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Old 12-25-2011, 09:20 PM   #591
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Originally Posted by Toto View Post
Pete has cited an article that describes "negative evidence" as a lack of evidence, the dog that didn't bark.

The Dog in the Night-Time: Negative Evidence in Social Research - George H. Lewis and Jonathan F. Lewis
The British Journal of Sociology; Vol. 31, No. 4 (Dec., 1980), pp. 544-558

Quote:

Abstract


The overwhelming emphasis in social research on collecting positive data has had the dangerous effect of minimizing the worth of negative evidence, which is defined in this paper as either
(1) the non-occurrence of events,
(2) an occurrence that is not reacted to or not reported (because it is outside the frame of reference of the population or of the researcher), or
(3) although noted in its raw form, distorted in its interpretation or withheld from analysis and report.

A paradigm of seven types of negative evidence is developed:

(1) Events Do Not Occur;
(2) Population Is Not Aware of Events;
(3) Population Wishes to Hide Events;
(4) Commonplace Events Are Overlooked;
(5) Effects of the Researcher's Idea Set;
(6) Unconscious Non-Reportage; and
(7) Conscious Non-Reportage.

Each type is discussed, and examples are presented. The paper concludes with a discussion of the place of negative evidence in both inductively and deductively based social research, and a caution against ignoring such data.


I also provided citation to the following article:

Negative Evidence - Richard Levin
Studies in Philology; Vol. 92, No. 4 (Autumn, 1995) (pp. 383-410)

Quote:

p.383
"The first point is that we cannot hope to prove any proposition unless we look for negative evidence that might contradict it, and the second point is that many of us ignore the first point, because of the tendancy of our minds (not, of course, of "human nature") to look only for positive evidence that confirms a proposition we want to prove. This tendancy explains the remarkable tenacity of superstitions ... and of prejudices ....

p.389

The third basic point ... We must recognise, not only that we cannot hope to prove any proposition unless we look for negative evidence that might contradict it and that we have a tendency to look only for positive evidence, but also that we cannot hope to prove any proposition unless this negative evidence could exist. The principle is well known to scientists and philosophers of science, who call it disconfirmability. They insist that if a proposition does not invite disconfirmation, if there is no conceivable evidence the existence of which would contradict it, then is cannot be tested and so cannot be taken seriously. If it is not disprovable, it is not provable.

p.409

When combatants encounter an argument, they do not ask about the evidence for or against it; they just ask if the argument is for or against their side, since they believe ... that "the only real question ... is: Which side are you on".

... we not only tend to overlook or forget negative evidence that contradicts our beliefs, but when others point such evidence out to us, instead of thanking them for this chance to correct our beliefs, we tend to get angry with them, and this anger increases in direct proportion to our commitment to the beliefs.



Quote:
Originally Posted by Toto
But he continues to use negative evidence to refer to evidence that exists but appears to be forged.

Did Josephus write the "TF"?
Did Jesus write the Agbar letter?
These are events which did not occur.
They continue to remain as examples of negative evidence.


Quote:
I don't know if this argument is serious.

Yes it is. I have demonstrated that evidence can be viewed in terms of being positive or negative. This corresponds to the core historical principle that sources may be corrupted or forged.

I have consistently used the term negative historicity to represent negative evidence as distinct from the more general use of the term "historicity" (which I see as positive histority - as a measure of the authentic and genuine nature of the evidence).


Summary of Claims

The core historical principle that any given source may be corrupt there implies, using this terminology, that for each item of the evidence (this includes the identities of people) only one of the following hypotheses can be true at once:

(1) Historically Genuine/authentic: positive evidence; positive historicity
(2) Historically Forged/corrupt: negative evidence; negative historicity

This is a core historical principle. There are no preferences handed out at admission. It does not matter if we ask this question of Karl Popper, Bilbo Baggins, Alexander the Great, Jesus Christ or the Apostle Paul because no one identity is any different from any other as far as this principle of historical methodology is concerned.
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Old 12-26-2011, 01:06 AM   #592
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...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Toto
[Pete] continues to use negative evidence to refer to evidence that exists but appears to be forged.
Did Josephus write the "TF"?
Did Jesus write the Agbar letter?
These are events which did not occur.
They continue to remain as examples of negative evidence.
Your sources define negative evidence as the dog that didn't bark, not the neighbor who tried to fool the police by playing a recording of a barking dog.

Someone forged a passage in Josephus and a letter from Jesus to Agbar. These are positive events of forgery, not negative evidence.

What your sources call negative evidence is otherwise known as an argument from silence.

Do you claim that the fact that there is a forged passage in Josephus strengthens the case for the nonexistence of Jesus? If so, on what basis

Quote:
Quote:
I don't know if this argument is serious.

Yes it is. I have demonstrated that evidence can be viewed in terms of being positive or negative. This corresponds to the core historical principle that sources may be corrupted or forged.

I have consistently used the term negative historicity to represent negative evidence as distinct from the more general use of the term "historicity" (which I see as positive historicity - as a measure of the authentic and genuine nature of the evidence).
Your terminology is so confused I don't know where to start. You have demonstrated nothing about positive or negative evidence.

Quote:
Summary of Claims

The core historical principle that any given source may be corrupt there implies, using this terminology, that for each item of the evidence (this includes the identities of people) only one of the following hypotheses can be true at once:

(1) Historically Genuine/authentic: positive evidence; positive historicity
(2) Historically Forged/corrupt: negative evidence; negative historicity

This is a core historical principle. There are no preferences handed out at admission. It does not matter if we ask this question of Karl Popper, Bilbo Baggins, Alexander the Great, Jesus Christ or the Apostle Paul because no one identity is any different from any other as far as this principle of historical methodology is concerned.
This is not a core historical principle. It is trivially true that a piece of evidence may be genuine or forged, but a forged letter is not evidence against historicity. I ask again if you are trying to claim that a forged piece of evidence is evidence against historicity, and why?

For example, if there are sources about Alexander the Great which have been forged, do those forgeries count against the historicity of Alexander?

Someone might have forged a check with my name on it - does this make it unlikely that I exist???
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Old 12-26-2011, 03:06 AM   #593
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Originally Posted by Toto View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainman View Post
...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Toto
[Pete] continues to use negative evidence to refer to evidence that exists but appears to be forged.
Did Josephus write the "TF"?
Did Jesus write the Agbar letter?
These are events which did not occur.
They continue to remain as examples of negative evidence.
Your sources define negative evidence as the dog that didn't bark, not the neighbor who tried to fool the police by playing a recording of a barking dog.

The definition was "Events that did not occur".

Quote:
Someone forged a passage in Josephus and a letter from Jesus to Agbar. These are positive events of forgery, not negative evidence.

It really just depends upon your perspective. If the letters had been genuine the evidence would have been treated as positive, and it would be provisionally accepted as true that Josephus authored the TF etc. Earl Doherty appears to allude to the same terminology:

From here:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Earl Doherty in the Jesus Puzzle cited online

Concerning the use of Josephus as "evidence" of Jesus's existence, Doherty remarks:

"In the absence of any other supporting evidence from the first century that in fact the Jesus of Nazareth portrayed in the Gospels clearly existed, Josephus becomes the slender thread by which such an assumption hangs. And the sound and fury and desperate manoeuverings which surround the dissection of those two little passages becomes a din of astonishing proportions. The obsessive focus on this one uncertain record is necessitated by the fact that the rest of the evidence is so dismal, so contrary to the orthodox picture. If almost everything outside Josephus points in a different direction, to the essential fiction of the Gospel picture and its central figure, how can Josephus be made to bear on his shoulders, through two passages whose reliability has thus far remained unsettled, the counterweight to all this other negative evidence?"
This seems to indicate that Earl Doherty is content to use the term negative evidence with respect to the TF.

Quote:
What your sources call negative evidence is otherwise known as an argument from silence.
I think it includes arguments from silence, but it also provides a general description of fabricated or forged evidence.


Quote:
Do you claim that the fact that there is a forged passage in Josephus strengthens the case for the nonexistence of Jesus? If so, on what basis
Yes. On two bases. Firstly if there are 1001 possible positive evidence items supporting the historical existence of Jesus, and the TF is one, previously claimed to be positive (authentic) evidence, it thus contributed one part in 1001 parts towards the positive assessment of JEsus's historicity. However when the TF is treated as negative evidence, then there are now only 1000 possible positive evidence items left to contribute. You get the drift .....

Secondly, it seriously weakens the case that Eusebius has any integrity whatsoever, and (aside from the NT) it is essentially Eusebius alone upon whom we rely for any information about Christian origins before Nicaea.

In both cases the case for the existence of Jesus is diminished in a relational sense, and correspondingly the case for the nonexistence of Jesus must be increased.



Quote:
Quote:
Summary of Claims

The core historical principle that any given source may be corrupt there implies, using this terminology, that for each item of the evidence (this includes the identities of people) only one of the following hypotheses can be true at once:

(1) Historically Genuine/authentic: positive evidence; positive historicity
(2) Historically Forged/corrupt: negative evidence; negative historicity

This is a core historical principle. There are no preferences handed out at admission. It does not matter if we ask this question of Karl Popper, Bilbo Baggins, Alexander the Great, Jesus Christ or the Apostle Paul because no one identity is any different from any other as far as this principle of historical methodology is concerned.
This is not a core historical principle.

Historical_method#Core_principles



Quote:
It is trivially true that a piece of evidence may be genuine or forged, but a forged letter is not evidence against historicity.

It can add nothing positive toward (positive) historicity.


Quote:
I ask again if you are trying to claim that a forged piece of evidence is evidence against historicity, and why?
I am claiming that a forged piece of evidence is itself negative evidence and not positive evidence. It therefore cannot contribute any positive historicity to the entire investigation. We move on the next item of evidence ....


Quote:
For example, if there are sources about Alexander the Great which have been forged, do those forgeries count against the historicity of Alexander?

If we had 1003 items of evidence that have been claimed to support the (positive) historicity of Alexander the Great, and we suddenly find that three of them are forgeries, then these 3 items of evidence no longer contribute to the positive historicity equation for Alexander, and we move on to the remaining 1000 evidence items.


Quote:
Someone might have forged a check with my name on it - does this make it unlikely that I exist???
Assuming this someone wanted to draw cash in your name as the DRAWER, from the cheque, it makes it quite likely that you do exist, or the bank would not honor the forged cheque. OTOH if they forged your name as the PAYEE ....
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Old 12-26-2011, 04:06 AM   #594
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Originally Posted by tanya View Post
I don't know how to form the plural of I X (with a superscript bar above the I and X). Do you?
It would depend on context. I would expect that in most contexts, the plural would be formed adding apostrophe-s: IX's.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
How does one form the plural of an acronym? We cannot use apostrophe "s", for that is English, not Greek.
You're suggesting that all acronyms are Greek. Where did you get that notion?

The answer to your question depends on whether you're using "acronym" to refer to a certain category of words or as a generic reference to initialisms.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
But Iesous is the Greek transliteration of Hebrew
Of Aramaic, more likely.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
shouldn't the abbreviation then, be formed as the Semitic languages designate plurality?
No, it should not. But even if it should, that would not justify changing "-us" to "-i." That is not a Semitic spelling rule. It is a Latin rule applying to Latin nouns of the second declension (and only those).

Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
Does Hebrew even designate plurality on its proper nouns?
I have no idea, but it doesn't matter. The notion that all English words ought to be pluralized as they were in their original languages is a baseless superstition.

If you'd like to learn a little bit more on this topic, you may wish to watch this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wFyY2mK8pxk.
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Old 12-26-2011, 08:59 AM   #595
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Originally Posted by mountainman View Post
.... Earl Doherty appears to allude to the same terminology:

From here:

This seems to indicate that Earl Doherty is content to use the term negative evidence with respect to the TF.
No no no. Earl is famous for his arguments about "the Sounds of Silence." By negative evidence he is referring to his well developed argument that there are no references to a historical Jesus in the early Christian epistles.

Quote:
I think it includes arguments from silence, but it also provides a general description of fabricated or forged evidence.
You think on what basis?

Quote:
Yes. On two bases. Firstly if there are 1001 possible positive evidence items supporting the historical existence of Jesus, and the TF is one, previously claimed to be positive (authentic) evidence, it thus contributed one part in 1001 parts towards the positive assessment of Jesus's historicity. However when the TF is treated as negative evidence, then there are now only 1000 possible positive evidence items left to contribute. You get the drift .....
I get the drift that you don't know what you are talking about

Quote:
Secondly, it seriously weakens the case that Eusebius has any integrity whatsoever, and (aside from the NT) it is essentially Eusebius alone upon whom we rely for any information about Christian origins before Nicaea.

In both cases the case for the existence of Jesus is diminished in a relational sense, and correspondingly the case for the nonexistence of Jesus must be increased.
Actually, the case for agnosticism is increased. The case for nonexistence is not changed.


Quote:
Quote:
Someone might have forged a check with my name on it - does this make it unlikely that I exist???
Assuming this someone wanted to draw cash in your name as the DRAWER, from the cheque, it makes it quite likely that you do exist, or the bank would not honor the forged cheque. OTOH if they forged your name as the PAYEE ....
How would that be any different?
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Old 12-26-2011, 11:49 AM   #596
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Originally Posted by Doug Shaver
The notion that all English words ought to be pluralized as they were in their original languages is a baseless superstition.
1. Doug, you criticised mountainman for sloppiness in forming the plural of the Latin word, Jesus.

2. I suggested that it is not easy to understand how one forms the plural of Greek acronyms, like I X, where both I and X have a superscript bar across, signalling employment of those symbols to represent the Greek names Iesous Christou.

3. I further inquired from forum participants how one should form the plural of such Greek acronyms.

4. Your rejoinder above, is, in my view, a non-sequitur, for I at no time, introduced the notion of forming the plural of an ENGLISH word. I X is not an English word:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Doug Shaver
I would expect that in most contexts, the plural would be formed adding apostrophe-s: IX's.
Works for ordinary masculine Greek nouns, but what about acronyms of proper names, like I X ? Even an indirect suggestion of multiple instances of I X would have lead to allegations of heresy, for which people were hastily murdered--> Marcion business....

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Old 12-26-2011, 02:13 PM   #597
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Doug Shaver
The notion that all English words ought to be pluralized as they were in their original languages is a baseless superstition.
1. Doug, you criticised mountainman for sloppiness in forming the plural of the Latin word, Jesus.
No, that's not correct. Doug Shaver, as I did before him, criticised mountainman for the way he formed the plural of the English word 'Jesus'. None of us were writing in Latin.
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Old 12-26-2011, 05:23 PM   #598
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainman View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Toto View Post
Pete has cited an article that describes "negative evidence" as a lack of evidence, the dog that didn't bark.
The Dog in the Night-Time: Negative Evidence in Social Research - George H. Lewis and Jonathan F. Lewis
The British Journal of Sociology; Vol. 31, No. 4 (Dec., 1980), pp. 544-558
Quote:
Abstract

The overwhelming emphasis in social research on collecting positive data has had the dangerous effect of minimizing the worth of negative evidence, which is defined in this paper as either
(1) the non-occurrence of events,
(2) an occurrence that is not reacted to or not reported (because it is outside the frame of reference of the population or of the researcher), or
(3) although noted in its raw form, distorted in its interpretation or withheld from analysis and report.

A paradigm of seven types of negative evidence is developed:

(1) Events Do Not Occur;
(2) Population Is Not Aware of Events;
(3) Population Wishes to Hide Events;
(4) Commonplace Events Are Overlooked;
(5) Effects of the Researcher's Idea Set;
(6) Unconscious Non-Reportage; and
(7) Conscious Non-Reportage.

Each type is discussed, and examples are presented. The paper concludes with a discussion of the place of negative evidence in both inductively and deductively based social research, and a caution against ignoring such data.
I also provided citation to the following article:

Negative Evidence - Richard Levin
Studies in Philology; Vol. 92, No. 4 (Autumn, 1995) (pp. 383-410)
Quote:
p.383
"The first point is that we cannot hope to prove any proposition unless we look for negative evidence that might contradict it, and the second point is that many of us ignore the first point, because of the tendancy of our minds (not, of course, of "human nature") to look only for positive evidence that confirms a proposition we want to prove. This tendancy explains the remarkable tenacity of superstitions ... and of prejudices ....

p.389

The third basic point ... We must recognise, not only that we cannot hope to prove any proposition unless we look for negative evidence that might contradict it and that we have a tendency to look only for positive evidence, but also that we cannot hope to prove any proposition unless this negative evidence could exist. The principle is well known to scientists and philosophers of science, who call it disconfirmability. They insist that if a proposition does not invite disconfirmation, if there is no conceivable evidence the existence of which would contradict it, then is cannot be tested and so cannot be taken seriously. If it is not disprovable, it is not provable.

p.409

When combatants encounter an argument, they do not ask about the evidence for or against it; they just ask if the argument is for or against their side, since they believe ... that "the only real question ... is: Which side are you on".

... we not only tend to overlook or forget negative evidence that contradicts our beliefs, but when others point such evidence out to us, instead of thanking them for this chance to correct our beliefs, we tend to get angry with them, and this anger increases in direct proportion to our commitment to the beliefs.
Your two sources mean different things by 'negative evidence'. I might perhaps sum up the difference by saying that the Lewises are talking about evidence which is negative in form, while Levin is talking about evidence which is negative in tendency, although that way of putting it may not be much help to somebody who hasn't already grasped the point. If you don't understand the difference, confusion is bound to result.
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Old 12-27-2011, 03:17 AM   #599
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Originally Posted by Toto View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainman View Post
.... Earl Doherty appears to allude to the same terminology:

From here:

This seems to indicate that Earl Doherty is content to use the term negative evidence with respect to the TF.
No no no. Earl is famous for his arguments about "the Sounds of Silence." By negative evidence he is referring to his well developed argument that there are no references to a historical Jesus in the early Christian epistles.
No no no. The context was the "TF", the essential fiction of the gospels and this is being described as negative evidence. That Josephus wrote the TF is an event which did not happen. That anyone wrote anything about Jesus outside the NT in the 1st century are events which did not happen.



Quote:
If almost everything outside Josephus points in a different direction, to the essential fiction of the Gospel picture and its central figure, how can Josephus be made to bear on his shoulders, through two passages whose reliability has thus far remained unsettled, the counterweight to all this other negative evidence?"
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Old 12-27-2011, 03:51 AM   #600
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Originally Posted by tanya View Post
1. Doug, you criticised mountainman for sloppiness in forming the plural of the Latin word, Jesus.
No, I didn't.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
2. I suggested that it is not easy to understand how one forms the plural of Greek acronyms
Your suggestion was irrelevant, since "Jesus" is not an acronym, either in Greek or in any other language.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
I at no time, introduced the notion of forming the plural of an ENGLISH word.
Why not? That's what I was talking about in the post to which you responded.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tanya View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Doug Shaver
I would expect that in most contexts, the plural would be formed adding apostrophe-s: IX's.
Works for ordinary masculine Greek nouns
No, it doesn't. It works for ordinary English renderings of characters being mentioned without usage.
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