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06262001, 08:10 AM  #11  
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Quote:
statistics class Nomad? A high probability of something doesn't mean that is "virtually certain". In fact, a high probability of something doesn't even guarantee that something. here's some basics: if I have a 1 in 10,000 chance of getting killed in a car accident, does that mean I won't get killed on my first car ride? Nope. Could easily happen. Likewise, if there is a 9999 chance in 10,000 of getting killed, I could still take take 10,000 car rides and NOT get killed. High probability does NOT equiate to "virtually certain", except in your mind. I minored in stats. Trust me, probability is practically worthless unless you're an insurance actuary... ;) 

06262001, 09:12 PM  #12  
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This is coming from someone who has taken a stats class and is currently doing a major in maths:
I have no problem whatsoever with equating extremely high probably with virtually certain. Quote:
I calculate the probability (assuming independence) of the event you describe occuring is 1 in 10^40,000. ie in theory it is possible, but in practice it won't happen, ever. 

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