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|  06-07-2011, 06:24 AM | #11 | 
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			'The Criterion of Embarrassment : “Since Christian authors would not invent anything that would embarrass them, anything embarrassing in the tradition must be true.” Multiple Attestation : “If a tradition is independently attested in more than one source, then it is more likely to be authentic than a tradition attested only once.”' As has been demonstrated, if an event is missing from a later source, then that proves it is historical in the world of mainstream NT scholars as it meets the criterion of embarrassment. Likewise, if an event is present in a later source, then that proves it is historical in the world of mainstream NT scholars as it meets the criterion of multiple attestation. Actually, a certain James McGrath demolished the criterion of embarrasment single-handedly when he wrote 'And so that’s a good example of why someone might invent something embarrassing – to cover up something more embarrassing…’ | 
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|  06-07-2011, 07:53 AM | #12 | |
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|  06-07-2011, 08:00 AM | #13 | |
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 If Hoffmann is asserting what I think he is asserting , then everyone already knows the evidence is crappy, the tools are imprecise and no one expects mathematical precision. Carrier calls out, the emperor has no clothes, the peasants respond we already know that but he is the only one we got. | |
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|  06-07-2011, 09:19 AM | #14 | |
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 DCH (lunch break over, boss) | |
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|  06-07-2011, 01:56 PM | #15 | |
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 Good point, well made. Matthew 27:18 For he knew that for envy they had delivered him. | |
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|  06-07-2011, 06:47 PM | #16 | 
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			If Hoffman believes historians can make any historical claims about NT stories, then he should have no objection to using Bayes, since coming up with the values of the Bayesian factors is what historians have to do already when they make whatever informal probability assessments that they do. If he believes Bayes is irrelevant to studying Jesus, then he has to believe no historical claims can be made about Jesus.  Seems his reaction is a bit kneejerk. | 
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|  06-07-2011, 06:53 PM | #17 | 
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			Hoffman seems to think that hardly anything can be validly claimed about a historical Jesus.
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|  06-07-2011, 07:21 PM | #18 | 
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			Well, he could be wrong, and even if not, he shouldn't presume that Bayes wouldn't give a similar answer.
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|  06-07-2011, 08:36 PM | #19 | 
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			In a perfect world he would patiently wait until the work is out and peer reviewed then politely respond.  Carrier wants the work peer reviewed and that process should find any major flaws.
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|  06-07-2011, 08:55 PM | #20 | 
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			To be fair to Hoffmann, it was Carrier who put the tone of conversation in the gutter.
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