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Old 08-06-2008, 06:54 AM   #11
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Let's take a datum D. One can then form two (in our universe of discourse) hypotheses about D: (1) it is historical and (2) it is nonhistorical. Since (2) is just the negative (opposite) of (1), it is methodologically not a different hypothesis, so let us just focus on (1): D is historical.

In order for this (or any) hypothesis to be valid (as opposed to true), one needs two things. First one needs corroborating evidence ("this is why I think it is historical"), a process called verification. In addition, one needs to show how the hypothesis could be falsified: "If this happens, or that is found to be the case, then my hypothesis is false."

So you are quite right: you need both criteria that, if met, would show historicity, and those that would show nonhistoricity. If your hypothesis is historicity, and you only have criteria for nonhistoricity, then you can only falsify your hypothesis, not verify it. If you only have criteria for historicity, then you can verify but not falsify (a tempting but strictly illegal situation ).

The reasoning above is of course exactly the same, be it with a "change of sign," if your hypothesis is nonhistoricity rather than historicity. What is missing here is the non liquet. That is because that is not a hypothesis, so you can't do anything with it. It is at best a starting attitude of the scientist. To avoid bias, a starting attitude of non liquet is no doubt preferable, but it has no effect on the methodology.

Gerard Stafleu
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Old 08-06-2008, 06:54 AM   #12
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Stalin's pact with Hitler could be seen as fitting the "implausible" category. Stalin, known for his extreme distrust of "everyone", trusts the proven leastrustworthy person of all? Yeah right!
This kind of human action and decisionmaking is a very soft form of implausibility. I am thinking of harder forms. Making pacts, for example, is what leaders of nations do.

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Just like Alexander consciously aimed to imitate the god Dionysus in his conquest of Asia?
Exactly. As the rule says, when the person benefitting from the heroic parallel is the one enacting the events, this criterion does not apply. Other examples would (potentially) be Theudas trying to cross the Jordan river and Jesus riding into Jerusalem on a donkey (just that action, BTW, Ted Hoffman, not the entire scene).

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The way recent Labour Parties in UK and Australia have shown clear signs of attempting to overturn and reinterpret earlier layers of traditional views and philosophies of Labour governments?
Of these Australian political maneuvers I know absolutely nothing. Sorry.

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Is there any genre that has never been compatible with the transmission of historical details? Various forms of poetry? Novels and fiction? Short stories? Commercial ads? Movie or radio scripts? Political monuments? Matchbox and beerbottle top snippets? Graffiti?
Yes, I am not happy with this first positive criterion. Genre has to be there somewhere, but I am still working on how best to use it.

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What limits our imagination? Is imagining a plausible transmission really a criteria for historicity?
I am not envisioning using much imagination in this process; I am talking about actually tracing the chain (X quotes Y, who claimed information from Z, who was contemporary to the event).

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Just like there are so many multiply attested sources testifying to the sinister character and deeds and conspiratorial plots and schemes of Jews and/or Arabs and/or Blacks . . . ?
This is why the datum has to pass all of the positive tests. No single one is infallible.

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How does this differ from accepting the generally assumed myths of a culture as historical? (Besides, if all sides of the debate agree then who is there to question historicity in the first place? Will not the question be disqualified as not part of the debate before it gets traction?)
I mean that the datum is accepted on all sides by contemporaries or near contemporaries (hence the importance of tracing back the chain of transmission). It does not matter how many sides accept or reject the datum two millennia later.

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As for the second option, this appears to fail to recognize the common overturning and reinterpretations of traditions (and history) that regularly occur for ideological reasons.
Once again the chain of transmission test has already been passed, so we are basically back in the contemporary period.

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In other words, why the need for such criteria in the first place? Why not accept the normal rules of historicity found in non-biblical studies?
I think these are basically the rules for nonbiblical studies. I gleaned most of these test straight from the pages of Garraghan, of Howell and Prevenier, and of Gottschalk. I am just repackaging them in a tighter format, including the tests that are necessary in early Christian studies but not always necessary across the board. (Rules for oral tradition, for example, have been formulated by and for historians before, but not all branches of history require them, so they do not get mentioned as much as some of the other methods; that is one reason my chain of transmission rule is there; it comes straight from Garraghan.)

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Why special rules for biblical studies?
I completely object to having special rules for biblical studies. This is why I wrote of...:

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Originally Posted by Ben, emphasis added
...a system to help us determine what is historical and what is nonhistorical in the ancient Christian tradition (or indeed in other traditions).
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spamandham is right -- that is not how ancient history works.
I think both you and spam are misinterpreting me on that score.

Ben.
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Old 08-06-2008, 07:22 AM   #13
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How does this differ from what I set up? In fact, I am suggesting we apply the negative criteria before the positive.
I am saying the positive is superfluous given the ubiquity of the positive regard toward the Bible.
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Have we not already discussed this? I seem to recall, for example, discussing the probable make-up of the crowd, if there was one, yet your words show no awareness of ever having held such a discussion.
I recall very clearly and if you read the article published online, I give you due credit. Back to the point, you forgot the following:
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Originally Posted by Ted Hoffman
How do you define and determine "implausible"?
That is the question.
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Old 08-06-2008, 07:35 AM   #14
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It seems to me that there's a tendency for the historicity criteria in HJ research to be sui generis. If one is going to do these criteria right, I'd like to see them applied to other cases, e.g., Mohammed, William Tell, Apollonius of Tyana, Gamaliel, Theudas, the "Egyptian," Hercules, Paul, Marcion, Tatian, King Arthur, etc.

Stephen
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Old 08-06-2008, 07:42 AM   #15
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How does this differ from what I set up? In fact, I am suggesting we apply the negative criteria before the positive.
I am saying the positive is superfluous given the ubiquity of the positive regard toward the Bible.
Then I refer you to Neil Godfrey for a rousing discussion of whether one ought to treat the Bible differently from other ancient texts.

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I recall very clearly and if you read the article published online, I give you due credit.
Okay, but you wrote about the plausibility of Jerusalem urbanites throwing garments before Jesus. Where does Mark say that these were Jerusalem urbanites? I had pointed out to you that those scholars of whom I am aware think the crowd would have consisted mainly of pilgrims coming to the feast, not residents of Jerusalem. That is what I meant by showing no awareness of our past discussion. (I was not hitting you up for due credit! )

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Back to the point, you forgot the following:
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Originally Posted by Ted Hoffman
How do you define and determine "implausible"?
That is the question.
I think I addressed this somewhat with Neil. I am talking about general implausibility. I happen not to know how hard or easy it is to ride an unbroken donkey, so I cannot comment on that in particular. Other details in the triumphal entry have to be studied one by one for their likely background.

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Old 08-06-2008, 07:46 AM   #16
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2. The datum too tightly matches an heroic template or a scriptural precedent, and is external to the character enacting it (that is, it is others, or even nature, who are unwittingly fulfilling the template).
I'm not sure if I quite understand this, but nevertheless I'll propose a generalization. We are primarily dealing with mythology and reports from/about believers in the mythology. We have a reasonable idea as to what that mythology (at that time) was. Hence:

2. If the datum fits in well with the mythology, it is likely of mythological rather than historical origin. This fits Occam's razor: in this case we do not need historicity in order to explain the datum.
Gerard Stafleu
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Old 08-06-2008, 08:36 AM   #17
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2. The datum too tightly matches an heroic template or a scriptural precedent, and is external to the character enacting it (that is, it is others, or even nature, who are unwittingly fulfilling the template).
I'm not sure if I quite understand this, but nevertheless I'll propose a generalization. We are primarily dealing with mythology and reports from/about believers in the mythology. We have a reasonable idea as to what that mythology (at that time) was. Hence:

2. If the datum fits in well with the mythology, it is likely of mythological rather than historical origin. This fits Occam's razor: in this case we do not need historicity in order to explain the datum.
Gerard Stafleu
That is the solution. It was used on Homer's Achilles with amazing results accepted universally. I used the same method for Jesus and it worked extremely well.

Achilles and Jesus are of the same kind of myth.
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Old 08-06-2008, 08:37 AM   #18
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2. The datum too tightly matches an heroic template or a scriptural precedent, and is external to the character enacting it (that is, it is others, or even nature, who are unwittingly fulfilling the template).
I'm not sure if I quite understand this, but nevertheless I'll propose a generalization. We are primarily dealing with mythology and reports from/about believers in the mythology. We have a reasonable idea as to what that mythology (at that time) was. Hence:

2. If the datum fits in well with the mythology, it is likely of mythological rather than historical origin. This fits Occam's razor: in this case we do not need historicity in order to explain the datum.
That is essentially what I am saying, but I am also adding a crucial distinction. Some historical personages intentionally act out mythical templates. For example, the fact that Josephus portrays Theudas as going out to cross the Jordan river is no strike against historicity, even with the Joshua story firmly in the background. This is Theudas acting intentionally in accord with ancient scripture. However, when we find Roman soldiers fulfilling an obscure line from the psalms about gambling for clothing, we are right to be suspicious; why would Roman soldiers wish to fulfill a Hebrew psalm they probably had never even heard or read?

Ben.
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Old 08-06-2008, 08:58 AM   #19
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Originally Posted by gstafleu View Post
I'm not sure if I quite understand this, but nevertheless I'll propose a generalization. We are primarily dealing with mythology and reports from/about believers in the mythology. We have a reasonable idea as to what that mythology (at that time) was. Hence:

2. If the datum fits in well with the mythology, it is likely of mythological rather than historical origin. This fits Occam's razor: in this case we do not need historicity in order to explain the datum.
That is essentially what I am saying, but I am also adding a crucial distinction. Some historical personages intentionally act out mythical templates. For example, the fact that Josephus portrays Theudas as going out to cross the Jordan river is no strike against historicity, even with the Joshua story firmly in the background. This is Theudas acting intentionally in accord with ancient scripture. However, when we find Roman soldiers fulfilling an obscure line from the psalms about gambling for clothing, we are right to be suspicious; why would Roman soldiers wish to fulfill a Hebrew psalm they probably had never even heard or read?
Good point. The difference between the two scenarios you sketch is that, at least as far as we know, Josephus was writing from outside the mythology that motivated Theudas, while the data we have about the gambling comes from inside. So:
mythology (at that time) was. Hence:

2. If the datum fits in well with the mythology, and the datum is found (only) within the mythology, then it is likely of mythological rather than historical origin.
Gerard
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Old 08-06-2008, 09:02 AM   #20
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However, when we find Roman soldiers fulfilling an obscure line from the psalms about gambling for clothing, we are right to be suspicious; why would Roman soldiers wish to fulfill a Hebrew psalm they probably had never even heard or read?
But shouldn't the question also be as to why in not just one but a number of the apochryphal acts the apostles themselves are presented as casting lots for the dividing up of the nations. Is this suspicious also?


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