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Which part of my objections didn't you understand?
Look, man - I'm way out of my depth here. We may as well drop this part of it.

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yguy:
IOW, look for known patterns. What it amounts to is, if you can't see a pattern, you conclude there probably isn't one. See the implicit subjectivity in such methodology?


It's no worse than the subjectivity in saying "if we can't find a phenomenon which violates law of physics X, that means law X is probably true." All attempts to determine the truth about how reality works involve some degree of subjectivity.
To be sure. I am suggesting the degree of subjectivity inherent in probalistic theories hampers discovery to an unacceptable degree.
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Old 07-14-2003, 01:09 AM   #32
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Originally posted by yguy
From Jesse's post in the God and uncertainty thread:

As the great physicist Richard Feynman said, "Nobody understands quantum mechanics…do not keep saying to yourself, if you can possibly avoid it, 'But how can it be like that?' because you will go 'down the drain' into a blind alley from which nobody has yet escaped. Nobody knows how it can be like that."

In light of this quote, tell me, lob: just what understanding would that be?
It doesn't seem to me that you actually understand what Feynman is saying here--he's giving a warning not to do exactly what you happen to be guilty of in this thread. His statement is a colloquial hyperbole founded on the basic premise that quantum mechanics is completely counterintuitive. Anyone who goes into it using "logic" derived from classical thinking will be completely lost. You have to enter QM ready to discard notions you previously considered as immutable laws of the natural world. These preconceptions are mere delusions, macroscopic averages of something fundamentally different and unfamiliar. Because nearly all quantum-type events never occur on a macroscopic level, they are completely foreign to us. The naive and uninitiated (e.g. you) take this strangeness (absurdness, I believe, is what you called it) to be equivalent to "logically impossible" or "false understanding." It is this that Feynman is warning against--you will not understand QM at an intuitive, "ah, I see, that makes sense" level. You will hurt your brain attempting to inject the classical physics you observe around you (i.e. the laws you have come to know simply by experiencing them over the course of your life) into the microscopic world. You will fail. That is the understanding he was talking about in that passage. This has nothing to do with our empirical understanding of quantum mechanics or with our ability to mathematically express how the universe behaves.


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Intuition doesn't tell us any of those things. Intuition tells us, if we have never considered the problems before, that we don't know whether you're moving 74 mph, and that we don't know anything about particles.
But we have considered those problems before, and the answer is rather obvious. Unfortunatly, the obvious answer is completely wrong. If, before Einstein, I told you that a person walking 4 mph on a train moving 70 mph would not be moving 74 mph, you would have said such a thing was absurd, illogical, even impossible. We all have more than enough intuition to tell that velocities add. Hell, ask any child that question about walking on a train and see what answer you get. This isn't because they've been taught classical physics, it's because the answer is intuitively obvious. Same thing for massive particles being particles, not waves. If I told you that you had a wavelength, you would tell me to go fuck myself (or maybe just say I was nuts). It is obvious that particles are particles. They have no wave-like properties. How could a particle also be a wave? The two are completely contradictory. Intuition gives you all the answers (unfortunately in this case, however, the answers are wrong).


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What makes you think Einstein was excercising intuition here?
Einstein makes me think Einstein was using intuition. He has said that the only reason he added the cosmological constant to his theory was because he felt that the universe should be static. He believed that nature had a certain intrinsic elegance and he viewed a static universe as the most elegant solution. An expanding universe, to him, was unelegant. As such, he modified his theories to enforce his preconceptions based on nothing more than intuition (i.e. they were not based on any empirical data at all). It actually seems like Einstein was correct in postulating a cosmological constant, however he was incorrect in its value. What he should have done was left it as a parameter to be empirically determined, not put it in as a fudge-factor in order to force a static (and unstable) universe.


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Misguided intuition prevented Einstein from predicting the emergence of a yet unproven theory?
Yes, why does this sound strange to you? Why do you think Einstein called the cosmological constant the biggest mistake of his life. The Big Bang model was adopted after Edwin Hubble made the startling observation that all distant galaxies are redshifted and the farther the galaxy, the higher the redshift. The relationship between distance and redshift is linear. Now, a redshift implies that the galaxy is moving away from us--the higher the shift, the faster it's moving radially away. So, after determining that every galaxy in the universe seems to be moving away from us, the natural conclusion is that at some point in the past all galaxies were located at some common point. An expanding universe implies a Big Bang. Empirical data supported what Einstein's theories naturally predicted prior to making the ad hoc alteration to force a static universe. Had Einstein left out the cosmological constant and seriously considered the implications of his work, he could have predicted an expanding universe and hence a "big bang." Instead, Friedmann came up with the Big Bang theory using Einstein's own equations, beating him to a conclusion Einstein by all rights should have made himself, if only he could have ignored his intuition and freed his mind from the prevailing notions the universe was static.

From http://map.gsfc.nasa.gov/m_uni/uni_101accel.html
  • Einstein first proposed the cosmological constant (not to be confused with the Hubble Constant) usually symbolized by the greek letter "lambda" (&#923), as a mathematical fix to the theory of general relativity. In its simplest form, general relativity predicted that the universe must either expand or contract. Einstein thought the universe was static, so he added this new term to stop the expansion. Friedmann, a Russian mathematician, realized that this was an unstable fix, like balancing a pencil on its point, and proposed an expanding universe model, now called the Big Bang theory. When Hubble's study of nearby galaxies showed that the universe was in fact expanding, Einstein regretted modifying his elegant theory and viewed the cosmological constant term as his "greatest mistake".

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The jury is still out on that.
No, it's not. You cannot use intuition where intuition is not valid. When you attempt to do so, you fail miserably and deem things as illogical or unphysical that in fact are not.


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What unfounded assertion have I made?
Well, for starters, this:

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I'm supposed to be impressed that any particular theory is internally self-consistent and ignore its unacknowledged assumptions?
It strikes me as funny that someone who admits to having almost no knowledge of physics will rail against a theory's "unacknowledged assumptions" and argue that "absurd" consequences make it impossible. Please tell me what those assumptions would be and how exactly you're in a position to judge their validity. How do you have the foundation to assess their logic? You are supposed to be impressed that this theory is internally self-consistent given that it is also externally consistent. It makes testable predictions that are then confirmed via experiments. As such, your uneducated notions that it is illogical are rather unfounded. They are, as Feynman warns against, based on nothing more faulty intuition you have mistaken for logic (and how can they be based on anything else given that you know almost nothing about the theory to which you are objecting and also probably know next to nothing about about the empirically-observed nature of the microscopic world).
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Old 07-14-2003, 06:44 AM   #33
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Originally posted by yguy
That's just your way of saying you don't know whether any one coin flip will be heads or tails.

I said nothing about QM per se. I said there are no events which are BASED on probability,
We don't know whether any coin flip will be heads or tells, but we can tell you how likely each outcome is. And that is all QM claims to do. It does not claim anything more. It does not claim to make a single PREDICTION. It tells you how likely any outcome is using PROBABILITIES. Your second statement is completely false, but it was made because you misunderstand what QM claims to do. ALL events in QM are based on probability. To say otherwise, is very ignorant. BUT, I think what you mean to say is that QM events are not based on PREDICTIONS.
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Old 07-14-2003, 09:54 AM   #34
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yguy,

Have you looked into the reasons that quantum mechanics is a necessary part of describing the univers? The first half of the 20th century was spent by physicists trying to resolve the apparent contradictions, only to prove in many ways that the apparent contradictions are not real contradictions and are required to discribe the universe.

Take the two slit expirement. It shows that electrons will act as waves, generateing an interference pattern that cannot be generated by particles. Not only that, but a *single* electron will go through both slits of the two-slit experiment.

Quantum tunneling happens because the particle's position is a probability region rather than an actual point.

The Casimir effect shows another absurd sounding but empirically existant phenomenon: particles spontaneously pop in and out of existences if given enough space to do so.

The Bose-Einstein Condensate is another example of something that cannot exist according to classical physics (and our intuition), but makes sense in the light of a quantum physics interpretation.


There are many other examples, but all of these are phenomenon that require the probabilities of quantum physics. Not just an "expression of ignorance" probability, but a fundamental aspect of reality.
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Old 07-15-2003, 11:41 AM   #35
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Originally posted by Lobstrosity
It doesn't seem to me that you actually understand what Feynman is saying here--he's giving a warning not to do exactly what you happen to be guilty of in this thread. His statement is a colloquial hyperbole founded on the basic premise that quantum mechanics is completely counterintuitive.
I'm perfectly aware of that. The question is whether the reality QM attempts to describe is counter-intuitive.

Quote:
But we have considered those problems before, and the answer is rather obvious. Unfortunatly, the obvious answer is completely wrong. If, before Einstein, I told you that a person walking 4 mph on a train moving 70 mph would not be moving 74 mph, you would have said such a thing was absurd, illogical, even impossible.
You missed the point. Obviously, someone had to have considered it first. The intuitive approach would not be to jump to the conclusion that the velocities can be summed arithmetically, but to realize one didn't know whether they did or not. You might start with the assumption that they did and then test it, but you would do so knowing all the while that you didn't know.

Quote:
We all have more than enough intuition to tell that velocities add. Hell, ask any child that question about walking on a train and see what answer you get. This isn't because they've been taught classical physics, it's because the answer is intuitively obvious.
Such thought processes have nothing to do with intuition. They have to do with thought. Intuition is what tells you that the results of your thought processes are correct, are incorrect, or that you don't know.

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Same thing for massive particles being particles, not waves. If I told you that you had a wavelength, you would tell me to go fuck myself (or maybe just say I was nuts).
You project your own proclivity to jump to conclusions onto others. Bad move.

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It is obvious that particles are particles. They have no wave-like properties. How could a particle also be a wave? The two are completely contradictory. Intuition gives you all the answers (unfortunately in this case, however, the answers are wrong).
My intuition doesn't tell me that a particle cannot be a wave. It tells me that given the evidence, we have insufficient understanding of the thing we call a particle/wave to describe it in a way that is comprehensible.

Quote:
Einstein makes me think Einstein was using intuition. He has said that the only reason he added the cosmological constant to his theory was because he felt that the universe should be static. He believed that nature had a certain intrinsic elegance and he viewed a static universe as the most elegant solution. An expanding universe, to him, was unelegant. As such, he modified his theories to enforce his preconceptions based on nothing more than intuition (i.e. they were not based on any empirical data at all). It actually seems like Einstein was correct in postulating a cosmological constant, however he was incorrect in its value. What he should have done was left it as a parameter to be empirically determined, not put it in as a fudge-factor in order to force a static (and unstable) universe.
What is intuitive about that? Sounds to me like something didn't make sense and he fabricated an intellectual band-aid to fix it. I'd call that counter-intuitive.

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No, it's not. You cannot use intuition where intuition is not valid.
You can't argue against the validity of intuition when you don't know what it is.

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It strikes me as funny that someone who admits to having almost no knowledge of physics will rail against a theory's "unacknowledged assumptions" and argue that "absurd" consequences make it impossible. Please tell me what those assumptions would be and how exactly you're in a position to judge their validity.
The only one I have a problem with is at the moment is the one I initially responded to in this thread.

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How do you have the foundation to assess their logic?
That's up to you to decide. If you think I don't, you are wasting your time.

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You are supposed to be impressed that this theory is internally self-consistent given that it is also externally consistent.
This statement is redolent with implicit arrogance, since we haven't experienced enough of reality for external consistency to be of any moment beyond the infinitesimally puny little slice of spacetime we happen to occupy.
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Old 07-15-2003, 01:38 PM   #36
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Originally posted by yguy
I'm perfectly aware of that.
No you're not, or else you wouldn't have made this ignorant statement:
Quote:
I should take the word of a guy who admits he doesn't know what the hell is going on that there is no use asking why?
Check out this thread, Sagan on Quantum Mechanics
Quote:
Originally posted by Lobstrosity
It strikes me as funny that someone who admits to having almost no knowledge of physics will rail against a theory's "unacknowledged assumptions" and argue that "absurd" consequences make it impossible. Please tell me what those assumptions would be and how exactly you're in a position to judge their validity.


Originally posted by yguy
The only one I have a problem with is at the moment is the one I initially responded to in this thread.
I assume that you're referring to this exchange.
Quote:
Originally posted by ex-xian
QM events are based on probability.


Originally postd by yguy

There are no events based on probability, which is really a fifty dollar word for ignorance.
The problem is that my statement is a basic tenent of quantum physics. Once again, your own ignorance about this topic is causing you to make wrong statements. Learn some math, take some physics classes, then you'll understand better. Not totally, but better.

The problem is that english is terribly insufficient to describe QM. You need the math.
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Old 07-15-2003, 01:40 PM   #37
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Originally posted by yguy
That's up to you to decide. If you think I don't, you are wasting your time.
You've admitted you don't and as such we are all wasting our time. On top of this you seem to have a somewhat poor grasp on the English language and use that weakness as a red herring to avoid addressing the issues at hand. Couple this with the hypocrisy of your responses in light of other posts I have seen you make and most certainly this is a discussion I don't think you can productively contribute to in any way, although that never seems to have stopped you before so I shouldn't be surprised. I shall now return to ignoring your posts.

And, before I go, just to help you out, one valid definition of "intuition" is "a perceptive insight." Another is "the act or faculty of knowing or sensing without the use of rational processes." Specifically, intuitive knowledge is that which we form through subconscious perceptions as opposed to conscious deductions.
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Old 07-15-2003, 02:43 PM   #38
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Originally posted by ex-xian
The problem is that my statement is a basic tenent of quantum physics.
I'm aware of that. If QM was known to comprise the set of operating principles by which particles behave as they do, you would have a point. As it is, QM no more determines how particles behave than the laws of gravitation determine how the earth orbits around the sun. Both are mental constructs which describe how physical realities behave, not what makes anything happen. An "event in QM" as an abstraction of reality may be based on probability, but the actual event is not.
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Old 07-15-2003, 02:50 PM   #39
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Originally posted by yguy
An "event in QM" as an abstraction of reality may be based on probability, but the actual event is not.
How do you know that the actual event is not based on probability?
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Old 07-15-2003, 03:16 PM   #40
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Originally posted by yguy
I'm aware of that. If QM was known to comprise the set of operating principles by which particles behave as they do, you would have a point. As it is, QM no more determines how particles behave than the laws of gravitation determine how the earth orbits around the sun. Both are mental constructs which describe how physical realities behave, not what makes anything happen. An "event in QM" as an abstraction of reality may be based on probability, but the actual event is not.
What the hell? So basically you're conceding that you're wrong and now your trying to turn this into a debate about the philosophy of science? Are you aware that the mathematical methods of doing QM were developed years and decades before QM was found?

Of course all we have are approximations. But the reality of what we believe, Einsteins's theories of relativity, QM, and everything else, have been proved to such an extent that to question their validity is moronic. Probably new theory will come along eventually that will incorporate these theories, but it won't make them wrong at the level that we understand them. Just as Einstien doesn't prove Newton wrong at the levels that Newton was working.

Here are a few quotes from Einstein:
-No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong....
-All our science, measured against reality, is primitive and childlike-- and
yet it is the most precious thing we have
and finally,
-Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe....
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