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Old 05-17-2011, 02:27 PM   #231
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Historians back then show little effort in due diligence in verifying their stories. Tacitus wasn't acting like factcheck.org.

Josephus's Antiquities starts out with uncritically recounting the creation and Adam and Eve and reports Moses as his source.
Josephus was a Jew who was writing from the perspective of a Jew. Tacitus was a Roman pagan. Maybe Tacitus really did come to the wrong conclusion, but his point of view would be well-informed by living in a culture that is only a few decades removed from the time of Jesus. Like I said, this isn't slam dunk evidence, but it counts at least for something. What if Tacitus had written, "Jesus was supposedly crucified by Pontius Pilate, though this is probably just a Christian lie..." Do you suppose that mythicists would strongly promote such a writing as evidence in their favor? You bet your ass, as well they should.
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Old 05-17-2011, 03:13 PM   #232
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They're not fact checkers. They're basically rumor mongers. They passed on whatever stories were being told. They don't divulge their sources much or give uncertainties. They simply give you a good idea of what people were saying at the time, for whatever it's worth.

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An analogy would help. If, 2000 years from now, historians are trying to make sense of whether or not Joseph Smith existed, and they have only the book of Mormon, a few 20th century Mormon writings about Joseph Smith, and a non-Mormon in the 20th century who wrote that Joseph Smith was a con artist, then those historians would give greater weight to the probability that Joseph Smith existed because of it. The analogy is not perfect, but it does illustrate a point: outsider perspectives close to the time and place matter, one way or the other, whether they count as "independent verification" or not.
They would matter to a point. They matter much less than contemporaneous independent accounts.

Abe, you seem uncomfortable with the idea of not having conclusive knowledge of events that actually happened. The reality is that there are zillions of actual persons and events in history that we simply don't have the evidence to know about or confirm happened.
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Old 05-17-2011, 03:40 PM   #233
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They're not fact checkers. They're basically rumor mongers. They passed on whatever stories were being told. They don't divulge their sources much or give uncertainties. They simply give you a good idea of what people were saying at the time, for whatever it's worth.

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An analogy would help. If, 2000 years from now, historians are trying to make sense of whether or not Joseph Smith existed, and they have only the book of Mormon, a few 20th century Mormon writings about Joseph Smith, and a non-Mormon in the 20th century who wrote that Joseph Smith was a con artist, then those historians would give greater weight to the probability that Joseph Smith existed because of it. The analogy is not perfect, but it does illustrate a point: outsider perspectives close to the time and place matter, one way or the other, whether they count as "independent verification" or not.
They would matter to a point. They matter much less than contemporaneous independent accounts.

Abe, you seem uncomfortable with the idea of not having conclusive knowledge of events that actually happened. The reality is that there are zillions of actual persons and events in history that we simply don't have the evidence to know about or confirm happened.
Yes, you are right. I do have a strong bias toward conclusions. When I observe people who make a point about being uncertain about the existence of God, for example, I am inclined to think their positions are really a compromise between reason and delusion, and there would be only a conclusive no-brainer position if it were really all about observation-and-probability-based reason. Since much of my background is in defending the theory of evolution, I am very much bent against the idea that uncertainty is a legitimate position. Creationists have tended to encourage the position of uncertainty, probably because they see it as a better selling point--"teach both sides." Plus, the creationists really are uncertain--they are torn heavily between their religious faith on the one hand and the worldly evidence and scientific authorities on the other hand. That is a big reason that I often draw insulting analogies between creationists and Jesus-skeptics. I do think that Jesus-skeptics have better reasons for their uncertainties, but it really irritates me when Jesus-skeptics treat bizarre unevidenced improbable explanations for the historical evidence as competitive hypotheses, such as when they claim that "the Lord's brother" may have been really just an obscure religious rank, or when they claim that crucifixion could have happened in some mythical spiritual realm of heaven, or when they claim that all four of the gospels could have been simply derivatives of Mark, or when they claim Eusebius may have forged everything that Josephus said about Jesus.

Anyway, it is my biased opinion that we have abundant relevant evidence for Jesus, and our goal should be to make the best sense of that evidence, even if we find it is all falsehood, without the slightest bit of history. I think a position of uncertainty would be appropriate for times when relevant evidence is genuinely lacking. In this subject, we really do have a lot of evidence, and it matters whether or not the early Christians were liars inasmuch as we can use the evidence to analyze the ways in which they lied, not that we should either trust them or distrust them--that would be a very shallow method of analysis, which of course Jesus-skeptics tend to prefer, because of a fundamentally wrong idea about the way historical analyses are done.
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Old 05-17-2011, 03:50 PM   #234
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There is no comparison between the evidence for evolution and evidence for Jesus. Your comparison is ludicrous.

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In this subject, we really do have a lot of evidence, and it matters whether or not the early Christians were liars
I'm not calling anyone a liar. Tacitus needn't be a liar to pass on what someone else said without knowing whether it's true and acknowledging so, just careless.

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inasmuch as we can use the evidence to analyze the ways in which they lied, not that we should either trust them or distrust them--that would be a very shallow method of analyses, which of course Jesus-skeptics tend to prefer, because of a fundamentally wrong idea about the way historical analyses are done.
Oh brother. Enough with the strawmen. It's not about black and white true or false, it's about uncertainties and acknowledging them. It's bad historical practice to say "Tacitus verifies Jesus existed, period."
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Old 05-17-2011, 04:07 PM   #235
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A better comparison to evolution would be the evidence that Christians existed and originated in the first century or later.

A comparison to evidence for Jesus's existence would be evidence for a claim that a specific species existed based on old anonymous texts found in somebody's cellar that have descriptions of a certain fossil with strange biological details but without the actual fossil and where neighbors had heard stories passed on from their older relatives of somebody talking about this fossil.
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Old 05-17-2011, 04:12 PM   #236
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There is no comparison between the evidence for evolution and evidence for Jesus. Your comparison is ludicrous.
There is a comparison, I figure, but, like with any comparison, it is limited. I am not saying that Jesus-mythicists are just as unreasonable as creationists. I am saying that the methods of argumentation of those two groups tends to converge on the same patterns--strong encouragement of uncertainty, promotion of improbable hypotheses as being equally competitive, strong contempt for the intellectual secular authorities, and a general lack of concern for probabilities.

I will give you an example. Ken Ham has repeatedly encouraged creationist audiences to respond, whenever an evolutionist makes a claim of history, by saying, "Were you there?" If nobody was there, then it is strong reason to doubt. The byline of Jesus-skeptics is of course more reasonable, but it is in the same ball park: "Where is the contemporaneous attestation?" And, of course, since their opponents are empty-handed in that narrow respect, many of them take it as good reason to disregard any conclusion about the historical Jesus.
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In this subject, we really do have a lot of evidence, and it matters whether or not the early Christians were liars
I'm not calling anyone a liar. Tacitus needn't be a liar to pass on what someone else said without knowing whether it's true and acknowledging so, just careless.
Wonderful. I wasn't claiming nor was I thinking that you called Tacitus a liar. And such a point would be irrelevant, anyway. Regardless of whether Tacitus was a truthteller or a liar, we must still make the best sense of the evidence. Even the potentially blithe lack of knowledge about Jesus would be significant, maybe even more significant than sourcing directly from the Christians--he would simply be repeating what was commonly believed among people in his own society, the Roman pagans. Like I said, if he claimed that the crucifixion was probably just a lie, then mythicists and Jesus-skeptics would count it as damned good evidence, and I would have to acknowledge that it really would be at least somewhat good. The sword cuts both ways, and in this case it cuts in favor of the historicists. Not a slam dunk case by itself, but at least a small contributing quantity of probability to the cumulative case all of the same.
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inasmuch as we can use the evidence to analyze the ways in which they lied, not that we should either trust them or distrust them--that would be a very shallow method of analyses, which of course Jesus-skeptics tend to prefer, because of a fundamentally wrong idea about the way historical analyses are done.
Oh brother. Enough with the strawmen. It's not about black and white true or false, it's about uncertainties and acknowledging them. It's bad historical practice to say "Tacitus verifies Jesus existed, period."
Yes, yes, absolutely, I agree.
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Old 05-17-2011, 04:23 PM   #237
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... Since much of my background is in defending the theory of evolution, I am very much bent against the idea that uncertainty is a legitimate position.
This is just too much. How can uncertainty not be a legitimate position when there is no reliable evidence? Do you recognize your position in this scheme?

The creationist debate has poisoned your mind. But if you must use a creationist analogy, remember that creationists often argue that if scientists haven't proven how life originated, that the default position must be Goddidit. Scientists are content to say that we don't know how life originated on earth and wait for more evidence.

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... That is a big reason that I often draw insulting analogies between creationists and Jesus-skeptics. I do think that Jesus-skeptics have better reasons for their uncertainties, but it really irritates me when Jesus-skeptics treat bizarre unevidenced improbable explanations for the historical evidence as competitive hypotheses, such as when they claim that "the Lord's brother" may have been really just an obscure religious rank, or when they claim that crucifixion could have happened in some mythical spiritual realm of heaven, or when they claim that all four of the gospels could have been simply derivatives of Mark, or when they claim Eusebius may have forged everything that Josephus said about Jesus.
None of these are bizarre, and all of them have at least as much evidence as anything else in Biblical studies.

"The Brother of the Lord" is a Hebrew proper name. All four gospels show evidence of being derived at least in part from Mark. Kenneth Olson has written a PhD thesis demonstrating that the Testamonium shows every indication of being the work of Eusebius.

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Anyway, it is my biased opinion that we have abundant relevant evidence for Jesus, and our goal should be to make the best sense of that evidence, even if we find it is all falsehood, without the slightest bit of history.
If all of the evidence we have for Jesus is falsehood with not the slightest bit of history, the best sense may be that there was no historical Jesus and later Christians made him up.

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I think a position of uncertainty would be appropriate for times when relevant evidence is genuinely lacking. In this subject, we really do have a lot of evidence, and it matters whether or not the early Christians were liars inasmuch as we can use the evidence to analyze the ways in which they lied, not that we should either trust them or distrust them--that would be a very shallow method of analysis, which of course Jesus-skeptics tend to prefer, because of a fundamentally wrong idea about the way historical analyses are done.
Watch the insults.
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Old 05-17-2011, 04:29 PM   #238
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I guess we have to deal with your idiosyncrasies.

James is not a central figure in the gospel tradition. The James you talk of is a node of presuppositions loosely attached to the name of a person who takes no part in the central narrative.

Pontius Pilate is a pretty desperate attempt to squirm past the notion of central narrative. You may as well mention Herod Antipas or Herod the Great or Tiberius.
I mentioned the crucifixion by Pontius Pilate, not just the existence of Pontius Pilate,
The latter would be a little safer.

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and I take that to be a very central part of the narrative.
Good for you. Paul for one shows no knowledge of his involvement.

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Tacitus is what I take to be corroboration by external evidence.
You may as well use Ben Hur or The Robe for historical content in the bogus Christ passage in Tacitus.

(I simply love the persistent refusal of anyone pretending to take a historical approach to actively analyze the veracity of Annals 15.44.)

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If you disagree, then maybe you should lay out what you take to be the "central narrative" of Christianity and also a few hypothetical examples of what you think would barely qualify as "external evidence."
We are not talking about the central narrative of christianity, but the central narrative of the gospels, that of a guy born in Bethlehem who grew up in Nazareth and then moved to Capernaum and wandered about Galilee after being baptized by John and collecting a bunch of followers, stirring up all sorts of people, giving the Pharisees the shits, and going off to Jerusalem where he gets killed, along the way off with the devil, healing various people by dubious means, feeding thousands with a workman's lunch and having a tete-a-tete with Moses and Elijah.

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In all of my arguments, I have put the evidence in the context of Christianity's immediate social and religious environment.
This is news for almost everyone on this forum. Perhaps you dreamt it, or posted on another forum.

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There is no good historical argument if not for context.
Perhaps you didn't get my criticism of your misuse of best explanation.

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Now, take care that you are using the relevant social contexts, not contexts that are far removed either geographically or in time from what is expected, unless you can't explain the evidence so well with the most expected context.
How self-ironic.

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Your own personal assumptions are as subject-laden as anyone else's. When you retroject a biased modern notion of "doomsday cult leader" into the material we are dealing with, you are merely performing eisegesis. You are too busy twiddling texts to worry about history. History requires you to demonstrate something about the past, not just repackage it.
I replied to this point in the relevant thread...
Would you like to try again?
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Old 05-17-2011, 04:39 PM   #239
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spin, when anyone breaks apart my paragraphs intended to make a few unified points into single isolated lines, and then responds to each of them with one-liners, you can understand how that makes for a frustrating experience for me. That is not the way I am going to do this. There is nothing stopping you from doing it regardless, and you can just go ahead and do so, but I am just giving you an FYI.
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Old 05-17-2011, 05:11 PM   #240
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Toto:

Is the fact that writings "passed through the hands of Christians scribes" disqualifying? If so you are coming very close to a conspiratorial view that you claim to eschew. You know, all those Christians got together and cooked the story up.

Steve
There is no need to posit a hidden conspiracy. All of the documents passed through the hands of Christian scribes, and it would be naive to think that these Christians valued accuracy over othodoxy. Do you have a problem with that? Every commentator (with a few true believing exceptions) admits that Josephus was tampered with. Once you admit that, there is no way to be sure what was originally written.

If that be conspiracy, make the most of it.

Hi Toto, and Steve and Abe,

You must admit that the possibility of a hidden consiracy does arise naturally with this pattern of evidence, and that in the circumstances, the exploration and the investigation of the use and the extent of deliberate and pious forgery should not be prevented, or hindered or treated as a poor cousin to the mainstream plan of attack via "textual criticism" etc.


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Anyway, it is my biased opinion that we have abundant relevant evidence for Jesus, and our goal should be to make the best sense of that evidence, even if we find it is all falsehood, without the slightest bit of history.
If all of the evidence we have for Jesus is falsehood with not the slightest bit of history, the best sense may be that there was no historical Jesus and later Christians made him up.

And there may be an abundance of claimed evidence for Jesus, but if this claimed evidence is registered and indexed and listed and then examined rigorously and in genuinely objective, none of the claimed items can stand up as unambiguous. At the end of the process, out of abundance of claims (which included centuries and centuriesof forgeries to the 21st century) we have a vacuum of unambiguous evidence.

The evidence for Jesus in such a vacuum is faith based.

Given the above, in my opinion, to walk away from a proper investigation of pious forgery in the 4th century is itself either blindness or madness or just criminal.


Abe you must put down this criterion of embarrassement. It does not serve today. It had its time in the sun of belief for 16 centuries, but it cannot be used now as it did. People are able to think around the edges of this criterion nowdays - it holds no water. Please let it go.

If there are any awkward facts about Jesus. it is the vacuum of evidence which stands at the head of the queue of such awkward facts, in my picture of the events.

Best wishes,


Pete
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