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Old 09-21-2004, 03:03 AM   #51
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Originally Posted by Victor Reppert
Here's the Hanson passage:
Suppose . . . that on next Tuesday morning, just after breakfast, all of us in this one world are knocked to our knees by a percussive and ear-shattering thunderclap. Snow swirls; leaves drop from trees; the earth heaves and buckles; buildings topple and towers tumble; the sky is ablaze with an eerie silvery light. Just then, as all the people of the earth look up, the heavens open - the clouds pull apart - revealing an unbelievably immense and radiant Zeus-like figure, towering above us like a hundred Everests. He frowns darkly as lightening plays across the features of his Michelangeloid face. He then points down - at me! - and exclaims for every man who man and child to hear, " I have had quite enough of your too-clever logic-chopping and word-watching in matters of theology. Be assured Norwood Russell Hanson, that I do most certainly exist!"

Then he remarks, "The conceptual point is that if such a remarkable event were to transpire, I, for one, would certainly be convinced that God does exist."*

But suppose instead of it happening to you, you hear about it from a bunch of people who, as a group, are pretty skeptical and realiable. If you're David Hume, you still have to say it didn't happen.
Victor Reppert
Far be it from me to answer for Hume.

However IIUC Hume is opposing belief on the basis of testimony in events contrary to general human experience .

I think Hume could plausibly argue that given good evidence of millions of people having testified as to an extraordinary event which they claimed to have witnessed , the event would no longer be contrary to general human experience and hence would be credible.

What Hume is claiming is that good evidence of say up to forty apparently utterly sincere and reliable people testifying with apparent utter conviction and certainty to a miraculous event is not convincing.

This position of Hume's has IMO worrying consequences of general skepticism as to testimony, however I think the problems caused by the testimony of a really vast group of people to an extraordinary event are rather different.

Andrew Criddle
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Old 09-21-2004, 03:21 AM   #52
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What Hume is claiming is that good evidence of say up to forty apparently utterly sincere and reliable people testifying with apparent utter conviction and certainty to a miraculous event is not convincing.
Well, Marian apparitions have even appeared on TV and been seen by millions, but I doubt Hume would be upset.
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Old 09-21-2004, 03:48 AM   #53
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Well, Marian apparitions have even appeared on TV and been seen by millions, but I doubt Hume would be upset.
In this particular case IMHO Hume might well be right.

However, in theory I think by his principles he should accept a
miraculous event recorded by modern media with precautions
apparently making fraud impossible as being worthy of belief.

Maybe 'precautions apparently making fraud impossible' is begging the question but I don't think so.

Andrew Criddle
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Old 09-21-2004, 04:01 AM   #54
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I beg the limitations here made may be remarked, when I say, that a miracle can never be proved, so as to be the foundation of a system of religion. For I own, that otherwise, there may possibly be miracles, or violations of the usual course of nature, of such a kind as to admit of proof from human testimony; though, perhaps, it will be impossible to find any such in all the records of history. Thus, suppose, all authors, in all languages, agree, that, from the first of January, 1600, there was a total darkness over the whole earth for eight days: suppose that the tradition of this extraordinary event is still strong and lively among the people: that all travellers, who return from foreign countries, bring us accounts of the same tradition, without the least variation or contradiction: it is evident, that our present philosophers, instead of doubting the fact, ought to receive it as certain, and ought to search for the causes whence it might be derived. The decay, corruption, and dissolution of nature, is an event rendered probable by so many analogies, that any phenomenon, which seems to have a tendency towards that catastrophe, comes within the reach of human testimony, if that testimony be very extensive and uniform.
Hume, Enquiries, section X part II.
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Old 09-21-2004, 05:10 AM   #55
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Maybe 'precautions apparently making fraud impossible' is begging the question but I don't think so.
Andrew Criddle
I don't either. I think, in principle, it should be possible to render the possibility of fraud so remote as to be not worth paying attention to.

Vorkosigan
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Old 09-21-2004, 08:25 AM   #56
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Originally Posted by Steven Carr
And James was not a disciple, so your arguments are as logical as they always are. (Somebody who produces an Argument from Reason should once or twice produce reasonable arguments)



Why suppose things which aren't true?

VR:I'm trying to explicate Hume here. His claim is that any naturalistic theory is better than a supernaturalist one. So even if the TT is refuted, Hume's claim is that it's preferable to a resurrection.

So you aren't claiming to refute the theft theory at all, you are just saying that it would be refuted , if there was a refutation??

VR:I think the theft theory is pretty much a nonstarter. After looking at it a little more closely I'm inclined to think that the very risky behavior on the part of people like Peter (telling the people who got a man crucified them that the man they put to death had been vindicated through a resurrection, a comment surely designed to anger those who instigated his crucifixion) is perhaps even stronger evidence against this theory than the actual martyrdoms. (Though of course you're probably going to say that most of Acts is made up.) There are two things to account for: the empty tomb and the appearances. Now if the people who were appeared to were the conspirators, then the theft theory explains the resurrection story away. If not, it solves only half the problem.

Let's put it this way. Suppose Hume is right and we can rule out any supernatural explanations, and we have to account for the arising of the resurrection accounts naturalistically. Theft theory is way down the list of plausible alternatives. Do you take the theory seriously yourself?

Please refute the theory that Joseph of Arimathea stole the body.

Please show that Josephus records how James could have recanted and saved his life. (Your ability to get all that from Jospehus is remarkable)
VR: And your reading of what I have to say is as careful as usual. I didn't say that James was a disciple, I didn't say that James was given the opportunity to repent, I asked you if you thought that there were no first-century Christian martyrs. It was a simple, direct, point-blank question. Yes or no.
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Old 09-21-2004, 08:30 AM   #57
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*All* the people in the world are knocked to the ground and yet there are people who hear about it only from their friends??? Victor, are you trying to destroy your reputation as a logician???
Steven: Isn't this a little bit of a cheap shot here? Surely the example can be easily fixed so that, say, a number of people in Phoenix, including Jim Lippard, (who does skeptical investigations of paranormal and supernatural claims) see it and report it to me. According to Hume, I'm supposed to disbelieve them all.

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Old 09-21-2004, 10:30 AM   #58
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Originally Posted by Victor Reppert
Steven: Isn't this a little bit of a cheap shot here? Surely the example can be easily fixed so that, say, a number of people in Phoenix, including Jim Lippard, (who does skeptical investigations of paranormal and supernatural claims) see it and report it to me. According to Hume, I'm supposed to disbelieve them all.

Victor
But your example was meant to be a sarcastic ad absurdum refutation of Hume.

The whole point of your example is that it was seen by everybody, and had incredibly obvious effects, not just by a few people, whose testimony was the only trace of it.

Go back and fix your example and then we might be able to see what a better, fixed example of your reasoning looks like.

Hume, Enquiries, section X part II has already been posted. According to Hume, you are not supposed to disbelieve them all, you are supposed to receive it as certain. Why do you say that Hume said that all posisble evidence of a miracle should be disbelieved?
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Old 09-21-2004, 10:36 AM   #59
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Originally Posted by Victor Reppert
VR: And your reading of what I have to say is as careful as usual. I didn't say that James was a disciple, I didn't say that James was given the opportunity to repent, I asked you if you thought that there were no first-century Christian martyrs. It was a simple, direct, point-blank question. Yes or no.
And quite irrelevant to claiming that the Argument from Rumoured Martydoms can refute naturalistic theories.
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Old 09-21-2004, 10:38 AM   #60
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Originally Posted by andrewcriddle
I think Hume could plausibly argue that given good evidence of millions of people having testified as to an extraordinary event which they claimed to have witnessed , the event would no longer be contrary to general human experience and hence would be credible.

What Hume is claiming is that good evidence of say up to forty apparently utterly sincere and reliable people testifying with apparent utter conviction and certainty to a miraculous event is not convincing.

This position of Hume's has IMO worrying consequences of general skepticism as to testimony, however I think the problems caused by the testimony of a really vast group of people to an extraordinary event are rather different.

Andrew Criddle
You seem quite right to me, but Victor has explained that his example refutes Hume's theories, even if he concedes that it was a very bad example.
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