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Old 05-11-2002, 07:04 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally posted by Michael:
<strong>
Originally posted by Michael:
Just as a side note. Bill Macready (of NFL theorem fame) is one of my coworkers (used to be my boss.) I didn't realize that the IDers were using his theorem to pretend to disprove evolution. He'll be thrilled to find out.
</strong>

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hezekiahjones replied:
<strong>

Get back to us on that. His comments would be pure gold.</strong>
Actually if what he says seems useful, than I would urge Michael to forward the reply to Wein or have the guy contact Wein himself.

Dembski is trying to take away an crediblity Wein has in the field. A strong endorsement of the FAQ by one of the developers of the NFL theorums might be handy in showing that Dembski is blowing smoke. I am usually not easily impressed by the game of saying so-and-so liked my work, but showing that even playing by Dembski's rules that the Wein's essay comes out on top neutralizes much of what Dembski said early on in his reply.
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Old 05-12-2002, 12:59 AM   #12
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Quote:
Happy Wonderer: Erm, any statisticans out there have a clue what his interpretation of "degrees of freedom" is about? The term "degrees of freedom" refers to how many independent observations you have relative to a particular statistical parameter. It is part of formulas that say "more observations give you a higher confidence than fewer do."
Dembski is using "degrees of freedom" in the sense a physicist would. A point particle moving in a 1-dimensional world has 1 degree of freedom. A point particle moving in a 2-dimensional world has 2 degrees of freedom. A rigid rod in a 2-dimensional world has 3 degrees of freedom, etc.

A combination lock has a small number of degrees of freedom. If it is of the kind you can find on suitcases, there might 4 wheels with 10 digits each that must be aligned correctly. The number of degrees of freedom would then be 4 (one for each wheel). I doubt that there are many combination locks that have "numerous degrees of freedom".

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Old 05-13-2002, 08:44 AM   #13
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In his reply to Wein’s critique of No Free Lunch, Dembski it seems is trying to
reach a place where he can argue that there is a definable probability that can be assigned
to an event which then can be used as a multiple of the definate probability assigned to
another event, and so on, to reach some very big number that looks like it couldn’t
happen without the Hand Of God. He vaguely refers to an article by Polanyi which is
supposed to support his use of a “degrees of freedom” argument that he illustrates with a
combination lock.

Here is why I think that degrees of freedom cannot apply to Dembski’s combination lock
analogy (most clearly in the statistical sense).

The mechanical features of a combination lock aford only one degree of freedom!

The identical lock described by Dembski can be represented by a lock with a row of 30
levers which requires three levers to be depressed in order to open. This is because the
alternating combination order is mechanically obligatory. Now, the use of four tumblers
might seem to allow us to say that there are multiple degrees of freedom. The suitcase
lock is good example. Taking Eric’s four tumblers with ten positions/numbers, there are
not four locks, there is one lock with a total of 10^4 possible positions.
Because there is a mechanical link to the tumblers there is still just one lock.

The multiplication principle is defined as:
If, among k operations, the ith can be done in n[sub i ] ways, the
k operations can be done in n[sub 1] X n[sub 2] X
n[sub 3] X ... X n[sub k] ways (Mostellere et al, 1970)

What if we were to have four independent locks? Well, the number of possible
combinations is only larger by a factor of four because as lock pickers we only need to pick one lock at a time and not all four locks at once.

And this is also an example of a co-opted function counter argument to Dembitski’s ultimate goal of defending Behe’s notion of irreducible complexity. The “function” of a lock is to open or close under appropriate
conditions. This function can be used (co-opted) to retard opening or closing of other
non-lock objects.

Mostellere, Fredrick, Robert E. K. Rourke, George B. Thomas, Jr.
1970 Probability with statistical applications Reading, Mass.Addison-Wesley
Publishing Comp.

[ May 13, 2002: Message edited by: Dr.GH ]</p>
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Old 05-13-2002, 06:19 PM   #14
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hezekiahjones wrote:
Quote:
Complex jargon with many self-coined terms is found in abundance in Dembski's publications, including his newest book. As to his ability to develop complex theories which are sprinkled here and there with portions of sound science, and which display erudition, Dembski seems to possess such abilities as well.
Gosh, at the IDers' "Darwin, Design and Democracy" event last summer in Kansas City, Dembski seemed to wow the crowd. I don't think all those good churchy folks had ever heard so many big words coming so fast at them at one time before ("the Dopeler Effect").

Of course, maybe their "vast, eerie silence," fixed gazes and slack mouths during his presentation meant they were in a light trance induced by Dembski's showing a slide of a mathematical formula to whose meaning no one in the room had a clue. Maybe not even Dembski. Yet the crowd applauded thunderously when he was done.
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Old 05-16-2002, 04:44 AM   #15
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Those of you who've read both Wein's critique and Dembski's reply will get a kick out of this ARN post:

Quote:
One mark of a scholar verses one that is not is how they present their arguments. The contrast between Wiens shrill , condescending, ridiculing, and patronizing endeavor compared to Dembski reasoned response tells one all they need to know.
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Old 05-16-2002, 05:10 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally posted by hezekiahjones:
<strong>Those of you who've read both Wein's critique and Dembski's reply will get a kick out of this ARN post:

</strong>
Consider the source. Also notice that Roland Hirsch has made another substantive post...

You'd think the guy would give up after having been made a fool of when he tried to address this topic in the past...
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Old 05-16-2002, 05:21 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally posted by pangloss:
Also notice that Roland Hirsch has made another substantive post...
Roland Hirsch ... is "RFH"?
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Old 05-16-2002, 05:59 AM   #18
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Roland F. Hirsch (RFH) writes:

Quote:
[The following abstract] makes it perfectly clear that the ancestors of bacteria were either hyperthermophiles or non-hyperthermophiles. And that is about as useful a statement as the Darwinian theories ever make.
The abstract reads:

Quote:
The first phyla that emerge in the tree of life based on ribosomal RNA (rRNA) sequences are hyperthermophilic, which led to the hypothesis that the universal ancestor, and possibly the original living organism, was hyperthermophilic. Here we reanalyse the bacterial phylogeny based on rRNA using a more reliable approach, and find that hyperthermophilic bacteria (such as Aquificales and Thermotogales) do not emerge first, suggesting that the Bacteria had a non-hyperthermophilic ancestor. It seems that Planctomycetales, a phylum with numerous peculiarities, could be the first emerging bacterial group.
So this is what these people do, sit around browsing BIOSIS and PubMed for researchers to mock? I wonder if Hirsch is doing this on the taxpayer's dime.
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Old 05-16-2002, 12:40 PM   #19
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I don't know, but I do know that he got some sort of big award a few years ago, and, like a good cretin, took the opportunity to bash 'Darwinism', even though he has never done any relevant research...

Typical..

I think he has retired... Or at least should have...
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Old 05-16-2002, 01:00 PM   #20
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Is it just me, or is 'Mike Gene' just an arrogant asshole?

<a href="http://www.arn.org/cgi-bin/ubb/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=13;t=000038" target="_blank">http://www.arn.org/cgi-bin/ubb/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=13;t=000038</a>
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