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Old 07-06-2007, 07:59 AM   #81
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Peter Kirby put together a nice argument against the entire excercise by pointing out another--more recent--author who meets all of your criteria but definitely knew an HJ that I'll try and track down for you, if you'd like.
Yes, I remember that. It foundered on several issues, though, as I recall. It was a 17 century writer who wrote letters to his daughter?

Michael
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Old 07-06-2007, 08:26 AM   #82
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I am not condemning reading things "into" Paul. It's inevitable, as you have just implicitly acknowledged. We simply don't have enough information and thus, by necessity, need to come up with scenarios that fit the information we do have. But how well it fits, or how well it stems from the evidence, is not quantifiable. The evidence can exist objectively. The interpretation of that evidence cannot. And, like all interpretations, it is largely the product of the preconceptions of the author.
Rick, you're confusing two different statements:
  • All conclusions of scholarly work contain an element of subjectivity.

    All conclusions are subjective.

Worse, your position appears to argue that our subjectivities are essentially incommensurable, whereas in fact they have considerable overlap, one reason we spend so much time debating them.

Like it or not, the data and methodology set boundaries for the debates and place limits on what our "preconceptions" can decide. Our assessments have an element of subjectivity but they are not only subjectivity.

The fact is that your "argument from subjectivity" has an answer, and that is the intersubjectivity of all of us here who care about the answers to these questions. Helen Longino put it very nicely:

"Only if the products of inquiry are understood to be formed by the kind of critical discussion that is possible among a plurality of individuals about a commonly accessible phenomenon, can we see how they count as knowledge rather than opinion.
Objectivity, then, is a characteristic of a community's practice of science rather than of an individual's....."(Science as Social Knowledge (or via: amazon.co.uk) p74).

If you wish to position yourself in the middle, find a meaningful position there, not one that starts by declaring a plague on both houses and ends by declaring a plague on all scholarship.

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You say we should expect to hear a sound, but you have no quantifiable way to say that. I repeat the point ad nauseum because of how many times you have missed it.
Yes, and if it was only relevant that Earl's point be quantifiable, you'd actually be saying something here. And what, do you really believe that if Earl could quantify his point, it would be less "subjective?"

It is completely irrelevant whether it can be "quantified." If Earl came back and told you that Paul's silence was significant at the p<.05 level, you'd tell him that it was still too high and too subjective. If he came back at you with an SEM, you'd complain that the relationships among the constructs are conjecture. If he nailed you with a canonical correlation, you'd say that at best all he shown is a vage correlation between the variates. Factor analysis? The loadings are too low, and what about those variables that loaded on to two factors, Earl? Regardless of what analysis he used, you'd find his r squared too low for your taste.

In any research, the methodology is always the weakest part. It's the nature of the beast. Earl knows there is an element of subjectivity to his work. So does everyone else.

Time to move along and make productive arguments.

Michael
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Old 07-06-2007, 08:33 AM   #83
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Originally Posted by Roger Pearse View Post
A statement: Every poster on this board who rejects JM is at least partly motivated by religious concerns.

A claim: that the statement is not true.

Earl's comment: he believes the statement is correct, and the claim is false.
I think you should change "Every poster on this board who rejects..." To "Some posters on this board who reject...".

Gerard Stafleu
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Old 07-06-2007, 08:40 AM   #84
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[QUOTE=Vorkosigan;4593050]
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If you wish to position yourself in the middle, find a meaningful position there, not one that starts by declaring a plague on both houses and ends by declaring a plague on all scholarship.
I do have to agree with this. It might be too drastic as a description of what Rick is saying, but I'll let Rick clarify that. At least I do agree, Vork, with your general principle here.
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Old 07-06-2007, 09:14 AM   #85
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Originally Posted by Vorkosigan View Post
Rick, you're confusing two different statements:
  • All conclusions of scholarly work contain an element of subjectivity.

    All conclusions are subjective.

Worse, your position appears to argue that our subjectivities are essentially incommensurable, whereas in fact they have considerable overlap, one reason we spend so much time debating them.
That they have overlap does not mean that they are commensurable. It means that people think in certain ways. Let me give an example of this one:

A group of marauders asks you for directions. You have one of two choices: Point them to a village of fifty, or point them down another road to a lone man. The response people have to this is so consistent, across cultures, that we could call it universal. You kill the one to save the fifty. Do the objective numbers make it an objective thought process? You might think so.

Let's tweak the settings a little. The Hawkeye Pierce dilemma. Kill an infant to save a busload. Still one to fifty. We start to struggle here. Studies have been done on this particular dilemma (using both examples) such that you can actually see what happens to the brain. The objective, commensurable truth is the same in both--one life for fifty. But we subjectively attach more significance to the life of an infant than we do to the life of an adult. There is tremendous--near universal--overlap between people on this. But the actual weight ascribed to either across people is, at least by present mechanisms, incommensurable. It is the same beast here--the weight we attach to what we "should expect" from Paul cannot be measured.

So the objective facts--50 to 1--remain the same, the subjective weights don't. And those weights are incommensurable.

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Like it or not, the data and methodology set boundaries for the debates and place limits on what our "preconceptions" can decide. Our assessments have an element of subjectivity but they are not only subjectivity.
I believe I said as much. Explicitly, in fact, with my analogy to economic systems, and again above.

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The fact is that your "argument from subjectivity" has an answer, and that is the intersubjectivity of all of us here who care about the answers to these questions. Helen Longino put it very nicely:

"Only if the products of inquiry are understood to be formed by the kind of critical discussion that is possible among a plurality of individuals about a commonly accessible phenomenon, can we see how they count as knowledge rather than opinion.
Objectivity, then, is a characteristic of a community's practice of science rather than of an individual's....."(Science as Social Knowledge p74).
Thank you for the quote, and I've actually just ordered this book, which I'll read in the near future. Unfortunately, this appeal doesn't work as well when things are so hotly contested. Is it knowledge or opinion that we should expect Paul to say such and such at such and such a point?

If it is plurality that makes opinion into knowledge, as you suggest, Earl seems to be on the wrong side of that plurality.

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If you wish to position yourself in the middle, find a meaningful position there, not one that starts by declaring a plague on both houses and ends by declaring a plague on all scholarship.
If you think I've declared a plague on either, you've missed my point. I think that such subjectivity is to be encouraged, and indeed I love the debate as much as the next--the contentiousness it accords me is, like many here I'm sure, part of the reason I enjoy the fields that I do. It is not that I think such subjectivity should be rejected, it's that I think it should be recognized, and very seldom is.

It is not that I think the subjectivity is bankrupt in assessing the worth of either position, it's that I think it's bankrupt in determining objective truths. It's that I think Earl is unjustified in declaring his position "unlikely," and waxing about the closed-mindedness of those unpersuaded, as though he had some quantifiable, objective claim to what is being said.

Is such a position meaningful? Our own Joel Ng used to call it "historical anti-realism," which is as good a term as any, and probably better than most. The difference, of course, is that I'm prepared to embrace such subjectivity once recognized, while Joel wasn't. Perhaps I just love the debate more. The position is, in essence, that history is objectively lost to us. That doesn't seem as meaningless to me as you seem to assess it as. But, of course, you've misunderstood it, as indicated above.

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Yes, and if it was only relevant that Earl's point be quantifiable. . .
I've snipped the rest, because the essence of it is caught here. If Earl simply said "Paul is silent here, where he would be helped by. . ." that would work with what you're saying. But he didn't. He declared the silence "unlikely," and proceeded to declare that those he reached contrary conclusions were, in fact, ignoring the evidence, rather than embarking on the same subjective assessments he was. Such statements imply that his conclusions are objectively verifiable and falsifiable when they are in fact neither. We can agree that Earl has engaged in subjective analysis of the evidence, but then why does he treat his opponents as though they are ignoring objective truths?

That is, and always has been, my point.

Regards,
Rick Sumner
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Old 07-06-2007, 09:48 AM   #86
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Originally Posted by Rick Sumner View Post
A group of marauders asks you for directions. You have one of two choices: Point them to a village of fifty, or point them down another road to a lone man. The response people have to this is so consistent, across cultures, that we could call it universal. You kill the one to save the fifty. Do the objective numbers make it an objective thought process? You might think so.

Let's tweak the settings a little. The Hawkeye Pierce dilemma. Kill an infant to save a busload. Still one to fifty. We start to struggle here. Studies have been done on this particular dilemma (using both examples) such that you can actually see what happens to the brain....
Aren't such studies evidence that human behavior is predictable? What then is wrong about postulating Paul's position, and then testing the postulate by seeing whether Paul's behavior is consistent with it, under the assumption that Paul exhibited typical human behaviors?

I think you're getting at something here. It might be possible to identify key behaviors related to those who believe they are writing history, and those who believe they are not. Then, we might really be able to calculate a probability of what Paul believed. I'm not aware of any such system at present, but if it exists, it has the potential to settle the debate.
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Old 07-06-2007, 09:56 AM   #87
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Originally Posted by krosero View Post
Rick, Earl and Ben:

I have some ideas about what can make an argument from silence more or less objective and I'd like to ask for reactions and feedback from each of you.

Comments from anyone else are also welcome.

In my essay from a few months ago , I presented the historical record as silent about the Pauline beliefs that Doherty's theory argues for, namely the unearthly life and execution of Jesus Christ. I argued for the absence of external witnesses to this faith.

I said that I felt on solid ground with this argument from silence because when I expect a certain entity (Pauline mythicism) to be mentioned by its contemporaries, I am prompted not by my own common sense about what should appear in the historical record; I am prompted by the historical record itself. There are external witnesses to many forms of faith about Christ. We have the proto-orthodox talking about heresies and trying to refute them.

If those are mentioned, then why not Pauline mythicism?
The problem I see with this is that it is Earl's position that it is mentioned, just not explicitly. The lack of explicit reference isn't a problem for him, because he sees Pauline mythicism as orthodoxy--it is the mainstream, and thus authors may not have felt the need to express it outright, anymore than I'd feel the need to point out that modern Christians accepted an historical Jesus if I mentioned them in a work.

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You emphasized “common sense”, but that is risky. Common sense leads me to believe that we should have some surviving historical record of the eruption of Thera circa 1650 B.C.E., because it was the greatest natural catastrophe of that millenium. But historians are surprised that the catastrophe does not seem to be recorded by surviving historical accounts. What I get from this is that the historical record often confounds common sense – especially the common sense of moderns like us, and even more so, rationalists like yourself who expect that events which we regard as important should have been noted by the ancients with the kind of detail and statements that we would like to see.
This I agree with whole-heartedly. The problem with appeals to "common sense" in this context is two-fold. First of all, what people term common sense isn't terribly common (if it was, it wouldn't need to be appealed to at all). And thus Earl's idea of "common sense" is apparently different from his opponents.

Secondly, even on points we can agree are common sense, we run into the problem of anachronism. What seems "common sense" now, may not have seemed such to the ancient mind.

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In a past thread it was asked whether modern historical works about India mention Sai Baba -- a closer analogy to Jesus. Common sense might lead you to expect this, given the size and longevity of Sai Baba's movement. I was somewhat surprised not to find a general history of India that mentioned him.
I think this is closer to objectivity than your other suggestion--comparison to other cults. For another analogy, I could assemble a sampling of the DSS that mention the "Teacher of Righteousness," but omit details we know of from other texts, and that do not put him in any historical context. If that sampling was all that survived, we might apply Earl's criteria, and walk away with the wrong conclusion.

But the problem with this is that same element of subjectivity. How important is it that the ToR be mentioned at a given point. Likewise, how much weight should we attach to whether Sai Baba should be mentioned.

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I have one other suggestion, and it concerns Occam’s Razor. An argument from silence is best, I think, when it does not force us to create new entities. Because Jesus is not mentioned in the ways that Earl expects him to be mentioned in certain texts, he posits a new faith – one that we are then obligated to fit into the historical picture, e.g., by asking what the relationship of this faith was to known communities, whether any contemporaries mentioned it, etc.
And I find this point to be compelling. He also requires more sources for independent traditions to have circulated, allowing texts that seem to have gospel knowledge to, instead, have drawn from another, now lost, source. This multiplication of entities begins, by my math, with 2Peter, but compounds as we move through second century apologists.

It is here that I find Earl's AFS begins to fall apart: The second century apologists meet the criteria Earl applies to earlier texts, such as the Paulines. Because of that, he is forced to take them as mythicists, with no knowledge of the gospels, or see his argument reversed.

Regards,
Rick Sumner
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Old 07-06-2007, 09:58 AM   #88
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Originally Posted by spamandham View Post
Aren't such studies evidence that human behavior is predictable? What then is wrong about postulating Paul's position, and then testing the postulate by seeing whether Paul's behavior is consistent with it, under the assumption that Paul exhibited typical human behaviors?
On the contrary. Some people won't kill the infant. Some people will. Such studies indicate that the more subjective something is, the less predictable they become.

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I think you're getting at something here. It might be possible to identify key behaviors related to those who believe they are writing history, and those who believe they are not. Then, we might really be able to calculate a probability of what Paul believed. I'm not aware of any such system at present, but if it exists, it has the potential to settle the debate.
Unfortunately, Asimov's Hari Seldon has not yet been born.

Regards,
Rick Sumner
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Old 07-06-2007, 10:05 AM   #89
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Originally Posted by spamandham View Post

This is one of the closing points that Price makes in "The Incredible Shrinking Son of Man", and I think he does a good job of showing that this is part of an older Hymn that Paul borrowed, and it shows exactly what you suggest - that the name Jesus was given as a result of the crucifixion, and that whoever/whatever it was called before that was something else.

I might suggest that the prior name of this suffering servant was 'Israel'.
I don’t think so. Have you read my earlier posts?

Be honest.

You should.

It looks to me like Paul was playing off of the vagueness of the ‘lord’ character in the Greek translation of his OT.

It looks to me like Paul didn’t know who the ‘lord’ was and was just making shit up.

It looks to me like Paul was just developing a character around a mysterious ‘lord’ in the OT that no one understood.

There is more evidence in Romans 10. Check it out:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Romans 10:11

As the Scripture says, "Anyone who trusts in him will never be put to shame."
Compare …
Quote:
Originally Posted by Isaiah 45:24~25

They will say of me, 'In the LORD alone are righteousness and strength.'
All who have raged against him will come to him and be put to shame.
But in the LORD all the descendants of Israel will be found righteous and will exult.
See?

The LORD is Yahweh.

Get a load of this:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Romans 10:11/13

As the Scripture says …
"Everyone who calls on the name of the Lord will be saved."
Compare …
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joel 2:32

And everyone who calls on the name of the LORD will be saved …
See?

The LORD is Yahweh.

Now this is where we can be sure his bible read ‘lord’ and not ‘Yahweh’. Look at what Paul says about the 'lord':
Quote:
Originally Posted by Romans 10:12

For there is no difference between Jew and Gentile—the same Lord is Lord of all …
See?

This statement only makes sense if Paul understood ‘the LORD’ to mean ‘lord’ and nothing more. If you substitute the name Yahweh the verse is absurd:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reverse-engineered Romans 10:12 based on premise that Yahweh is interchangeable with LORD

For there is no difference between Jew and Gentile—the same Yahweh is Yahweh of all …
See?

I doesn’t make sense.

Paul was just reading Greek translations of the OT and making shit up.

Paul never heard of Yahweh. His ancestors changed Yahweh to Lord in order to trick Paul, and they succeeded.

I might suggest that the prior name of this suffering servant was ‘Yahweh’.
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Old 07-06-2007, 10:09 AM   #90
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On the contrary. Some people won't kill the infant. Some people will.
But almost everyone will point the marauders toward the lone man. Sure, expectations break down under extreme circumstances, but does that mean they are invalid under more ordinary circumstances? Are you really claiming that it isn't legitimate to gather insight into the mind of a writer from his writings?
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