Freethought & Rationalism ArchiveThe archives are read only. |
06-12-2006, 12:40 PM | #261 |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bethesda
Posts: 3,324
|
Helo, I saw your argument on The History Channel a few weeks back during Da Vinci Code week. Just thought I would let you know.
|
06-12-2006, 01:15 PM | #262 | |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: baton rouge
Posts: 1,126
|
response to post #220
Quote:
|
|
06-12-2006, 01:22 PM | #263 | |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: in sin with a safety pin
Posts: 1,151
|
Quote:
I wish there was a way for me to put it up here. It made much more sense when they presented it |
|
06-12-2006, 01:31 PM | #264 | ||||
Veteran Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: baton rouge
Posts: 1,126
|
response to post #222
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
|
||||
06-12-2006, 02:46 PM | #265 | |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Florida
Posts: 3,890
|
Quote:
|
|
06-12-2006, 03:01 PM | #266 | |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: in sin with a safety pin
Posts: 1,151
|
Quote:
|
|
06-12-2006, 04:37 PM | #267 | ||||
Veteran Member
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Colorado
Posts: 1,037
|
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
I freely admit that the exodus MIGHT be based on a real event, but one that bears little resemblance to the biblical account. That doesn't help the inerrantist a whole lot. |
||||
06-12-2006, 04:47 PM | #268 | |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: San Bernardino, Calif.
Posts: 5,435
|
Quote:
|
|
06-12-2006, 04:50 PM | #269 | |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: San Bernardino, Calif.
Posts: 5,435
|
Quote:
|
|
06-12-2006, 06:15 PM | #270 | |
Veteran Member
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Orlando
Posts: 2,014
|
A Most Probable History
Hi Helo,
The original post in the thread did make a point that may be seen as quite reasonable: that the number of people taking part in the Exodus, if it was an historical event would have been a few thousand as opposed to the millions claimed in the Bible. What really counts is that the story when told had to be consistent and believable, at least when first made up. Exaggerations beyond belief are a natural part of storytelling and come later. I think believing 600 chariots would be sent out against thousands of men is a little far-fetched. While two warriors per chariot gives us 1200 men, it is absurd that a general would send only 1200 men against several thousand. You would have to assume that the Hebrews would be armed with knives, and hammers, if not swords. The story has already established that the Hebrews were use to hard labor and were extremely strong. If you sent out 1200 men against even 2,000 and had an enormous edge in killing, let's say 5:1, you would still lose 400 men or 1/3 of your force. One could expect an equal number of serious wounds. That means 2/3's of the Pharaoh's chariot force would have been decimated, in the best case, in this single battle. Rather, when you went into battle, even when better armed and trained than your opponent, it was important to have a numerical advantage. The Pharoah would not have sent 600 chariots against more than one thousand men and probably against far less. At the same time, we should note that the Hebrews had only two midwives who were ordered to kill the male children. It is doubtful that the midwives could have handled more than three or four births a week. Births often take several days and it would have been hard to predict when exactly a woman was about to give birth. This gives us a figure of 150-200 births a year. Since the average life expectancy was probably about 30 years for slaves, we can assume the average woman would be pregnant for perhaps 6 of those 30 years, (the ones who gave birth to 10 or more would be balanced by the women who were sterile or died in childbirth) or we can say that one out of five females gave birth each year. Thus we get a figure of just under 1000 for the number of females. Any higher number would have required far more midwives. However, we should also consider another limit on the number. The number of male children killed would have had to have been extemely low in order for the Pharaoh's plan to work. Obviously, the Hebrews would have quickly caught on that their male children were dying and their female ones were not, if the number was large. The only way to keep it a secret would have been if the number of male births were so scattered that the few deaths would not have seemed terribly unusual. If out of 150 births a year, 75 male children die, it is hard to believe that the Hebrews would not have caught on to the midwive's actions within the first few months. We may asssume instead that no more than 20 or 30 male births took place a year. It would not have been uncommon for 10 or 15 of these male births to end in early death, so a run of several years where all the male children perished would not have been detectable. This brings the probable number of births down to 40-60 a year. It brings the female population down to 200-300 at the time of Moses' birth. This matches up well with the 70 people whom Joseph had brought into Egypt in the previous generation before they became slaves. Assuming that the Hebrew population grew slightly, (500 men and 500 women) we may assume that Moses led about one thousand men and women into the desert. We may further assume, given the difficulty of life in the desert, that they all quickly perished except for the ones who found their way back to Egypt. Embarassed by the fiasco, the slaves might have invented stories about how successful their comrades had been in conquering Israel. This explains both the stories and the lack of archaeological evidence. The plague stuff is embellishment. Warmly, PhilosopherJay Quote:
|
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
|