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View Poll Results: What do you think the probability of a historical Jesus is?
100% - I have complete faith that Jesus of Nazareth was a real person. 8 6.15%
80-100% 10 7.69%
60-80% 15 11.54%
40-60% 22 16.92%
20-40% 17 13.08%
0-20% 37 28.46%
o% - I have complete faith that Jesus of Nazareth was not a real person, 21 16.15%
Voters: 130. You may not vote on this poll

 
 
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Old 12-04-2008, 05:05 AM   #211
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The subjective probability of Jesus Christ is close to 99.9999... % cause he exists within every believers Heart that is a virtual Heart in their physical brain so Jesus is a wetware program that is named a Meme construct and is seen as a mental Virus that "possess" the believer and being dispersed in a parallel computer way in every Operating System of Christians he is almost eternal and non-destructable as a construct. Only by shutting down the OS for Millenia would put him on par with Zeus and Thor and the other dead gods.
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Old 12-04-2008, 06:48 AM   #212
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Nazareth as described in the NT, when the Jesus of Nazareth, as described in the NT, may not have even lived. The probability just CANNOT exceed 50%.
Yes, it CAN. You fundamentally have no idea how probability works. That's fine, hardly anyone does, but quit acting like you know what you're talking about in that regard.
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Old 12-04-2008, 07:08 AM   #213
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Originally Posted by spamandham View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by aa5874 View Post
Nazareth as described in the NT, when the Jesus of Nazareth, as described in the NT, may not have even lived. The probability just CANNOT exceed 50%.
Yes, it CAN. You fundamentally have no idea how probability works. That's fine, hardly anyone does, but quit acting like you know what you're talking about in that regard.
Please! Stop wasting time.

Answer the question if you know how probabilty works.

If there are two persons living in Nazareth in the 1st century and one is called Jesus, what is the probablility that the person called Jesus was the Jesus of Nazareth of the NT?

I say the probability cannot exceed 50%.

Now, what do you say? You know how probability works?
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Old 12-04-2008, 10:40 AM   #214
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Please! Stop wasting time.
Fine. Stoop in your ignorance of mathematics and look like a fool. I don't care.
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Old 12-04-2008, 11:09 AM   #215
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aa5874 View Post
Please! Stop wasting time.
Fine. Stoop in your ignorance of mathematics and look like a fool. I don't care.

What is this?

You know probabilities. You are smart.

Answer the question.
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Old 12-04-2008, 11:12 AM   #216
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aa5874 View Post
If there are two persons living in Nazareth in the 1st century and one is called Jesus, what is the probablility that the person called Jesus was the Jesus of Nazareth of the NT?

I say the probability cannot exceed 50%.

Now, what do you say? You know how probability works?
Robert (spamandham) is right. Your statistics are unbelievably bad.

But let us pursue this a bit. Please reveal the formula you used to derive your maximum percentage.

Ben.
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Old 12-04-2008, 11:13 AM   #217
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aa5874 View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by spamandham View Post

Yes, it CAN. You fundamentally have no idea how probability works. That's fine, hardly anyone does, but quit acting like you know what you're talking about in that regard.
Please! Stop wasting time.

Answer the question if you know how probabilty works.

If there are two persons living in Nazareth in the 1st century and one is called Jesus, what is the probablility that the person called Jesus was the Jesus of Nazareth of the NT?

I say the probability cannot exceed 50%.

Now, what do you say? You know how probability works?
I don't understand your methodology for determining how the probability can't exceed 50%. The probability of a coin toss can't exceed 50%... but it also can't be below 50%. Talking about the probability for the existence of something is not binary. If the probability that Jesus existed can't be greater than 50% then it also can't be less thatn 50%.
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Old 12-04-2008, 11:20 AM   #218
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Originally Posted by Ben C Smith View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by aa5874 View Post
If there are two persons living in Nazareth in the 1st century and one is called Jesus, what is the probablility that the person called Jesus was the Jesus of Nazareth of the NT?

I say the probability cannot exceed 50%.

Now, what do you say? You know how probability works?
Robert (spamandham) is right. Your statistics are unbelievably bad.

But let us pursue this a bit. Please reveal the formula you used to derive your maximum percentage.

Ben.
Well, just show everyone where my statistics is bad. Just saying my statistics is bad when you cannot show one single error is just absurd.

You belief is irrelevant to the probability of the existence of Jesus of Nazareth as described in the NT.
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Old 12-04-2008, 11:23 AM   #219
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Well, just show everyone where my statistics is bad. Just saying my statistics is bad when you cannot show one single error is just absurd.
Please reveal the formula you used, aa5874. Then I will tell you how you misused it.

Ben.
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Old 12-04-2008, 11:40 AM   #220
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Quote:
Originally Posted by show_no_mercy View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by aa5874 View Post

Please! Stop wasting time.

Answer the question if you know how probabilty works.

If there are two persons living in Nazareth in the 1st century and one is called Jesus, what is the probablility that the person called Jesus was the Jesus of Nazareth of the NT?

I say the probability cannot exceed 50%.

Now, what do you say? You know how probability works?
I don't understand your methodology for determining how the probability can't exceed 50%. The probability of a coin toss can't exceed 50%... but it also can't be below 50%. Talking about the probability for the existence of something is not binary. If the probability that Jesus existed can't be greater than 50% then it also can't be less thatn 50%.
Your statement is only true when there are only two choices. In a coin toss, there are two sides under consideration and the probability is 50%.

However, as the number of persons are increased to over a hundred with respect to the hypothetical scenario with respect to Jesus of Nazareth, the probabilities must decrease or cannot exceed 1%.

Based on the information about Jesus of Nazareth, he did not always stay in Nazareth, so the probability that someone called Jesus was the Jesus of Nazareth as described is further reduced.

And, if the choices approach 1000, 10,000, 100, 000 or 1,000,000 then the probabilities are reduced inversely proportional to the choices and approach 0% when it is factored in that Jesus of Nazareth is reported to have resurrected and ascended through the clouds.
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