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01-02-2008, 03:50 PM | #11 | |
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01-02-2008, 03:53 PM | #12 |
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01-02-2008, 03:54 PM | #13 |
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My impression of the early dating basis has always been that the 70 ADE destruction of the temple in Jerusalem isn't mentioned or even hinted at in the NT. And that Clement referred to a gospel or two very early on, say 100 AD?
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01-02-2008, 04:05 PM | #14 | ||
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For the round tomb stone anachronism, see link Quote:
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01-02-2008, 05:06 PM | #15 | |
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Having said that, I think I gave the reasoning. Assuming P52 is more or less accurately dated, then it is more likely than not that p52 is not a holograph. That's because there is only one holograph and a lot of copies of John. The odds of having the holograph, therefore, are diminishingly low. Similarly, as more copies are made, there tend to be proportionately more copies that are younger. Thus, if you have a copy, it is more likely to be younger than older. The odds on getting the first copy, or one of the first copies of a holograph are low. The odds are higher that any particular copy is of a later date than the first copies. Add this to other factors, such as textual criticism, the fact that the synoptic gospels appear to be related (and hence had some common source prior to their creation), and church tradition, and a first century dating of the gospels seems pretty likely. That's the best we can do in this case (as with most ancient mss) |
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01-02-2008, 05:30 PM | #16 | |||
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Look at it this way, hypothetically. If you have 100 copies of something in the year 1000, 50 copies in 950, 25 in 900, 12 in 850, 6 in 800, and 1 in 750, then it wouldn't be reasonable to date the autograph to, say, 600. More reasonable would be between 700 and 750. If you look at our christian MSS then you land somewhere in the 2nd century, although I haven't worked out the specific math due to extreme laziness. Putting them in the second century also helps contextualize writings such as the Didache and GThomas. Quote:
I find a first century date for the gospels more and more unlikely, the more I think about it. Julian |
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01-02-2008, 05:47 PM | #17 | |||
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1. You cannot invoke probability here until you know when the other copies were made. You might very well have a piece of the autograph. 2. You also need to know how *many* copies were available at this point in time. If there were only two copies made and in circulation at that point in time, then the chance of P52 being part of the autograph are 1 in 3 - and that's assuming that you can date the copies to some time before P52's dating. 3. Assuming you clear the above two hurdles, you still have a problem. Even if P52 is a copy and not the autograph, that still doesn't get you to a 1st century autograph. The copy that P52 came from could have been made the same year as the autograph was penned down. You're assuming some amount of time elapsed. That may or may not be true. Quote:
AD 100 - original AD 105 - 30 copies AD 120 - 5 copies There are more copies floating around in AD 120 than there were in AD 105 or AD 110. But the average age of the copies is still older, not younger, than AD 120. Quote:
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01-02-2008, 05:57 PM | #18 | ||
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But is it the case that Kloner's claim that after 70 CE round blocking stones became "much more common" than they were prior to that date justifies, as RC seems to think it does, his absolute denial that would have been any round tomb blocking stones on tombs in the time of Jesus? After all, that there were no round tomb blocking stones used prior to 70 CE is not what Kloner says. Jeffrey |
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01-02-2008, 06:05 PM | #19 | |
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Attestation is capricious. How would your expectations work for the epistle to Diognetus? It is obviously ancient, yet no author at all refers to it until nearly modern times. IOW, why is it so improbable that the gospels went through a period of relative quiet before catching on? Ben. |
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01-02-2008, 06:11 PM | #20 | ||
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Only 4 round tomb blocking stones have been discovered that were used before 70, and those were used on highly unusual, large tombs for important officials ("elaborate tomb complexes of the extremely rich"), not a tomb such as that of Joseph of Arimathea. Please note that this is one element in a long counter to arguments made by Christian apologists, that the gospel stories are inherently plausible. Some proponents of historicity try to explain this anomaly away, and Carrier decides that their attempts are not successful. But his conclusion is: Quote:
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