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Old 12-13-2011, 03:04 PM   #381
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It seems clear enough that Carrier treats the historicity of Jesus as an hypothesis h to be evaluated. Competing hypotheses would include ~h etc. Leaving aside for the moment the Bayesian expression representing the probability that a hypothesis (h) is true given all the available evidence (e) and all our background knowledge (b), it is clear that the historicity (or otherwise) of Jesus is hypothetical.

The clear expression of this hypothesis h may be as simple as "Jesus was an historical person" or even "Jesus existed". The antithetical hypothesis ~h, which Carrier seems to be exploring is "Jesus never actually existed as a historical person" (taken from WIKI on Carrier).

It also follows that if the historical existence of Jesus may be treated as an hypothesis, so may the existence of Paul.

The statements 'Jesus was a historical person', 'Jesus existed', and 'Jesus never actually existed as a historical person' are not sufficiently clearly defined to be testable hypotheses., for reasons I have already outlined.

You have only outlined trivialities such as this:


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Was Bilbo Baggins an historical person?
Bilbo Baggins is on Google+, and on Twitter: does that count? Why or why not?

You have already agreed that the Bayesian expression uses e and b. These are defined as:

Quote:

e = all the evidence directly relevant to the truth of h (e includes both what is observed and what is not observed)

b = total background knowledge (all available personal and human knowledge about anything and everything, from physics to history)
Discussion here assumes a basic background knowledge about both a great deal of evidence and its corresponding postulates at the foundation of various historical theories of christian origins, and it also assumes a basic background knowledge of the RELEVANT total background knowledge. It does not need consider trivialities.


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Carrier may think they are or he may not, I don't know; what I know is that if he does think so, he's making a mistake. If you think so, you are making a mistake. Anybody who thinks so is making a mistake. The mistake is the same mistake independently of who makes it.
Being pedantic and trivial is a mistake. Try being pedantic and non trivial for a change. For the sake of another example, let's examine Eusebius Pamphilus of Caesarea. There is a great consensus of opinion between all people who have studied this author that he was an historical figure who was the author responsible for a large number of literary works in the 4th century including the "History of the Christian Church".

The hypothesis that "Eusebius existed" is held to be true by the consensus of those who have studied this author, in the implicit sense. They do not need to look up Eusebius on twitter or fb to extend their evidence or their background knowledge about the subject.
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Old 12-13-2011, 03:30 PM   #382
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It seems clear enough that Carrier treats the historicity of Jesus as an hypothesis h to be evaluated. Competing hypotheses would include ~h etc. Leaving aside for the moment the Bayesian expression representing the probability that a hypothesis (h) is true given all the available evidence (e) and all our background knowledge (b), it is clear that the historicity (or otherwise) of Jesus is hypothetical.

The clear expression of this hypothesis h may be as simple as "Jesus was an historical person" or even "Jesus existed". The antithetical hypothesis ~h, which Carrier seems to be exploring is "Jesus never actually existed as a historical person" (taken from WIKI on Carrier).

It also follows that if the historical existence of Jesus may be treated as an hypothesis, so may the existence of Paul.
The statements 'Jesus was a historical person', 'Jesus existed', and 'Jesus never actually existed as a historical person' are not sufficiently clearly defined to be testable hypotheses., for reasons I have already outlined.
You have only outlined trivialities such as this:
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Was Bilbo Baggins an historical person?
Bilbo Baggins is on Google+, and on Twitter: does that count? Why or why not?
My response was no more trivial than your question. There would be just as much point in your trying to answer my question as in my trying to answer yours. If Bilbo Baggins really is relevant to this discussion, then Google+ and Twitter are just as relevant.
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Old 12-13-2011, 05:41 PM   #383
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some examples of Biblical Scholars using the term "hypotheses about Jesus" explicitly in relation to the field of BC&H.

"hypotheses about jesus"

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Jesus Christ Today: The Historical Shaping of Jesus for the ... - Google Books Resultbooks.google.com.au/books?isbn=0881461679...
Edgar V. McKnight - 2009 - Religion - 161 pages

The seminar did not begin with wide-ranging original hypotheses about Jesus that would guide discussion of the Jesus tradition. It was the project itself



Christology, controversy, and community: New Testament essays in ... - Google Books Resultbooks.google.com.au/books?isbn=9004116796...
David R. Catchpole, David G. Horrell, Christopher Mark Tuckett - 2000 - Religion - 404 pages

The gospel evidence is sufficiently ambiguous to permit hypotheses about Jesus and Christian origins which are both historically plausible and compatible ...




Response to Ogden and Carpenterwww.religion-online.org/showarticle.asp?title=2388Cached - Similar
You +1'd this publicly. Undo
by JB Cobb Jr

The hypotheses about Jesus that I have found relatively well supported are, first, that the manner and content of Jesus' teaching and actions implicitly claimed ...

Author Interview
N.T. Wright, author of The Challenge of Jesus


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Originally Posted by WRIGHT

I am quite clear that the Christian community shaped the traditions about Jesus. I have written about that (a reconstructed form-criticism) in New Testament and the People of God chapter fourteen. I am equally clear that any case that the early church invented material about Jesus has to be made by showing that Jesus couldn't have said it, etc.

In other words, hypotheses about what the church invented are logically dependent on hypotheses about what is thinkable in relation to Jesus. The hypotheses about Jesus are logically prior, in fact, to hypotheses about Gospel origins, despite the rhetoric of the Jesus Seminar.

Is it necessarily true that the hypotheses about Jesus are logically prior, in fact, to hypotheses about Gospel origins? Why?

It is clear with this and other examples that hypotheses about what is thinkable in relation to Jesus must also make provision to include ideas in relation to his historical existence (or mythological existence). This is in addition to hypotheses about the words of Jesus or the actions of jesus or the teachings of jesus or the apostles of jesus, etc.
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Old 12-13-2011, 05:53 PM   #384
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Let's see some examples of Biblical Scholars using the word hypotheses explicitly in relation to the field of BC&H.

Author Interview
N.T. Wright, author of The Challenge of Jesus
Quote:
Originally Posted by WRIGHT
I am quite clear that the Christian community shaped the traditions about Jesus. I have written about that (a reconstructed form-criticism) in New Testament and the People of God chapter fourteen. I am equally clear that any case that the early church invented material about Jesus has to be made by showing that Jesus couldn't have said it, etc.

In other words, hypotheses about what the church invented are logically dependent on hypotheses about what is thinkable in relation to Jesus. The hypotheses about Jesus are logically prior, in fact, to hypotheses about Gospel origins, despite the rhetoric of the Jesus Seminar.
Is it necessarily true that the hypotheses about Jesus are logically prior, in fact, to hypotheses about Gospel origins? Why?
I can't see anything that makes it necessarily true. Can you?
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It is clear with this and other examples that hypotheses about what is thinkable in relation to Jesus must also make provision to include ideas in relation to his historical existence (or mythological existence).
No.
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Old 12-13-2011, 06:15 PM   #385
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Chronology

Separate hypotheses about each of the items of evidence (including people) may also be formulated with respect to chronology. These are supposed to answer the WHEN questions. Ditto for WHERE, HOW and WHY.

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Old 12-13-2011, 06:44 PM   #386
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Ignoring the objections to your approach does not make the flaws go away.
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Old 12-13-2011, 07:09 PM   #387
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Default conclusions: the range of conclusions about Jesus and the events of christian origins

There are various historical theories of christian origins and all of them address the existence of Jesus. The following 6 statements appear to summarise the range of conclusions of the bulk of all mainstream and non-mainstream theories about Jesus and Christian origins. (For the purpose of discussion "Christian Origins" here relates to the physical authorship of the books of the canonical new testament, and to the physical authorship of the non canonical books - "Gnostic Gospels, etc")
Mainstream and Non mainstream summary conclusions

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 1st century"

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 1st and 2nd century"

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 2nd century".



"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 1st century"

"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 1st and 2nd century"

"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 2nd century"
These are the conclusions and approaches being examined. I do not favor any of these, as you may know. Nevertheless I can sketch the basic range of theories that most other investigators (of various kinds) seem to be associated with. All these conclusions are provisional and hypothetical, and all rely on a KNOWN and REASONABLY STATIC evidence base, the major items of which are the books of the canonical new testament, the non canonical books of the new testament, and for matters of chronology, the "History of the Church" by Eusebius.
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Old 12-13-2011, 07:24 PM   #388
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Originally Posted by mountainman View Post
There are various historical theories of christian origins and all of them address the existence of Jesus. The following 6 statements appear to summarise the range of conclusions of the bulk of all mainstream and non-mainstream theories about Jesus and Christian origins. (For the purpose of discussion "Christian Origins" here relates to the physical authorship of the books of the canonical new testament, and to the physical authorship of the non canonical books - "Gnostic Gospels, etc")
Mainstream and Non mainstream summary conclusions

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 1st century"

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 1st and 2nd century"

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 2nd century".



"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 1st century"

"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 1st and 2nd century"

"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 2nd century"
These are the conclusions and approaches being examined. I do not favor any of these, as you may know. Nevertheless I can sketch the basic range of theories that most other investigators (of various kinds) seem to be associated with. All these conclusions are provisional and hypothetical, and all rely on a KNOWN and REASONABLY STATIC evidence base, the major items of which are the books of the canonical new testament, the non canonical books of the new testament, and for matters of chronology, the "History of the Church" by Eusebius.
As conclusions, none of those statements are sufficiently clearly expressed.
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Old 12-13-2011, 07:45 PM   #389
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There are various historical theories of christian origins and all of them address the existence of Jesus. The following 6 statements appear to summarise the range of conclusions of the bulk of all mainstream and non-mainstream theories about Jesus and Christian origins. <snip>
These are the conclusions and approaches being examined. ...
The problem is that you are not examining them. You haven't said anything coherent about any of these theories or how to decide their relative probability given any selection of evidence.

Is there any reason for this thread to exist in this forum?
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Old 12-13-2011, 07:47 PM   #390
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainman View Post
There are various historical theories of christian origins and all of them address the existence of Jesus. The following 6 statements appear to summarise the range of conclusions of the bulk of all mainstream and non-mainstream theories about Jesus and Christian origins. (For the purpose of discussion "Christian Origins" here relates to the physical authorship of the books of the canonical new testament, and to the physical authorship of the non canonical books - "Gnostic Gospels, etc")
Mainstream and Non mainstream summary conclusions

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 1st century"

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 1st and 2nd century"

"Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 2nd century".



"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 1st century"

"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 1st and 2nd century"

"Jesus didn't exist and christian origins are events of the 2nd century"
These are the conclusions and approaches being examined. I do not favor any of these, as you may know. Nevertheless I can sketch the basic range of theories that most other investigators (of various kinds) seem to be associated with. All these conclusions are provisional and hypothetical, and all rely on a KNOWN and REASONABLY STATIC evidence base, the major items of which are the books of the canonical new testament, the non canonical books of the new testament, and for matters of chronology, the "History of the Church" by Eusebius.
As conclusions, none of those statements are sufficiently clearly expressed.
They sketch the bounds of mainstream and non mainstream theory space. I do not regard these statement to be unintelligible. If you think you can improve on any one as a blueprint for the others by all means state your case by example. Maybe start with "Jesus existed and christian origins are events of the 1st century", since this is what many people appear to conclude. How would you describe this segment of the theory space? By theory space I mean the shape and characteristics of all theories in the field - they have bounds (via the evidence) in logic and in chronology.
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