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View Poll Results: What do you think the probability of a historical Jesus is?
100% - I have complete faith that Jesus of Nazareth was a real person. 8 6.15%
80-100% 10 7.69%
60-80% 15 11.54%
40-60% 22 16.92%
20-40% 17 13.08%
0-20% 37 28.46%
o% - I have complete faith that Jesus of Nazareth was not a real person, 21 16.15%
Voters: 130. You may not vote on this poll

 
 
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Old 11-24-2008, 10:00 AM   #41
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That's nonsense. Probabilities are not based on wild guesses or incredible data. Relevant data must mean CREDIBLE data.
"incredible" means "very low probability". It doesn't mean "impossible". Hearsay isn't admitted in court because it isn't considered credible, but it is relevant to probability discussions.

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Of course, it would be irrelevant if you have no credible data or previous model.
That's the point. We have models of historical men being conflated into gods. So when we find a text about a godman, the model of man->godman is a relevant factor.

A simplistic approach to assessing the odds of a historical core, would be to make a survey of all mythical/legendary figures for which it is known whether or not there was a historical core.

Your approach that evidence must be credible before we can make any use of it is simplistic and completely unscientific.
Your model of man->godman is trash. Do you know of any case in history where an otherwise unknown person has been mythicized into a godman?

If Mark is intentional fiction then I would agree that there is some small probability that the Jesus of the Gospels were based on someone in the same way that Olive Byrne based Wonder Women on his wife Elizabeth or Popeye was based on Frank "Rocky" Fiegel or Tom Sawyer was based on several of Samuel Clemens' nephews.

However, fiction writers are often asked if their characters are based on anyone and in the vast majority of cases they claim that they are not based on anyone. However, all fictional characters are based in some general way on the people that the author has experienced.

Even when authors admit that their characters are based on specific people, those specific person have almost never done any of the things or said any of the things that make the fictional character famous.

If Mark’s Jesus was modeled after a real historical character, it very unlikely that the real historical character was born in Bethlehem, lived in Nazareth, preached, did any of the things that Mark’s Jesus did or said any of the things that Mark’s Jesus said, or was crucified.

So what does it matter whether or not Mark modeled Jesus after his cousin Shlomo who visited Judea in 150 CE and maybe rode a donkey into Jerusalem and maybe took a boat ride across the sea of Galilee.
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Old 11-24-2008, 10:23 AM   #42
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Sure...any of the above might be the historical core, or someone else could be the historical core...or there might not be a historical core at all. Without a major new find, or a new and compelling way of looking at existing data, I don't think we can do more than try to assess the odds.

To me though, the typically assumed historical core of a peasant preacher is very unlikely, since it's based on a flawed approach.

Do you agree with my definition of "historical core"?
This one?
....my definition of "historical core"....someone whom the religion evolved directly from, and who, if he did not exist, the religion would never have started.

As a non-academic it seems to me like a reasonable starting point. Do we have any descriptions of Jesus that fit this criterium?
There is no evidence of any ordinary person whom Christianity evolved directly from, and who, if he did not exist, the religion would never have started.

The reason that Christian apologists postulate an historical Jesus is that if you accept that there is an historical Jesus, then you will not claim that "Jesus is a myth" or "Jesus never existed" which is the strong case against literal Christianity.
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Old 11-24-2008, 10:26 AM   #43
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The reason that Christian apologists postulate an historical Jesus is that if you accept that there is an historical Jesus, then you will not claim that "Jesus is a myth" or "Jesus never existed" which is the strong case against literal Christianity.
That may be why Christian apologists hold to an HJ. Why, in your opinion, do Christian, Muslim, atheist, and agnostic nonapologists do it?

Ben.
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Old 11-24-2008, 10:46 AM   #44
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1. An individual named or known as Jesus (Yeshua).
2. From, or associated with Nazareth
3. Politically and/or religiously active Jew.
4. With disciples/followers in his lifetime
5. Crucified by the Roman authorities between about 20-40AD.
I think there is no substantial possibility that these things are true, nearly 0%, but I voted for 0-20% because because I do not "have faith" that it is false.

I think that even if there is an historical core of "Jesus" then probably only 3 and 4 would have been true.

1) Jesus is probably a title that means Saviour.
2) Nazareth probably did not exist until after at least 120 CE.
5) Crucification is a very likely addition to the Jesus story - how interesting would the Jesus story be without the crucification?

Even when fictional stories are based on real characters, those real characters, almost always, have never done any of the things or said any of the things that make the fictional character famous.
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Old 11-24-2008, 10:52 AM   #45
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Your model of man->godman is trash. Do you know of any case in history where an otherwise unknown person has been mythicized into a godman?
Who says he was unknown in his day? But, for similar examples, we have Apollonius of Tyana, St. Nick, Krishna, Muhammed... Not necessarily godmen, but close enough.

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If Mark is intentional fiction then I would agree that there is some small probability that the Jesus of the Gospels were based on someone in the same way that Olive Byrne based Wonder Women on his wife Elizabeth or Popeye was based on Frank "Rocky" Fiegel or Tom Sawyer was based on several of Samuel Clemens' nephews.
*If* Mark was intentional fiction, and if Mark was the source of Christianity, then I would say there is no historical core even if the Jesus character was loosely modeled after a historical person, because the story is not contingent on that person. Someone else could as easily have been picked in that case.

Are there qualified scholars arguing that Mark is intentional fiction, or that Mark was the originator of Christianity?
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Old 11-24-2008, 10:58 AM   #46
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This one?
....my definition of "historical core"....someone whom the religion evolved directly from, and who, if he did not exist, the religion would never have started.

As a non-academic it seems to me like a reasonable starting point. Do we have any descriptions of Jesus that fit this criterium?
There are descriptions that fit it, sure, but what's unknown is whether those descriptions are accurate.

The radicals have a perfectly valid hypothesis that fits all the data, but is completely incompatible with traditional 'historical core' ideas, and the Jesus Seminar showed that the more we look at it, the less we know.

IMHO, there is insufficient information to draw a conclusion regarding the existence or nature of a historical core.
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Old 11-24-2008, 11:00 AM   #47
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The reason that Christian apologists postulate an historical Jesus is that if you accept that there is an historical Jesus, then you will not claim that "Jesus is a myth" or "Jesus never existed" which is the strong case against literal Christianity.
That may be why Christian apologists hold to an HJ. Why, in your opinion, do Christian, Muslim, atheist, and agnostic nonapologists do it?
Training. You've seen how tenaciously and slavishly scholars have held the Essene Hypothesis for the last 50 odd years. (They don't believe in the religion of the Essenes.) Multiply the time by 38 and you'll get some depth to the ingrainedness of the notion of the reality of Jesus.


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Old 11-24-2008, 11:05 AM   #48
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I voted 100% historical. It is a hypothesis that is more than adequately sustained by the evidence, and it has greater practical value as an operating theory than any of its competitors.
The notion of an operating theory is irrelevant in this issue. One doesn't need to commit to a theory to proceed.

You have, for the length of time you have claimed evidence on this forum, doggedly refused to make an exposition of any evidence whatsoever. All you have done is rehashed others' ideas and indicated that you avoid committing yourself to thinking freely about such issues. I can therefore understand your vote.


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Old 11-24-2008, 11:26 AM   #49
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You have, for the length of time you have claimed evidence on this forum, doggedly refused to make an exposition of any evidence whatsoever.
Relax, paly, it's just a discussion board.
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Old 11-24-2008, 12:10 PM   #50
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You have, for the length of time you have claimed evidence on this forum, doggedly refused to make an exposition of any evidence whatsoever.
Relax, paly, it's just a discussion board.
Stop projecting.


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