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I'll try to give a - hopefully somewhat new - analysis of the problems in the debates between atheïsts and agnosticists. I myself am an atheïst, so of course I'll defend that position.
While Family Man argued that a logical possibility doesn't make a belief justified, I'd like to go a step further and argue that a theoretical possibility of something existing (including possibilities in non-logical worlds) doesn't imply that we should remain agnosticist about the issue. However, while most people rely on Occam's razor and the like, I'll try to explain why I believe that explanation doesn't suffice and offer an alternative which is similar but has some important nuances. The issue at hand is, of course, the christian God, but my reasoning can be applied to just about any 'possible' entity. I'm assuming that those who read this thread aren't theïsts of any form, it is a very specific issue I'm adressing, not the general "does he exist or not?". Occam's razor and the burden of proof. For many atheïsts occam's razor and the placing of the burden of proof on believers 'burden of proof' are prime reasons for disbelieving in a personal deity. Occam's razor and the placing of the burden of proof upon someone are mechanisms in science. Science, although it's aim is (partly) discovering the thruth about various matter, another aim is just getting useful information. It has different aims than metaphysics. It's a pragmatist point of view, but one doesn't have to be a hard pragmatist (i.e. truth equals usefulness) to see how obvious this is. On top of that, we have to realize that scientific theories are to a certain extent constructs. That doesn't mean they are purely human and don't refer to an external reality, it merely means that it is man imposing structure to a chaotic universe. If there are no humans, there are, for example, no chairs, because there is not any logical reason why we should see atoms or molecules that are near each other and form a fabric that in turn forms an object as any more logically connected than random particles. This type of 'constructivism' is basically Kant's solution to problems posed by Hume: man imposes order on the world. Occam's razor can thus be explained as follows: why order the world according to hundreds of different forces when a few variables will do? The simpler theory is more useful and will make it (in most cases) easier to combine with other theories. Fundamentally (metaphysically), however, it's not because God isn't necessary to explain common phenomena, that it is a logical mistake to introduce a variable 'God' into your theories. It is rather a methodological mistake that may (but not necessarily) lead to erronous thinking. The same goes for a positive burden of proof. Metaphysically there is no case at all to say "If we have no evidence, it doesn't exist". But methodologically it is a very sound principle. (There are some exceptions, of course.) Intermezzo: Merton's argument The sociologist Robert Merton once said, concerning the sociology of science, that if a (historical or current) scientific conclusion can be supported with reasons (f.e. although belief x is wrong, the scientist had reasons to believe x in the light of the evidence available to him) there is no reason whatsoever to search for a sociological explanation. This rule is basically in an A-xor-B form. If A fully explains a phenomenon, there is no reason to examine by means of B and vice versa. So then why did Merton choose A-then-not-B as his sociological rule (as opposed to B-t-n-A)? Because it's relatively easy to determine if somebody had of has good reasons for a view, in science this information is most of the time a given, while a sociological investigation would take quite some time and have no use whatsoever if the question why someone adopted a belief can be explained simple by referring to the reasons he or she had. So then the relevance for this topic... One could construct a similar rule that said: if faith can be entirely explained by sociology and anthropology (i.e. by it's social function etc.), there is no reason whatsoever to go search directly for the truth-value of that faith. But then, there is no reason whatsoever to assume those two elements are mutually exclusive: even if science can explain belief in all it's facets, it is not logically impossible that a God does exist anyway. There's just no reason to assume so. A lack of logical certainty. Should we thus adopt an agnosticist view? Why not. We might now conclude that the only reasonable position is a certain form of agnosticism. Theism as well as atheism are then "just opinions", as the poster Howard put it in another thread where I first presented my point of view on this matter, albeit only fragmentarily. I believe this is a wrong way to think about the issue. So I'd like to explain why I believe the 'invible unicorn' argument we're all so acquainted with still makes for a pretty solid argument. There is one big issue clouding our thinking concerning the agnosticism versus atheïsm debate. And it is the disability to discern between doubt and not knowing with absolute certainty something isn't so. Doubt is a position where there are reasons to believe in either position (theism, atheism) but where none of the arguments are conclusive. When making judgments about something you doubt, it's usually best to postpone judgment: agnosticism. "Not knowing with absolute certainty something isn't so" is a whole other position. How there!, one might say, why shouldn't we label this as agnosticism as well? It is not uncommon to call such a vision strong agnosticism, or in some cases even weak atheism (lack of belief). While not wrong per sé, I will argue why the strong atheist position (belief in lack, as Wikipedia puts it) is just as sensible, if not more. I'm not attacking agnosticism or weak atheism, it's more the idea that strong atheism is based just as much on belief as is theism. That claim is plain false - at least that's what I'm trying to show. Imagine somebody comes up to you and asks, for no reason in particular, if there is a bulldog walking around your house. Hm. If you are in doubt you might want to prepare yourself a bit, so nobody gets hurt in case there is a dog walking around your house. How you should act, I don't know - but it's probably wise to act with your uncertainty as a basis for that action. On the other hand, if nobody in your neighbourhood keeps any animals and you don't live in some crummy neighbourhood where there is always trouble of some sort, there is no reason to asumme there is one. You can never be absolutely sure until you are home and see for yourself, but seeing there is no reason to believe there could be one, you have no reason not to follow your usual course of life. Every single day you are at work, there could crash a Boeing into your house, but if you'd have any doubt if that is the case, it would generate quite a bit unnecesarry stress - every single day. Battling uncertainty Generally, the best and most useful reply to this 'fundamental unknowing' position about something, is to consider yourself absolutely sure that that 'something' isn't the case, unless there is any evidence to the contrary. This will all probably sound quite dated or obvious. The essence, however, is the following: you will act like that 'something' (God) does not exist and it's a sensible position. So why not just call yourself an atheist if you act exactly like one? This isn't a silly abuse of language, it's the way language is commonly used. Saying you "don't know" something always indicates doubt. So saying "I don't know" if you adhere to the 'fundamentally unknowing' position is rather weird, since it doesn't convey the meaning you want it to convey. One could say it's a loss for our language that there isn't a sharper line between doubting and fundamentally not knowing. Yet on the other hand, 'fundamentally not knowing' isn't a very useful concept, is it? Functionally it's exactly the same as 'not existing'. (On the other side of the issue, humans just as well believe things with evidence that is 'non-fundamentally supportive': that is, it provides evidence, but not enough for absolute certainty. It is for example always the case with inductive reasoning. I see nothing wrong with that.) So my proposition is: keep the metaphysical terminology in academic discourse, and not in everyday language. That's not so say the 'fundam...' terminology should be abandoned, just that it's a rather different discussion with a much broader scope than merely the existence of a God. On top of that, I ask myself the question, can a strong agnosticist (those who fundamentally don't know) be consequent in his vision? Because it not only pertains to gods, but to every possible object that is not in your direct vision! And even for that, you'd have to trust your senses. Like Dennett says in Freedom Evolves: Hume proved that we can't know what tomorrow brings - for all we know - the universe stops existing. But why not take the bet? - It's exactly in that way the human knowledge acquisition works. Babies quite rapidly learn that objects that go out of vision don't just stop existing. Is there any absolute proof for that? No. But, again as Dennett puts it (quite cynically): animals or humans who thought otherwise have been long excluded from the evolutionairy chain. Conclusion So, the argument about the disbelief in 'invisible unicorns', as seen often on this forum, is a valid one, but not exclusively because of a positive burden of proof as some assert. Yes, some form of burden of proof plays an important role in the argument, but it must be combined with an idea of how humans reason and should reason and how language is commonly used when expressing belief of thruth or falsity. In the end, yes, one can't but be a 'metaphysical agnosticist' towards the existence of a God. But it's a type of agnosticism that hasn't much useful meaning and can even in some cases be positively misleading. The biggest difference between the two parties is not the general point of view, but rather different conceptions of what it means for something to be true or what it means to deny the existence of something. If one wants to carry on the discussion, it will be those concepts and the metaphysical framework that are important, not faith in general. The direct question "does a God exist, or can you deny He exists?" can only lead to more confusion. How merry then, because if I'm right, it means strong agnosticists (although not weaker agnosticism characterized by doubt) are really pretty close to atheists - in it's strong and in it's weaker form. ![]() I hope I've brought forward some interesting points. Critique highly welcome. |
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#2 | ||
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That was a good read! I just wish I had more time right now to comment. Quote:
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#3 | |
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I personally don't think occam's razor applies(burden of proof never should. . .but if you want to use it. It's on the theists). It does make strong atheism a bit more likely than basic theism though.
You can't simpify what is. I said this once before on here: Quote:
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#4 |
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"So saying "I don't know" if you adhere to the 'fundamentally unknowing' position is rather weird, since it doesn't convey the meaning you want it to convey."
Yes it does. Very much so. This is the question "Do invisable unicorns exist?". Here's my answer. If invisable unicorns don't exist then the consquense is that they just don't exist. That's it. . .so who cares I'm happy to be an a"invisable unicorn"ist as the world makes perfect sense and can be proven to be possible without them. So unless new evidence shows up its safe to assume they don't exist. Here's the real question "How did the universe come to be?"(I've changed my mind on something given this question both atheists and theists make a claim and burden of proof rests on both groups)(atheists make the claim the answer is "natural causes" and theists make the claim that the answer is "God") Now as for God if it doesn't exist then the consquence is the universe is here and doesn't have enough proof to show this to be possible. It must be uncaused and maybe infinite and have popped into existance quite magically(with a magical big bang maybe. . .or by the effects of an even more magical quantum probabity). To say I'm an Atheist in my mind is to make the claim that I KNOW the universe came about by one of these natural causes which I can't prove. Or even safely assume(because as a consquence the universe is currently impossible to explain). Now as for saying God exists. A consquence is I'm ignoring the possibility that this universe could have come about by agodgenesis(kind of like abiogensis on a multicelled scale). Agodgenesis is at least 50% possible so denying it completely would be foolish. I think the atheists using occam's razor scores them a few percentage points on the possibilty curve. I'll be generous and give them 5%. So now its a 55% to 45% toss up. And you want me to just say I'm willing to throw out a 45% possibility. That would say I'm incredibly ignorant and as a result I find the idea of being called atheist offensive. Please don't ask me to call myself ignorant again. Prove your claim atheists. Then we'll talk. Until then stop insulting us for holding the more reasonable position. I'm refering to strong athiesm here. I don't consider weak atheism a valid term. They are all definable by other terms so seeing as no one specifies which(strong or weak). . .its an unspecific and useless term. Plus I can't see how you can claim atheism is a stronger position against theists. . .when they claim I can't prove there is no God either I say "I know, that's half my point". To understand and change their minds they just have to believe their position is unprovable. When the talk to you they think your saying their positon is wrong. You've got further to bring them, start off by insulting their beliefs/intelligence and give them a lot more ammo to use against you. |
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Assumption: there is one truth and many falsehoods. It is a priori likely that "unicorns exist" is a falsehood. It is therefore assigned a close to zero probability and we are justified in not believing in unicorns until we see more evidence. Evidence of unicorns is a unicorn. Note that we are not justified in saying, "A horse with a horn is impossible", just unlikely. Quote:
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http://www.infidels.org/library/mode...son/bayes.html The exception to this is the somewhat less supernatural deistic God that doesn't interact with the universe at all. For the god of the deist's I would start at 50%, but I would give Occam's razor a bit more weight reasoning as follows. This is a false dichotomy: either God created the universe or the causes were natural. Why not god(s)? Why not an advanced alien race? How about both God and natural causes? Why not include several different natural causes (white holes, colliding branes, etc.)? None of these things are a priori more ridiculous than God; some, like god(s), are inherently less likely, but exactly how much is hard to say. All of these possibilities beg the question in some why: why did it happen that way and what came before? But I don't give God a special status among the possibilities. If God is defined beyond just intelligent it becomes even worse for him - what does omnipotent mean? How does that effect the probability? Omniscient? Omnibenevolent? And for the statement, "God created the universe" to be meaningful, the theist does need to define what they mean by "God". Quote:
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On the other hand, saying "God does not exist" is not quite the same thing. If I say, "electrons don't exist", it is foolish because, in principle, I could go and measure the thing that we have agreed to call the electron. If I say, "unicorns don't exist", it is not foolish because there is an understanding that, in principle, I could search the world and find no unicorns. So, what is the status of "God does not exist?" if by "God" I mean a supernatural being that I can not even in principle find? Worse, I know what I am looking for in a unicorn and I don't with God. What the theist does is posit a thing that we can never measure and never really know. I cannot, in principle even, do anything when they say "God exists" (save have faith). Their statement is equivalent to saying, "God, an intelligent, necessary being that you cannot find, observe, or measure, exists." To me, "exists" is a statement about a phenomenon in the natural world. So where is God? |
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![]() Edit: I read that link I've done something similiar. The differences never came out anywhere near that great. The Universe following "rules" for no reason gives the creationist view a big increase(in its most basic sense). Why be atoms behave as they do consistantly. . .and why must the mass of the earth pull me towards it? Its way to convenient. For the universe to be so controled and consistant from natural causes is unlikely. Pretty much as unlikely as it being created. But with a creator. . .all those rules seem to make sense. We can define them all we like. . .but we can't prove why there are as they are. |
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[QUOTE=Herb26]Not justified but it is a safe assumption.[QUOTE]
If there are more than one "truth" on any proposition, then the world is not logical at all; so why does it appear so and yet you think it is "not justified"? Quote:
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And I would suggest that proving his existence is not the first step - defining him at all is far more problematic. Quote:
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Agnosticism in its purest form is actually not a tenable position in my opinion. How can you know you can't know God exists? And if you know, don't you know something about God? If you switch to the weaker meaning of agnosticism - one of doubt - then you might as well call yourself an atheist rather than run from the stigma. Quote:
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Your an agnostic on the Christian conception of God and all its alleged contradictory properties? Or are you just agnostic on the deistic God? In that case, who cares? Saying, "God exists - he is what created the universe" is completely useless to ever answering anything about him. What is more, its like saying I'm going to explain X with something else I don't understand. Quote:
I wonder what "proofs" of God you have found so convincing that you give this theistic idea so much weight? Quote:
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Agnostic Atheism: disbelief in gods without claiming to know for sure that none exist.(from about.com) :banghead: Quote:
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#9 | |
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![]() My argument for this is in my original post, so if you don't agree, why don't you refute it? ![]() |
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#10 | |
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Doubt is the point. A weak agnostic would have some certainity not doubt. The more doubt the stronger the agnosticist. The more doubt one has the clearer it should be that it is unknowable. And my first two posts refute a couple of things you said. Can't simplify reality and the unicorn agrument doesn't apply. I've also said burden of prove is on both groups. With the unicorn there is only one claim it exists. . .with God there are at least two. I explained in my second post. |
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