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Old 11-14-2011, 01:41 PM   #91
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No.

You cannot divide 1a and 1b.
It's a compound statement for Christ's sake.
Please note the conjunction OR

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...

Totally disagree with this assessment. The statement that they were written by Paul is a specific assumption about the evidence.
I do not make that assumption. I list it as a possibility. Is there any dispute that one possibility is that the letters were written by Paul?

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The statement that they were written by someone writing as "Paul" is another very general assumption, which also seems to introduce the notion that "Paul" is a legitimate historical identity. This may or may not be the case. Putting these two statements together as a compound statement changes nothing.
Another possibility is that someone wrote the letters under Paul's name.

Since we agree that the evidence are letters that state that they were written by Paul, I don't see how you can disagree with this.

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For example here is another other equally valid statement: the Pauline Letters were not written by "Paul" and may be all forged.
How does this differ from what I wrote? One possibility is that someone wrote the letters as Paul (i.e., forged them.)

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If these statements concerning the evidence are then taken to be true for the sake of further argumentation (or inference) then with respect to the development of the argument they represent postulates. .
They are not assumed to be true. I have given two possibilities that I think are probable; under either possibility, Paul was a historical character.

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Your inference is based upon your stated postulates about the evidence. Other inferences are possible based upon other stated postulated about the evidence. The evidence itself is here being examined as separate from all possible assumptions (postulates) that can be drawn from this evidence.
OK - give me another inference that cold be drawn from other "postulates."

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These are not postulates, and they are not hidden.
I will continue to argue that these statements about the evidence are indeed postulates, that are assumed to be true for the sake of the theory generator, and that this fact appears to be hidden from you at the moment.
I will continue to argue that you don't understand what's going on here.
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Old 11-14-2011, 01:59 PM   #92
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Paul probably did NOT exist at all in any century and Before the Fall of the Temple and did NOT write a single letter Before the Fall of the Temple.

The persons who wrote the letters appear to be UNKNOWN or wrote in secrecy.

As far as the OP goes, all parties are required to make postulates (hypotheses, assumptions) of some kind about the evidence. There is no guarantee that such posulates are true. All conclusion(s) must necessarily therefore be very hypothetical.
If what you say is true then my postulate, hypothesis, conclusion, theory, belief, inference or position is compatible with the abundance of AVAILABLE evidence.
Hey aa5874,

I think that if we were to characterize the HJ and MJ as two types of theories subscribed to by two types of theorists, then we might be able to easily distinguish the theories and the theorists on the basis of their holding to one of two postulates.

(1) The HJ: there was an historical jesus
(2) The MJ: there was not an historical jesus.

I think that your postulate might be the second.


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Toto's inference is NOT compatible with the abundance of EVIDENCE that is available.

Toto's inference is compatible with his formal statements about the evidence but he does not yet perceive that these formal statements are hypothetical and are being used as postulates, as being held to be true for the purpose of the inference.


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Letters with the name Paul alone CANNOT determine that Paul probably existed in the 1st century before the Fall of the Temple.
I think that the most open approach is to deal with "Paul" in the same manner as "Jesus". If we were to characterize the HP (Historical Paul) and MP (Mythical Paul) then we might be able to distinguish the theories and the theorists on the basis of their holding to one of two postulates.

(1) The HP: there was an historical "Paul" (or even "It is likely that there was an HP")
(2) The MP: there was not an historical "Paul" (or even "It is likely that there was no HP")


Again I think that your postulate might be the second, rather than the first.

Note that I am not saying one is right or wrong, or that one is a more logical statement about the evidence of the "Pauline Letters" that the other. It is up to the theorists to formulate their own postulates - statements about the evidence which will be taken to be true for the sake of the (logical) exploration of the evidence.

Let me reiterate that the OP is examining the process described in the above diagram, of generating theoretical conclusions from a large series of postulates/hypotheses - statements that may be formulated to describe the evidence. The OP assumes that the generation of theories in ancient history concerning Christian origins uses deductive and inductive reasoning in order to make statements about the evidence (formulate postulates) and to compare postulates etc and to arrive at theoretical conclusions.

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The ABUNDANCE of evidence tend to show that the Pauline writings are probably Chronologically bogus and that there was probably NO person known as Paul and probably NO Churches as found in the same Pauline writings.
Thanks aa5874. You have here introduced the concept of chronological evidence, or evidence of chronology. I see this is most important. In addition to postulates formulated to deal with the "Pauline Letters" and the question of the historical existence of "Paul" there is also the critical matter of chronology. The "Pauline Letters" are, as everyone knows, undated.

As a direct result, it is mandatory to postulate the chronology, and there are a range of chronologies that have been hypothetically PUT FORWARD for the date of the authorship (or forgery) of these letters.
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Old 11-14-2011, 02:21 PM   #93
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In some extreme cases one evidence item might change an entire theoretical paradigm.
Not really. Have you actually read Kuhn?
Yes.
Coulda fooled me. I don't recognize anything he said in what you're saying.
I have read Kuhn's The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, if that's what you mean, however the OP here is about the theories of history not the history of theories in science. The evidence items lists are items of ancient historical evidence, the postulates items I have listed are postulates in the field of history, as are the theoretical conclusions.

For example above you state you have inferred Paul's historical existence (presumeably based on one or more evidence items). However my position is that what you have really done is to infer this based on one or more postulates that you consider to be true concerning this evidence, and not directly from the evidence item.

Kuhn was using the history of scientific theories to make a point about the theories themselves. Insofar as history is a science, his point applies.
A hypothetical example of an extreme case of one evidence item that might change an entire theoretical paradigm in theories addressing the history of christian origins would be if we found evidence of a securely dated Pauline Letter (or copy) from the 1st or 2nd century. By securely dated I mean a manuscript with a first century date written on it by the author, or a manuscript that yielded a C14 date in the first or second century. I do not mean Papyrus 46 for example, although it is common postulate of mainstream to admit, with suitable reservations, that palaeographically dated papyri fragments, while not securely dated, may be used to estimate a chronology.


The "Pauline Letters" have previously been characterized by their undatedness. The paradigm of dealing with unprovenanced and undated texts is well known to Biblical Scholars. New evidence may change that.
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Old 11-14-2011, 05:07 PM   #94
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No.

You cannot divide 1a and 1b.
It's a compound statement for Christ's sake.
Please note the conjunction OR

Quote:
...

Totally disagree with this assessment. The statement that they were written by Paul is a specific assumption about the evidence.
I do not make that assumption. I list it as a possibility. Is there any dispute that one possibility is that the letters were written by Paul?

No. That's one possibility.


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The statement that they were written by someone writing as "Paul" is another very general assumption, which also seems to introduce the notion that "Paul" is a legitimate historical identity. This may or may not be the case. Putting these two statements together as a compound statement changes nothing.
Another possibility is that someone wrote the letters under Paul's name.

Since we agree that the evidence are letters that state that they were written by Paul, I don't see how you can disagree with this.

See below.



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For example here is another other equally valid statement: the Pauline Letters were not written by "Paul" and may be all forged.
How does this differ from what I wrote? One possibility is that someone wrote the letters as Paul (i.e., forged them.)

When you write of the possibility that someone forged the letters of Paul above, you seem to treat Paul as an historical person. When I write of the possibility that "Paul" was forged, I do not necessarily assume that "Paul" was historical. I will allow as a possible postulate that "Paul" was just a fabricated name upon which to hang a host of epistles - that "Paul" may not have been a figure of history at all.


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If these statements concerning the evidence are then taken to be true for the sake of further argumentation (or inference) then with respect to the development of the argument they represent postulates. .
They are not assumed to be true. I have given two possibilities that I think are probable; under either possibility, Paul was a historical character.

Everyone is entitled to phrase (and to reiteratively re-phrase) their own postulates about the evidence - they represent key and fundamental statements related to that evidence. The way you have stated them above leaves little room for the possibility that "Paul" wrote letters in the same manner that "Bilbo Baggins" wrote letters to Frodo and the Elves, etc. Under this possibility, "Paul" was not a historical character. The way you stated the two possibilities essentially contains an implicit assumption that "Paul" was not fabricated like "Bilbo Baggins" for example.
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Old 11-14-2011, 05:34 PM   #95
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...

When you write of the possibility that someone forged the letters of Paul above, you seem to treat Paul as an historical person. When I write of the possibility that "Paul" was forged, I do not necessarily assume that "Paul" was historical. I will allow as a possible postulate that "Paul" was just a fabricated name upon which to hang a host of epistles - that "Paul" may not have been a figure of history at all.

....
That is a third possibility -- that someone wrote letters and attributed them to a non-existent person. But then why would these letters have any sort of authority for Marcion or his critics?

There are still no postulates in evidence.
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Old 11-14-2011, 06:20 PM   #96
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Letters with the name Paul alone CANNOT determine that Paul probably existed in the 1st century before the Fall of the Temple.
Letters stating that Jebus was 'The Son of Gob' alone CANNOT determine that Jebus was probably known as 'The Son of Gob' in the 1st century before the Fall of the Temple.
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Old 11-14-2011, 06:30 PM   #97
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...

When you write of the possibility that someone forged the letters of Paul above, you seem to treat Paul as an historical person. When I write of the possibility that "Paul" was forged, I do not necessarily assume that "Paul" was historical. I will allow as a possible postulate that "Paul" was just a fabricated name upon which to hang a host of epistles - that "Paul" may not have been a figure of history at all.

....
That is a third possibility -- that someone wrote letters and attributed them to a non-existent person. But then why would these letters have any sort of authority for Marcion or his critics?

There are still no postulates in evidence.
Or my view, that there was an original 'Paul', -Shaul a JEW-, who did write and preach about the subject of gentile circumcision long before christianity,
Whose scant writings were co-opted and wildly expanded and exploited by Johnny-come-lately christianity.
Shaul the JEW wouldn't recognize one-tenth of the content of these texts that 'he' wrote.

I'm waiting for the recovery of a 'Pauline writing' securely dated to the 1st century BC.






.
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Old 11-14-2011, 06:57 PM   #98
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For example above you state you have inferred Paul's historical existence (presumeably based on one or more evidence items). However my position is that what you have really done is to infer this based on one or more postulates that you consider to be true concerning this evidence, and not directly from the evidence item.
The evidence that leads to an inference that Paul existed would be the Pauline letters. These letters were either written by Paul, or were written by someone else and attributed to Paul, meaning that Paul was a person that one would want to pretend to be. Either way, Paul probably existed.
These are all postulates.

(1a) These letters were either written by Paul, or
(1b) These letters were written by someone else and attributed to Paul,
(2) Paul was a person that one would want to pretend to be.
(3) Paul probably existed.
If you are treating those as postulates, what alternative postulates are you using for your comparative evaluation?
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Old 11-14-2011, 07:17 PM   #99
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...These are all postulates.

(1a) These letters were either written by Paul, or
(1b) These letters were written by someone else and attributed to Paul,
(2) Paul was a person that one would want to pretend to be.
(3) Paul probably existed.
Based on the definition of "postulate" your claim is in perfect order.
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Old 11-14-2011, 08:07 PM   #100
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...

When you write of the possibility that someone forged the letters of Paul above, you seem to treat Paul as an historical person. When I write of the possibility that "Paul" was forged, I do not necessarily assume that "Paul" was historical. I will allow as a possible postulate that "Paul" was just a fabricated name upon which to hang a host of epistles - that "Paul" may not have been a figure of history at all.

....
That is a third possibility -- that someone wrote letters and attributed them to a non-existent person.
All these possibilities are essentially possible postulates that people can make about one item of evidence - the pauline letters (nb: some people can examine each verse of these letters as separate items of evidence). There are obviously many more possibilities. Shesh adds one below.


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But then why would these letters have any sort of authority for Marcion or his critics?
The writings of Marcion form another separate item of evidence, where the process starts all over again, and one may claim various hypotheses from this evidence. The writings of Marcion's critics form another item of evidence, associated with which again, are a series of postulatory statement - either explicit or implicit.



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Or my view, that there was an original 'Paul', -Shaul a JEW-, who did write and preach about the subject of gentile circumcision long before christianity,
Whose scant writings were co-opted and wildly expanded and exploited by Johnny-come-lately christianity.
Shaul the JEW wouldn't recognize one-tenth of the content of these texts that 'he' wrote.

I'm waiting for the recovery of a 'Pauline writing' securely dated to the 1st century BC.
This is another postulate that may be listed as being associated with the sample evidence item the pauline letters. Here if I understand Shesh correctly, the BCE letters of an historical Paul/Shaul were coopted, redacted and twisted beyond recognition at a relatively late epoch CE.

The mention of a securely dated manuscript is timely because it reminds us that the entire field of "Christian Origins" with few exceptions the texts are not securely dated at all. A further series of postulates that are specifically related to chronology will be found to be associated with all the various dating estimates for the pauline letters.

There is really no limit to the number of evidence-related postulates that can be made against the pauline letters (as just one example of an evidence item). If we were able to catalogue every postulatory statement that all researchers and commentators ever made about the pauline letters we would probably have a very large list of hypotheses.

Most certainly, only a very small number of these would be used by a large number of people, and overall there are various consenses of some of the postulates that might be routinely employed, and a scattering of more unique less explored postulates.

One object of this OP is to understand that when we are discussing each item of evidence (such as the pauline letters for example) we are really discussing and evaluating the merit of various postulates about the evidence, that we have thoughtfully formulated, and which represent, hopefully, a relatively accurate statement about the evidence.

Alternatively our postulates about the evidence items, in any one case or across the board, might be way off the mark.
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