FRDB Archives

Freethought & Rationalism Archive

The archives are read only.


Go Back   FRDB Archives > Science & Skepticism > Evolution/Creation
Welcome, Peter Kirby.
You last visited: Yesterday at 03:12 PM

 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old 10-26-2003, 12:21 PM   #801
Banned
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Alaska
Posts: 9,159
Default

Hi Principia. Acknowledged.

There is value to me in knowing their arguments, and yes - it isn't a positive presentation of creation.

Thus far, the assertion that all radiometric dating has huge flaws is falling on its face. I see CD accepts the age of the earth is > 4 billion years anyway, so it's on to the assertion that there are not gradual evolutionary fossil forms in successive layers of strata.

From a layman's view it seems obvious to me the simple organisms are on the bottom, eh? I find the horse literature pretty convincing so far...
rlogan is offline  
Old 10-26-2003, 02:46 PM   #802
Veteran Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: US east coast. And www.theroyalforums.com
Posts: 2,829
Default

Quote:
I'm sorry to see that you have so dramatically misunderstood my posts. I would have hoped that it would be abundantly clear that science argues against evolution and that it certainly is not a fact. This has been my point. I'm sorry to see that you have read so much into my posts.
All through this thread you've been saying that people who accept evolution are doing so for metaphysical or theological rather than scientific reasons. Ken has every reason to interpret your posts the way he did. There's now over 30 pages of posts from people ranging from interested laymen to researchersin evolutionary biology, with a variety of different metaphysical positions, that are describing the scientific basis for accepting evolution, and the best you seem to have been able to come up with in opposition is nitpicking followed by statements that none of the evidence is compelling and that the people who think it is compelling aren't being motivated scientifically. Not that we seem to be any nearer a definition of "compelling," since most people here do consider the current theory of evolution compelling as an explanatory and predictive scientific tool.
Albion is offline  
Old 10-26-2003, 10:06 PM   #803
Regular Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: California
Posts: 454
Default

Quote:
Originally posted by Albion
All through this thread you've been saying that people who accept evolution are doing so for metaphysical or theological rather than scientific reasons. Ken has every reason to interpret your posts the way he did.
No, I've been pointing out metaphysics as they arise.

Quote:
Originally posted by Albion
There's now over 30 pages of posts from people ranging from interested laymen to researchersin evolutionary biology, with a variety of different metaphysical positions, that are describing the scientific basis for accepting evolution, and the best you seem to have been able to come up with in opposition is nitpicking ...
Sorry, I was trying to engage the scientific claims you are making. Can you give me an example of nitpicking in response to a scientific claim (and I'll try to fix it)?
Charles Darwin is offline  
Old 10-26-2003, 11:39 PM   #804
Regular Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: California
Posts: 454
Default

Quote:
Originally posted by monkenstick
Quote:
i'm not saying it isn't possible, i'm saying that its incredibly unlikely that the inactivating mutations are all due to convergent mutations, due to their number and distribution

the convergent mutations they identified occured in only two species, and are well explained by the phenomenon of lineage sorting. The convergent mutations you're appealing to have to occur in 4 members of hominidae, and 5 members of hylobatidae, in precisely the distribution that accords with the current phylogeny.
No, the convergent mutations involve the gorilla, the orangutan, the gibbon, the chimp, and the human. The authors explore alternative explanations but find the mutations to be most likely independent.

Quote:
From Oda, et. al.:
The nonsense mutation (TGA) at codon 107 is, however, more complicated than others. It occurs in the gorilla, the orangutan, and the gibbon, and therefore requires multiple origins of this nonsense mutation.

In contrast, the exon 3 mutation is not shared by H. syndactylus (CD: but does appear on the other gibbons) but by the gorilla and the orangutan. The origin of this mutation is therefore multiple and relatively recent in the gibbon lineage.

Although it is difficult to decide which change occurred first, it is interesting to note that the exon 2 nonsense mutation (CGATGA) is the same as that found in -Uox in the human and the great apes. One possibility for such coincidence may be attributed to a high transition rate from C to T in a CGA codon (CD: but the authors explain why this is not a good hypothesis).
Quote:
quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There are no "ridiculous amounts of convergence." If you still think this is the case, perhaps you can carefully elaborate so I can understand your belief. Why does the second explanation require all this convergence?
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I've already explained it CD, it requires 9 convergent mutations for the inactivating mutations to agree with the structure of the families in the current tree,

and enough convergent mutations such that the entire tree differs by two terminal nodes (for species that only diverged very recently in history) from the currently accepted tree when there are 323823762662400 possible topologies (I actually figured it out based on the number of species included)
Several problems here. First '323823762662400 possible topologies' is irrelevant. The authors computed phylogeny had extremely little to do the with the convergent mutations. Their phylogeny was based on the entire gene. The fact that their phylogeny is similar to the accepted species phylogeny is no surprise at all.

What is interesting, as we discussed, is the erroneous grouping of the chimp and gorilla; and especially the fact that it is supported by 100% bootstrap probability. They had no choice but to resort to the just-so polymorphism story with random sorting. What is the probability of that is giving you 100% bootstrap probability?

Quote:
furthermore, you haven't given us any reasons as to why we would expect one sort of convergent mutation in hominids, and another in gibbons - what possible explanation can you offer for the preference for one site over another in the different lineages when the sites in question are only 45 nucleotides apart?
But this sort of thing is common even under evolution. For instance, in the paper the nonsynonymous substitutions show different rates in the hominoids versus the Old World and New World monkeys. Likewise, mutation frequencies in the promoter region as compared to intron 4 must be different in the hominoids versus the non hominoids:

Quote:
From Oda, et. al.:
The pairwise distance matrix is computed in terms of the proportion of nucleotide differences per site (table 1). It is immediately clear that the nonsynonymous substitutions have accumulated as rapidly as the synonymous substitutions among the five hominoids, but this is not the case among the three Old World monkeys and the New World monkey. Similarly, the proportion of nucleotide differences is computed regarding the promoter region and intron 4. For a given species pair among the hominoids, there is no significant difference in the proportion of nucleotide differences between the promoter region and intron 4, whereas for a species pair among the nonhominoid primates, the proportion is lower in the promoter region than in intron 4.
So we can ask the same question of evolution. Why should mutation trends and rates differ between hominoids and the monkeys? I realize I am not answering your question, and I agree with you that I do not have an explanation for why the convergent mutations occur at all. But they do. They are empirically observed, and under evolution we infer them historically. Therefore it is perfectly reasonable for creationism to appeal to them as well. The fact that they are more predominant in more similar species is what would be expected since this is what is emprically observed.
Charles Darwin is offline  
Old 10-27-2003, 03:05 AM   #805
Regular Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Australia
Posts: 214
Default

Quote:
No, the convergent mutations involve the gorilla, the orangutan, the gibbon, the chimp, and the human. The authors explore alternative explanations but find the mutations to be most likely independent.
the convergent mutations occur in those species, but any one of the convergent mutations is only shared by two species at a time

Quote:
Several problems here. First '323823762662400 possible topologies' is irrelevant. The authors computed phylogeny had extremely little to do the with the convergent mutations. Their phylogeny was based on the entire gene. The fact that their phylogeny is similar to the accepted species phylogeny is no surprise at all.
the computed phylogeny took ALL positions into consideration - including the convergent ones and the inactivating ones, and more positions supported the phylogeny than didn't (including the inactivating ones)

i.e. the amount of mutations in favour of the phylogeny far outweighed those that weren't (the convergent ones) even so much as to have 100 percent bootstrap probability

this is how phylogeny works CD - you don't select the positions you want to construct whatever phylogeny you want - you sum over all of them - because the random nature of mutations demands that phylogenies are supported in a statistical rather than absolute sense

Quote:
What is interesting, as we discussed, is the erroneous grouping of the chimp and gorilla; and especially the fact that it is supported by 100% bootstrap probability. They had no choice but to resort to the just-so polymorphism story with random sorting. What is the probability of that is giving you 100% bootstrap probability?
if it is due to lineage sorting thats exactly what you'd expect - i.e. the allelic inheritance is supported 100 percent, but the allelic inheritance doesn't reflect the species tree because of lineage sorting

Quote:
But this sort of thing is common even under evolution. For instance, in the paper the nonsynonymous substitutions show different rates in the hominoids versus the Old World and New World monkeys. Likewise, mutation frequencies in the promoter region as compared to intron 4 must be different in the hominoids versus the non hominoids:

quote: From Oda, et. al.:
The pairwise distance matrix is computed in terms of the proportion of nucleotide differences per site (table 1). It is immediately clear that the nonsynonymous substitutions have accumulated as rapidly as the synonymous substitutions among the five hominoids, but this is not the case among the three Old World monkeys and the New World monkey. Similarly, the proportion of nucleotide differences is computed regarding the promoter region and intron 4. For a given species pair among the hominoids, there is no significant difference in the proportion of nucleotide differences between the promoter region and intron 4, whereas for a species pair among the nonhominoid primates, the proportion is lower in the promoter region than in intron 4.



So we can ask the same question of evolution. Why should mutation trends and rates differ between hominoids and the monkeys? I realize I am not answering your question, and I agree with you that I do not have an explanation for why the convergent mutations occur at all. But they do. They are empirically observed, and under evolution we infer them historically. Therefore it is perfectly reasonable for creationism to appeal to them as well. The fact that they are more predominant in more similar species is what would be expected since this is what is emprically observed.
haha
CD, its not the mutation rate that is different. Its the rate of fixation of mutations

Oda et al found exactly what they were expecting

the reason that the nonsynonymous mutations have accumulated as rapidly as the synonymous mutations in the hominids is because their sequences are neutral - nonsynonymous mutations make no difference to fitness, and so are fixed at the same rate as synonymous mutations

the reason that the same isn't the case in the old world monkeys and the new world monkey is that their urate oxidase still functions -> so the nonsynonymous sites are under selective constraint -> changes in nonsynonymous sites are not fixed at the same rate as synonymous sites, because they have phenotypic consequences

so the difference is in the selection on the sequences - not the mutation rates of the sequences - this is confirmation of the fact that the urate oxidase pseudogene in hominids is useless, and its why they looked at nonsynonymous/synonymous rates of substition
monkenstick is offline  
Old 10-27-2003, 06:28 AM   #806
Veteran Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: UK
Posts: 5,815
Default

Charles:
Quote:
Charles, the lack of a nested hirearchy COULD NOT be explained by "multiple abiogenesis events and rapid rates of change that occurred in the past". It is ludicrous to suggest that these could completely erase any trace of a nested hirearchy.

Why is that?
Which part isn't ludicrous? I've already explained the problems with "multiple abiogenesis events". As for "rapid rates of change that occurred in the past": these would have to be VERY extreme to erase all traces of the hirearchy (e.g. a cat giving birth to a winged kitten: the creationist caricature of evolution). As evolution is constrained to operate in small incremental steps, and to work with modifications of existing structures rather than suddenly adding new organs with no pre-existing template, it follows that the hirearchy cannot be quickly erased.

Evolution is a scientific theory which accounts for the fact of common descent. If there was no visible evidence of common descent, there wouldn't be any theory to account for it: just as there wouldn't be a theory of gravity if we were all floating about weightlessly in a hollowed-out asteroid with all memory of our planetary origin erased by mischievous aliens. Why bother to speculate about a parallel Universe in which the evidence for common descent doesn't exist? That isn't the Universe we inhabit.
Quote:
You admit that creationism is "falsifiable". According to you, this is achievable by a "compelling" theory of evolution. Therefore, if I'm navigating correctly through the fog of misapplied terms, what you're actually saying is that you admit that a naturalistic, materialistic, godless Universe is possible, and that evidence for it might yet be presented that would "compel" even YOU.

Is this correct? And what evidence for this would be "compelling"?


Evidence for evolution.
Well, I've struggled to understand what you're getting at here by substituting each of your various usages of the term "evolution", but I'm stumped. What sort of "evolution" do you NOT have evidence for?

And why do you still resort to such obfuscation?
Quote:
You are misunderstanding; I'm not asking you to believe in creationism. I am asking why evolution is a fact. Your defining creationism as out of bounds sounds like a protectionist ploy.
Who says that "evolution" is a fact? What are you talking about, man?

See my earlier post on this.
Quote:
OK, let me try to be more explicit then. For those not following closely here, the point at issue is whether evolution can sustain the failure to find any vestigial structures. Caravelair maintains that evolution would necessarily be false and we'd all have to go home if no such structures were found. And since we have found them it is a nice feather in evolution's cap. Why is claim not true?
No, the REAL issue is that vestigial structures undoubtedly DO exist. Again, you want to draw us into your parallel Universe in which they do NOT exist.

There's also a very curious use of tenses here: "whether evolution can sustain the failure to find...". You should be using the conditional tense when discussing your fantasy Universe: "whether evolution COULD sustain a failure to find...". There is no ACTUAL "failure to find any vestigial structures". You seem to be having difficulty keeping reality and fantasy separate.
Quote:
But let's assume that tomorrow someone comes up with a great way to measure function. And we indeed find that the whale bones, flightless bird wings, etc., all have good function. Would evolutionists throw up there hands and say to each other, "gee, I guess we were wrong about all this; evolution must be false." No, they would not. Why? Because (as we have already discussed), the fact that "vestigial" organs need not be of reduced function has already been acknowledged by evolutionists. They have no problem with this.
Where are you getting this from?

A vestigial organ is one whose ORIGINAL function is obvious from its structure, and from comparisons with otherwise similar organisms. The organ is no longer adequate for its ORIGINAL function, and any additional function is plainly incidental, because (in most cases) the organ is poorly "designed" for its new function also. The human appendix is a classic example of a vestigial organ: there is no reason at all why a dead-end section of intestine should be "designed in" as a site for a concentration of immune-system defenses (but, conversely, a good reason for extra defenses at a site that represents a dangerous avenue of infection).

Quote:
complexity can arise through evolution, so why would complexity be evidence against evolution?

I didn't know that. Can you explain how you know that complexity can arise through evolution?
Are you seriously admitting that you do not know how complexity can arise through evolution?

That is a rather startling admission of ignorance from one who otherwise claims to know more about evolution than professional biologists!

I could explain it for you, but first I want to check that this isn't another bizarre "let's pretend to be stupid" ploy. My apologies in advance if you are genuinely unaware of this.
Quote:
one more thing. i would like to hear an example of a theory that you feel DOES have sufficient evidence in support of it - the kind that you would require of evolution - and explain what that evidence is. personally, i cannot think of any theories in science with as much supporting evidence as evolution has.

Hmm. How about this; the dinosaurs became extinct due to a meteor impact (certainly not a fact, but not a bad theory). A theory with a host of unknowns that merits being called a fact? How about this; the Norman Conquest occurred in the 11th century.
Please explain how there is more evidence for either of those theories than for common descent. If it is fact that the Norman Conquest occurred in the 11th century, based only on a handful of old documents: there is FAR more evidence for common descent from the fossil record (MILLIONS of fossils) and from the Linnaean "Tree of Life" hirearchy visible in living organisms today.

...But, if you're using another meaning for "evolution" here, please explain this.
Quote:
Yes, the evidence for common descent is so overwhelming that it is considered to be a scientific fact.

Can you give us one or two of the best evidences?
It is pointless to pretend that there are only "one or two" individual pieces of evidence. Going back to my earlier analogy of wave-sorted pebbles on a beach: this would be like being asked to point to one or two pebbles as evidence that sorting had occured.

It is the staggering totality of the fossil record, and the "Tree of Life" of cladistics, that makes the evidence so overwhelming. Thousands upon thousands of species forming a nested hirearchy, supported by millions of fossils confirming the pattern of development of that same hirearchy. And genetics is providing new support of the same hirearchy: again, it is the totality of the genome similarity that matters. Individual genes can be tweaked by mutation in unpredictable ways, but the overall pattern of relationships (based on the percentage difference between the genome of one species and that of another) correlates with the same "Tree of Life" derived from other sources.

I am not aware of anything else in science that is better supported (other than obvious observations such as "the Sun emits light"). The odds against this correlation being "accidental" are truly astronomical: the number of possible permutations involved dwarfs such numbers as the number of atoms in the Universe, for instance.
Quote:
I have no reason to doubt that the earth is 4+ billion years old. My point was not to be evasive, but not to get off on a useless tangent. A fact? Let me put it this way; evolution is nowhere close to the old earth theory in terms of being a fact.
Again, what aspect of "evolution" are you talking about? There is far more evidence for common descent than for the age of the Earth. Also, more evidence for mutation and natural selection.
Jack the Bodiless is offline  
Old 10-27-2003, 06:39 AM   #807
pz
Veteran Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Morris, MN
Posts: 3,341
Default

This thread is going to be closed later today.

At this point, it is just going around and around in circles, and lacks any kind of focus. The issues being discussed now were also discussed 20 pages ago.

I recommend that if anyone still wants to persist in this, that they start a new and much more specifically titled thread.
pz is offline  
Old 10-27-2003, 06:51 AM   #808
Contributor
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Alibi: ego ipse hinc extermino
Posts: 12,591
Cool

Quote:
Originally posted by pz
This thread is going to be closed later today.

At this point, it is just going around and around in circles, and lacks any kind of focus. The issues being discussed now were also discussed 20 pages ago.

I recommend that if anyone still wants to persist in this, that they start a new and much more specifically titled thread.
Aw, spoilsport! This hasn't yet reached the length of the good ol' E/C Ed Thread!

(Seriously: good move. It has long since been imitating the fabled Oozlum Bird.)

Oolon
Oolon Colluphid is offline  
Old 10-27-2003, 09:10 AM   #809
Regular Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: California
Posts: 454
Default

Quote:
Originally posted by monkenstick
Quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CD: No, the convergent mutations involve the gorilla, the orangutan, the gibbon, the chimp, and the human. The authors explore alternative explanations but find the mutations to be most likely independent.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


the convergent mutations occur in those species, but any one of the convergent mutations is only shared by two species at a time
No, this is not true either:

Quote:
From Oda, et. al.:
The nonsense mutation (TGA) at codon 107 is, however, more complicated than others. It occurs in the gorilla, the orangutan, and the gibbon, and therefore requires multiple origins of this nonsense mutation
The bottom line is there are several instances of independent, yet identical mutations.






Quote:
quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CD: Several problems here. First '323823762662400 possible topologies' is irrelevant. The authors computed phylogeny had extremely little to do the with the convergent mutations. Their phylogeny was based on the entire gene. The fact that their phylogeny is similar to the accepted species phylogeny is no surprise at all.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

the computed phylogeny took ALL positions into consideration - including the convergent ones and the inactivating ones, and more positions supported the phylogeny than didn't (including the inactivating ones)

i.e. the amount of mutations in favour of the phylogeny far outweighed those that weren't (the convergent ones) even so much as to have 100 percent bootstrap probability

this is how phylogeny works CD - you don't select the positions you want to construct whatever phylogeny you want - you sum over all of them - because the random nature of mutations demands that phylogenies are supported in a statistical rather than absolute sense
You keep talking about mutations driving the phylogeny; sorry, but the majority of the loci show no substitutions whatever. They are driving the phylogeny, not the relatively few mutations.





Quote:
quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
But this sort of thing is common even under evolution. For instance, in the paper the nonsynonymous substitutions show different rates in the hominoids versus the Old World and New World monkeys. Likewise, mutation frequencies in the promoter region as compared to intron 4 must be different in the hominoids versus the non hominoids:

quote: From Oda, et. al.:
"The pairwise distance matrix is computed in terms of the proportion of nucleotide differences per site (table 1). It is immediately clear that the nonsynonymous substitutions have accumulated as rapidly as the synonymous substitutions among the five hominoids, but this is not the case among the three Old World monkeys and the New World monkey. Similarly, the proportion of nucleotide differences is computed regarding the promoter region and intron 4. For a given species pair among the hominoids, there is no significant difference in the proportion of nucleotide differences between the promoter region and intron 4, whereas for a species pair among the nonhominoid primates, the proportion is lower in the promoter region than in intron 4. "

So we can ask the same question of evolution. Why should mutation trends and rates differ between hominoids and the monkeys? I realize I am not answering your question, and I agree with you that I do not have an explanation for why the convergent mutations occur at all. But they do. They are empirically observed, and under evolution we infer them historically. Therefore it is perfectly reasonable for creationism to appeal to them as well. The fact that they are more predominant in more similar species is what would be expected since this is what is emprically observed.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

haha
CD, its not the mutation rate that is different. Its the rate of fixation of mutations
Good point, I wasn't reading carefully. Bad example, but my point still stands; namely, that convergent mutations occur. Therefore it is perfectly reasonable for creationism to appeal to them as well. The fact that they are more predominant in more similar species is what would be expected since this is what is emprically observed.

Let me say something else that, from reading your posts, I gather needs saying. You keep on referring to the inactivating mutations common to the gibbons, and to the human, chimp, gorilla, and orangutan; as though they are great coincidences explainable only via common descent. You seem to be missing the fact that they have been carefully culled from a larger set of mutations, which are all over the map. Most of them do not explain the gene inactivation, but if you look hard enough you find one that is common to the human, chimp, gorilla, and orangutan; and you find two that are common to the gibbons. So these are identified by evolutionists as the probable inactivating mutations. OK, fine. But from a non common descent view, if you have a set of mutations and if there are mutational hotspots (an empirical fact), then it is not surprising that (a) they generally will agree with the consensus phylogeny, and (b) amongst all those mutations you will find some that occur in all sequences in a group. The mutational hotspots would be species specific most often; but sometimes specific at higher levels.

This is a perfectly reasonable explanation and not, as you have been saying, incredibly unlikely.
Charles Darwin is offline  
Old 10-27-2003, 09:22 AM   #810
Regular Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: California
Posts: 454
Default

Quote:
Originally posted by Jack the Bodiless
It is the staggering totality of the fossil record, and the "Tree of Life" of cladistics, that makes the evidence so overwhelming. Thousands upon thousands of species forming a nested hirearchy, supported by millions of fossils confirming the pattern of development of that same hirearchy. And genetics is providing new support of the same hirearchy: again, it is the totality of the genome similarity that matters. Individual genes can be tweaked by mutation in unpredictable ways, but the overall pattern of relationships (based on the percentage difference between the genome of one species and that of another) correlates with the same "Tree of Life" derived from other sources.

I am not aware of anything else in science that is better supported (other than obvious observations such as "the Sun emits light"). The odds against this correlation being "accidental" are truly astronomical: the number of possible permutations involved dwarfs such numbers as the number of atoms in the Universe, for instance.
But what you present to us is a false dichotomy. Our choices are not between evolution and accident. Yes, the odds against this correlation being "accidental" *are* truly astronomical; so what? Hierarchies are also a characteristic of created things; and long before there were paleontologists or microscopes creationists predicted an orderly progression to creation. They had no idea the fossil record would reveal, guess what, an orderly progression.

Furthermore, your theory of evolution does not require such a hierarchy, so it is hardly so compelling as you suggest.
Charles Darwin is offline  
 

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 06:24 PM.

Top

This custom BB emulates vBulletin® Version 3.8.2
Copyright ©2000 - 2015, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.