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#511 | ||
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�Macroevolution: evolution that no reasonable person denies.� �Microevolution: evolution that not even creationists can deny.� So the next question has to be, how much evolution constitutes �macroevolution�? Please, CD, no straw men here; what, for you, would we expect to find if �macroevolution� were true? Cetaceans being derived from land mammals, perhaps? Or land tetrapods being derived from fish? (Sez he who had At the Water�s Edge for his birthday (finally), and who has Clack�s Gaining Ground on order from Amazon ![]() Quote:
Could a giraffe not be derived from a, say, okapi-shaped creature, by the extent of �microevolution� that can give cave-critters useless eyes? Could that creature not be derived from a more generalised artiodactyl, again by cumulative microevolution? Could the artiodactyls not share an ancestor with other ungulates? Could ungulates not share an ancestor with other mammals? If they did, what should we find? Could mammals not be derived from reptiles, such as the cynodont therapsids? Could reptiles not be derived from amphibians? And amphibians from osteolepiform fish? During all those changes, could the (what is now the) laryngeal-vagus nerve not have been �dragged� down into the chest? If your answer is �not� to any of those, please explain why not. And at each stage, what might we expect to find? Come on Charles, what counts as �macro�? And why can cumulative �micro� not cause it? Please explain the nature of the impenetrable barrier between �kinds�. In fact, since, as you see, it is crucial, please can you define �kind�. Thanks. TTFN, Oolon |
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#512 | |
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This is in no way science, its faith and religion based purely on your personal belief system. |
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#513 |
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religion is subect-oriented while science is object-oriented. of course the human perceiver is the link between subject and object.
I think religion is just outdated philosophy for thinking about things. In fact much of philosophy is also outdated. Nowadays experiment measurement and quantification are the way things are done. Not religion, and usually not philosophy. |
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#514 | |
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Biblical special creation fails if COMMON DESCENT is compelling. ...And it is. Therefore we can safely discard special creation, yes? Now, given that COMMON DESCENT has occurred, we can start investigating whether or not EVOLUTION is responsible for it. If you are unaware of the extent of the evidence for common descent (which is indeed compelling to eveyone who has studied it in detail), then you are not yet ready for evolution. But it seems that you have a very long way to go, and a great burden of ignorance to shed. Your comments about eye evolution are proof of that. |
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#515 | |
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![]() For example, say you have an organism with a million base pairs, and say you have another organism, also with a million base pairs, but with only 1 base pair difference. Now, there are 3 million different point mutations that can happen in this (any one of the million base pairs has 3 different possibilities that it could be changed to). But only a single 1 of these changes would produce the second genome, making the probability 1/3,000,000. Which would also be the probability of a mutation happening at that point that wouldn't ever help get to the second genome. If you have 2 differences, then for the first change, there's a 2/3,000,000 chance of a mutatation changing to make it closer to the endpoint, and for the second mutation, it would be 1/3,000,000, leading to a probability of 1/4,500,000,000,000. It's the coin flip example, because you're assuming a specific result, and the probability that a specific change will lead to that specific result, rather then the probability of the mutation rate being sufficient to produce that result. You could try to include something like that in probabilities of if it could work, in that a mutation may change another mutation to something else. Except what's being dealt with here is populations rather then individuals, so this would only make an impact if it happened with the offspring of the only individual with that allele remaining. And so, instead, selection would be what would really have an impact on this. But of course, factoring in selection into this could really make things complicated, because in doing so, you can no longer look at a mutation as simply a change, but have to look at what specifically that change would do. And not only that, but suddently the order, time, place, etc. of the mutations makes a difference, because the probability of mutation A surviving at setting A, and mutation B surviving at setting B will most likely be different then mustion B surviving at setting A and mutation A surviving at setting B. As well as the chance of a change surviving would at leastpartially, probably depend on what other changes exist at that time. Basically, you wouldn't just be able to use the two endpoints anymore, you'd have to factor in what the path would be. Of course, that's a more detailed approximation. The one that I was originally mentioning was mainly more along the lines of the probability that the mutation rate with such conditions as I mentioned would be sufficient to lead to such a result. That could be used as a factor in how much selection would have to be biased toward these changes for them to survive, although that could be quite a more complex approximation. Hmm.. although now that I think of it, there's a fairly simple way it could be represented. You could simply look at it as how often an allele involved in the end point, on average, was completely eliminated from a population, and had to have another mutation event to re-create it in the population. That would cover loss of alleles, and it would just be some factor >= 1 that could be multiplied by the number of mutations required in the first approximation. Where 1 would be that every mutation involved in the end product, once it happened, never got completely eliminated from the population. And something like 2 would be that on average every allele involved would go extinct within the population once, and re-created by a second mutation event. |
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#516 | ||
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TE: Who are you to say what an Intelligent Designer would or wouldn't do? Perhaps the Designer had good reasons for bringing this about. The evidence for common ancestry on other grounds is overwhelming. CD: Overwhelming? TE: Yes. Look at all the similarities between the species. CD: Why does this surprise you? Do you think the species comes from different worlds? Of course not; they operate within a common environment, with the same energy sources, subject to the same natural laws, etc. They even consume each other. TE: Yes, yes. But that doesn't explain all the needless similarities. The pentadactyl pattern for example. Why should different species have the same pattern for so many different uses? That's powerful evidence for common descent, though an Intelligent Designer makes it all possible. CD: Why is it that you think your Designer would not use archetypes, such as the pentadactyl pattern? TE: Because they are not necessary. CD: Not necessary for what? TE: They are not optimal. Surely, the 5-bone pattern is not the optimal design for all those different uses. CD: Not optimal in what sense? What is your criteria that you believe the Designer ought to optimize? TE: Function, fitness, and all that, of course. CD: How would you redesign the bat's wing to make it better? TE: I haven't the foggiest, but surely you're not saying all those pentadactyl patterns are optimal for their respective functions? CD: I haven't the foggiest. Maybe they are, maybe they aren't. My point is that you are not making much sense. TE: How so? CD: You claim there is overwhelming evidence for common descent. TE: Yes, overwhelming. CD: But, in fact, this "evidence" is based on your claim of off-optimal designs which you cannot prove. TE: But ... CD: Wait, that's not the worst of it. Even if you were able to prove some designs are not optimal for function, you are ignoring the bigger picture. Remember, your Designer is designing a network of species. If one species is too "optimal", to use your word, maybe it will gobble up too many of its prey. TE: Hmmm ... CD: But we're still not to the worst of it. Even if you were able to prove that the bigger picture is not optimal, you must first assume some criteria for your judgement. You say there is overwhelming for common descent, but this "evidence" is contingent on your assumption that the Designer ought to maximize function and fitness. Where did this come from? TE: Umm, evolution? CD: That's right. Of course, evolution does not say that under their theory, designs must be optimized for reproductive fitness. It is a blind process so it settles for designs that are good enough. The point is that this is their criterion, and their only criterion. Not only is it the only criterion for evolution; it becomes the only criterion for a Designer as well. TE: So when evolutionists say the proof of evolution lies in what they deem to be bogus designs, they are begging the question. CD: Right. And likewise, that evidence for common descent you cite is also circular. You see, you began by asking me the question: "Who are you to say what an Intelligent Designer would or wouldn't do?" But, in fact, it is you who are saying what the Designer would or would not do. You don't like what you observe in nature, so you believe God wouldn't have make it that way. This is your evidence for common descent. But since evolution is ludicrous, you invoke your Designer to step in, being careful to keep him at a distance from those designs you don't like. |
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#517 | |||||||||||
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Well, CD; what is it? Since you can't possibly provide the numbers, should we assume that the event couldn't have occured? Quote:
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And your assertion is wrong: we do have actual details of evolution, including observing mutations and witnessing speciation, unlocking the genetic code that revealed similarities and homologies exactly as evolution predicts them, and seeing some species die while others flourish both now and in the fossil record. Quote:
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Evolution is verifiable, predictive, and potentially falsifiable. Much evidence supports it, and none to date refutes it. Your argument against it has been one from ignorance built upon not knowing the probabilities, but that is not a scientific rebuttal any more than it would be a scientific rebuttal to any other event whose total probablities remain unknown. Quote:
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The belief of creationism is not falsifiable that way, because the possibilty (actually it's a fact, though you deny it) of "naturalistic origins" wouldn't make creationism any more or less false. It would provide no evidence that creationism didn't occur, just that it or "natural origins" could have. You are not proposing a scientific theory with creationism, as it is not verifiable, predictive, or falsifiable. Quote:
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#518 |
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CD: An HERV shared by chimps and gorillas but not by humans casts doubt on the notion that the three species share a common ancestry.
Actually, it's no difficulty -- that gene was lost by the ancesstors of Homo sapiens after they split off from the ancestors of the chimps and gorillas. TE: ...The evidence for common ancestry on other grounds is overwhelming. CD: Overwhelming? TE: Yes. Look at all the similarities between the species. CD: Why does this surprise you? Do you think the species comes from different worlds? Of course not; they operate within a common environment, with the same energy sources, subject to the same natural laws, etc. They even consume each other. The similarities are far beyond what is necessary to survive. Also, there are lots of differences, and the pattern of similarities and differences fits a treelike pattern remarkably well. Why don't we find some creature with a bird's beak, a bat's wings, insect-like antennae on its head, and hemocyanin as its blood oxygen carrier? A designer that liked variety can surely create something like that -- especially an omnipotent one. CD: Why is it that you think your Designer would not use archetypes, such as the pentadactyl pattern? A very powerful designer concerned with creating good adaptations would create a new one specially suited for some job rather than kludging an old one. I know that from my own experience as an intelligent designer. TE: They are not optimal. Surely, the 5-bone pattern is not the optimal design for all those different uses. It's 5 digits, not 5 bones. And it is indeed suboptimal for the extremities of hoofed animals. Many of them have various numbers of extra digits alongside their main weight-bearing ones; extra digits that have no apparent function and that are often much narrower than the main weight-bearing digits. Present-day equines have a single hoof on each foot and two splints, one on each side of the main digit. However, these splints occasionally become extra side digits, and most extinct equids had similar extra side digits. Furthermore, some artiodactyl hooves like cow hooves converge on the overall shape of a horse hoof, looking like a horse hoof split in the middle. This seems like a kludgy workaround -- especially for some alleged superbeing that can easily give cows single hooves. CD: Wait, that's not the worst of it. Even if you were able to prove some designs are not optimal for function, you are ignoring the bigger picture. Remember, your Designer is designing a network of species. If one species is too "optimal", to use your word, maybe it will gobble up too many of its prey. That's Walter ReMine's favorite argument. However, an equilibrium would still be reached. Pandas extract only 1/6 of the nutrients that they could from bamboo; WR had argued that this was a good way of keeping pandas from eating all the bamboo. However, if pandas were given 100% of possible efficiency, then the same grove of bamboo would be able to support 6 times as many individual pandas; each one would need to eat only 1/6 as much bamboo to survive. CD: ... You say there is overwhelming for common descent, but this "evidence" is contingent on your assumption that the Designer ought to maximize function and fitness. Where did this come from? From this designer being celebrated as the designer of high-quality adaptations. |
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#519 | |
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Also, would it be useful or interesting to you if I were to write a rebuttal to the book's claims, if I think such a response is appropriate? Or are you more interested in making evolutionists look suspicious? Regards, Muad'Dib |
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#520 | |
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-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- There is no question that ID is asking a scientific question and using scientific means to get at the answer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Quote:
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